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Brief Analysis
Presidential Elections Will Not End Egyptian Instability
Washington has little ability to influence the outcome of this week's election, in which most leading candidates appear disinclined to maintain strong relations with the United States. But it can encourage the Egyptian military to minimize the likelihood of another uprising.
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding the Containment Trap with Iran
In one of the most memorable lines of his March 4, 2012, speech on the Middle East, President Obama declared, "Iran's leaders should understand that I do not have a policy of containment; I have a policy to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon." However, containment is rarely a
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Too Early to Expect a Breakthrough on Iran
While the upcoming talks in Baghdad are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough, Washington should use them to determine whether a deal is ultimately possible.
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Baghdad Nuclear Talks: Three Steps to Help Diplomacy Succeed
Although Washington may be tempted to take whatever progress it can get from this week's nuclear talks, the only agreement worth having is one that resolves Western concerns about Iran's nuclear activities while lessening the threat of military conflict.
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Syria's Crisis Reaches Beirut
The latest clashes in Beirut show that as long as the Syrian conflict persists, Lebanon's internal security will be increasingly at risk.
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Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Arab Spring Heats Up Kurdish Issue
Middle Eastern states have shifted alliances over the Kurdish question in the wake of the Arab Spring and the withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Iraq.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Success in the Iran Nuclear Negotiations
While Tehran may be preparing the ground for an interim agreement on terms the West would accept, any deal-in-principle would have to be finalized, put into practice, and followed by fuller agreements.
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Syrian Opposition Targets the Regime Online
Syrian activists have stepped up their social media efforts and cyber attacks against the Assad regime, and Washington should take more steps to support them.
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Brief Analysis
Syrian Jihadis: Real and Exaggerated
Damascus may be exaggerating the strength of the Syrian jihadi group Jabhat al-Nusra.
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Secret Hamas Elections Point to Internal Struggle
The ongoing Hamas elections will strengthen the military wing, weaken Khaled Mashal, make reconciliation with the PA more difficult, preserve close collaboration with Iran, and, perhaps, forge closer ties with Egypt.
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah of Rejection May Be Contemplating Compromise
Khamenei's dilemma: To compromise he must save face; but, to save face, he must not compromise.
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Flooding Out Terror? Turkey's Ilisu Dam Project
The Ilisu Dam project could enter the annals of counterterrorism as history's first "hydro-victory."
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Soner Cagaptay
Altay Otun
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arab Leaders Meet to Discuss Syria and Iran
The upcoming GCC meeting in Riyadh reflects concern about events in Syria, fear of Iran, and anxieties about Washington's policies.
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Winter or Spring: Islamists, the Military, and Post-Revolution Politics in Egypt
The following is an excerpt from an article that appeared in Middle East Insights (vol. 3, no. 3). To read the full article, download the PDF. The so-called "Arab Spring" has forever changed the face of the Middle East, and it's not finished. While the revolts that toppled longtime autocrats
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Iranian Security Threat in the Western Hemisphere:
Learning from Past Experience
World attention on Iran centers on the threats to international security posed by the country’s nuclear program. As Iran presses on in its efforts to become a nuclear power, the regime in Tehran also employs an aggressive foreign policy that relies heavily on the deployment of clandestine assets abroad to collect intelligence and support foreign operations, all of which are aimed at furthering Iranian foreign policy interests. From a U.S. perspective, Iran’s massive diplomatic presence in the Western Hemisphere presents a particularly acute problem. In response to Iran’s abuse of the diplomatic system, the international community should collectively press our friends and allies in Latin America to severely restrict the size of Iran’s diplomatic missions to the minimum needed to conduct official business.
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Sanctions Are Only a Stop-Gap
The question is not whether sanctions have worked but whether the strategy they serve is correct.
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah Contemplates Compromise
The new talks have put Khamenei in a perilous position: compromising is as dangerous for him as digging in his heels.
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Changes in Israeli Policy after the Netanyahu-Mofaz Deal
Israel's new national unity government strengthens both Binyamin Netanyahu and Shaul Mofaz, but it will ultimately be judged by whether it makes progress on its foreign and domestic policy agenda.
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David Makovsky
Video
Brief Analysis
Egypt in Transition: What Happened to the Liberal Youths of Tahrir Square?
On May 9, Mahmoud Salem addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Salem, a renowned Egyptian blogger better known as "Sandmonkey," is a longtime analyst of Egyptian political affairs and advocate for free speech and democracy. He ran as a parliamentary candidate last year on the ticket of the Free Egyptians Party. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks.
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Mahmoud Salem
Video
In-Depth Reports
Remarks by Denis McDonough, Deputy National Security Advisor
Deputy National Security Advisor Denis McDonough believes that the relationship between President Barack Obama and Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is “workmanlike” and enables the two leaders to immediately address the important issues on their agendas. Speaking to the Washington Institute for Near East Policy’s Weinberg Founders Conference, McDonough stated that
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Denis McDonough
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