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مقالات وشهادة
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Articles & Testimony
Don't Expect Turkey to Invade Syria
A Turkish intervention in Syria could boomerang, ratcheting up PKK attacks and eroding the soft power Turkey has painstakingly built in the Middle East over the past decade.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Iran, Hizballah, and the Threat to the U.S. Homeland
Should Hizballah decide to carry out attacks on U.S. soil in the event of a military confrontation with Iran, it has the capacity to do so.
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Tides of Battle in Syria
The Free Syria Army remains in the fight and should be sustained and armed to maintain military pressure on the regime.
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Party of Fraud: Hizballah's Criminal Enterprises
On March 19, 2012, Michael Braun, David Asher, and Matthew Levitt addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Braun, a managing partner with Spectre Group International, is former assistant administrator and chief of operations at the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration. Dr. Asher, a senior fellow at Center for
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Michael Braun
David Asher
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Iran Keeps Compromise Option Open
Whether by choice or through the military's influence, Ayatollah Khamenei has decided to keep a formerly marginalized regime figure -- and, by extension, the possibility of nuclear compromise -- in play.
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Time to Stop Incitement to Murder -- Again
In responding to a spike in Israeli-Palestinian incitement, Washington should encourage constructive suggestions and focus on the worst cases.
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Foreign Policy Pivot
What made Ankara do an about-face and re-embrace the West? Recognition of what gives it power in the Middle East.
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
To Keep the Peace with Iran, Threaten to Strike
Washington must clearly articulate what its red lines are in terms of Iranian behavior and credibly threaten the regime with military action should it cross them.
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Washington and Israel on Iran: Unresolved Differences
Notwithstanding their differing perspectives on the subject, the less daylight seen between Washington and Israel regarding Iran, the better.
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
Caught in Egypt's Political Cross-Fire
The recent ordeal of American democracy workers in Egypt was not so much about them as about Cairo's own internal power struggle.
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
To Retaliate or Not: Hizballah's Calculus Following a Strike on Iran
Hizballah's response to military action against Iran could be shaped by rational cost-benefit analysis, a perceived spiritual obligation to defend its Shiite patron in Tehran, or both.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Hasn't Intervened in Syria
Turkey's Syria policy seems to be mirroring its Libya strategy: speaking out against a tyrant, gathering international support for political action against him, but staying in the background when it comes to military action.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Strength Could Be a Vulnerability
By weakening the Islamic Republic's institutions and strengthening his own authority, Ayatollah Khamenei may make himself more vulnerable in a time of crisis.
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Arm the Free Syrian Army Now
Providing arms and other materiel to the FSA stands a far better chance of success than waiting for a silver bullet.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
No Nuclear Compromise
The Iranian regime will not be able to survive existing sanctions, which are targeting the banking system and oil industry like never before.
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding a Bad Nuclear Deal with Iran
As the confrontation with Iran enters a new, more dangerous phase, Washington must avoid the temptation of redefining its red lines in a manner that endangers national security.
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Michael Singh
In-Depth Reports
The End of the 'Peace Process'?
Barring unexpected developments, even optimistic observers see the current Israeli-Palestinian deadlock persisting at least until after this year's U.S. elections. The key actors are too focused on other challenges, too skeptical of each other's intentions, and too limited by multiple constraints to engage in the kind of decisionmaking a peace
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Tal Becker
Brief Analysis
President Obama on Iran: Assessing Key Passages in the AIPAC Speech
Although the president's AIPAC speech offered reassurances that he is committed to the full logic of a "prevention" strategy in dealing with the Iranian nuclear challenge, including potential military action, it also implied a clear preference for Israel to hold back and let the noose of international sanctions tighten.
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Why Delayed Intervention in Syria Could Cause Radicalization
The sooner the international community helps end the killing in Syria, the more likely it will be able to prevent radicalization of the country's population along sectarian lines.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Need for Consistent U.S. and Israeli Public Messaging on Iran
Washington and Israel need to address their public messaging on Iran, which has undermined mutual trust and efforts to achieve their common objective: a diplomatic solution to the nuclear crisis.
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Michael Eisenstadt
David Makovsky
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