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Articles & Testimony
Help Tunisia First
The United States should make at least $50 million available immediately for democratic institution building in Tunisia. The country's size and considerable assets mean that a modest investment could bring huge returns for the Tunisian people and U.S.-Tunisia relations.
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J. Scott Carpenter
Articles & Testimony
Protests in Iraq
Though recent Iraqi protests have not pushed for the removal of the central government, they nonetheless illustrate a number of widespread attitudes that inform Iraqis' alienation from their authorities.
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Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
Protecting Egypt's Evolving Democracy
As Egypt's revolution reaches the one-month mark, the first of the people's major demands has been met with the departure of Hosni Mubarak. But this development has left the country's leadership in the hands of the Supreme Military Council (SMC), a body apparently headed by Mubarak's minister of defense, Muhammad
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Slippery Slope: Libya and the Lessons of Previous No-Fly Zones
In PolicyWatch #1763, Jason Hanover and Jeffrey White outlined the range of military options that the United States could employ to protect the Libyan population from the Qadhafi regime's military forces. The following article specifies the challenges posed by the enforcement of no-fly zones and related no-drive zones, drawing on
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
U.S.-NATO Intervention in Libya: Risks and Benefits
Muammar Qadhafi has vowed to fight to the bitter end, raising the prospect of a protracted and bloody conflict with opportunities for exploitation by radical Islamist elements. Although external military intervention could help prevent a very bad outcome, such action carries its own risks and potential complications. The United States
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Jason Hanover
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Israel's Strategic Concerns over Upheaval in Egypt
The popular uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt caught Israel by surprise. Awe-inspiring as they are to Israel's government and people, these revolutions and the ongoing troubles in Bahrain and Libya are also of immense concern to Israel because of their potential strategic ramifications. Going forward, developments in Egypt will be
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
"The Last Bullet": Qadhafi and the Future of Libya
Following this weekend's widespread disturbances in Libya, Muammar Qadhafi could lose power within hours or days as his military units and security services crumble in the face of popular discontent. Alternatively, he could decide -- in the ominous words of his son Saif al-Islam -- to "fight to the last
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Simon Henderson
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Military in Power: Dynamics, Challenges, Prospects
Egypt is now effectively under military control and will likely remain so for some months. The Supreme Military Council (SMC) holds effective decisionmaking authority, although a civilian cabinet remains in place. The SMC has pledged to make a swift transition to a new civilian government, but to date it has
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia's Fears for Bahrain
On February 16, Bahraini security forces used brute force to clear democracy protestors from Manama's Pearl Square, on orders from a regime seemingly undaunted by international media coverage and the near-instantaneous self-reporting of Twitter-generation demonstrators. Although the relatively small size of the crowds (compared to recent protests in Egypt and
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Explaining a U.S. Veto at the Security Council: The Imperative of Avoiding a Mixed Message
With the UN Security Council scheduled to meet tomorrow to discuss Israeli settlement activity in the West Bank, the Obama administration should consider carefully in what framework a veto to a possible resolution on settlements would be cast.
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Arab Revolt Makes Turkey a Regional Power
One of the unexpected consequences of recent Arab unrest in the Middle East is Turkey's elevation into a potential regional power.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Politics Threaten Iran's Mediterranean Naval Ambitions
The attempted passage through the Suez Canal of two Iranian warships en route to an unprecedented Mediterranean deployment demonstrates the potential constraints on Iranian efforts to realize its Great Power ambitions.
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Hizballah: Governing Faction in Lebanon, Criminal Group Abroad
This week marked the sixth anniversary of the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri, killed in a Beirut bombing on February 14, 2005. Noting the solemn occasion, UN secretary-general Ban Ki-moon issued a statement paying tribute to Hariri and the other twenty-two people killed that day and reaffirming
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Energy Security Lessons of the Egypt Crisis
The political turmoil in Egypt has prompted renewed concerns about the security of oil and gas supplies from the Middle East. The country's proximity to two key chokepoints -- the Suez Canal and the Bab al-Mandab Strait between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden -- is significant. Yet
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Simon Henderson
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Egypt Should Take Its Time Building a Democracy
Because democratic transition is hard enough without pressure demanding that it be rapid, the objective for Egypt is to ensure that the revolution is sustainable. The test is not a first election, but rather whether there is a second one.
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Opposition Must Escalate 'War of Attrition'
In Egypt's war of attrition, only continued mobilization will compel the military to reassess its current calculation that a September exit for Mubarak is the only solution.
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Brief Analysis
Ideas for U.S. Middle East Policy in the Wake of the Egypt Crisis
On February 9, 2011, Washington Institute executive director Robert Satloff testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee at a hearing titled "Recent Developments in Egypt and Lebanon: Implications for U.S. Policy and Allies in the Broader Middle East." The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. Read the complete
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Orderly Transition Becomes a War of Attrition
What seemed at first to be the beginning of an orderly transition in Egypt is starting to look more like a war of attrition.
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Recent Developments in Egypt and Lebanon:
Implications for U.S. Policy and Allies in the Broader Middle East
On February 9, 2011, Washington Institute executive director Robert Satloff testified before the House Foreign Affairs Committee. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. "Events of the past two weeks have constituted an earthquake in terms of Arab political dynamics, the pursuit of security and peace in the
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Is Caution the Right U.S. Strategy?
The New York Times convened an online panel of six Middle East experts to discuss the Obama administration's cautious approach to Egypt: aiming for stability and holding off on a rapid ouster of Mr. Mubarak. David Makovsky contributes.
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David Makovsky
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