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Articles & Testimony
What Shapes Sanctions
The announcement that Iran has been constructing a covert facility to enrich nuclear fuel for the last few years without notifying the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) raises the stakes for the upcoming October 1 meeting of six leading countries with Iran. The underground facility is located on an Iranian
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The World Can't Trust Iran
Standing with the leaders of France and Great Britain at the G20 meeting in Pittsburgh on Friday, Barack Obama disclosed Iran's construction of yet another secret nuclear structure: a uranium enrichment facility near the holy city of Qom. How much hope should western powers have for the upcoming diplomatic negotiations
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Articles & Testimony
If Iran Can't Be Stopped Now, All Bets Are Off
Earlier today, President Obama, British Prime Minister Brown, and French President Sarkozy dramatically confirmed that Iran has been covertly building near the city of Qom a second uranium enrichment facility. Obama said the "size and configuration" is "inconsistent with a peaceful program," suggesting that it is intended for military purposes
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Brief Analysis
Inside Iranian Politics and Nuclear Strategy:
A G20 Briefing
On September 18, 2009, Stephen P. Rosen and Mehdi Khalaji addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss how Iran's postelection turmoil affects international perceptions of the Islamic Republic and its nuclear program. Stephen P. Rosen, an expert on nuclear strategy, is the Beton Michael Kaneb
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Transition in Egypt:
Radicals on the Rise?
PolicyWatch #1588 is the second in a two-part series discussing trends within the Muslim Brotherhood. This piece addresses the potential for the group's return to violence in Egypt, while PolicyWatch #1585 focuses on the organization's divisions in Jordan. Amid the uncertainty over Egypt's impending political succession, Egyptian security forces have
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Mohamed Abdelbaky
Brief Analysis
Increasing the Focus on Iran's Corruption
Although Iran has formally accepted the U.S. offer to meet on October 1, expectations are low, particularly since Tehran has made clear that the nuclear issue is not negotiable. The United States and its allies have already begun to prepare for the possibility of failed negotiations by developing potential sanctions
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
Qadhafi at the UN:
How to Be Washington's Friend
This week, in a striking symbol of improved U.S.-Libyan relations and Tripoli's reengagement with the international community, Libyan leader Muammar Qadhafi is set to address the UN General Assembly. Previously, Qadhafi refused to visit the UN headquarters because it was located within the borders of "an enemy of humanity." Although
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Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan:
Hamas in Ascendance
PolicyWatch #1585 is the first in a two-part series discussing trends within the Muslim Brotherhood. This piece focuses on the organization's divisions in Jordan, while PolicyWatch #1588 addresses the potential for the group's return to violence in Egypt. In early September, three senior leaders of Jordan's Muslim Brotherhood (MB) resigned
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Hassan Barari
Articles & Testimony
His Own Worst Enemy
Today, Libyan leader Muammar al-Qaddafi arrives in New York to attend the U.N. General Assembly. Although he hasn't touched down yet, the colonel is already fraying nerves. In the spring, with the Obama administration in the White House, the old tensions between Washington and Tripoli had started to ease. At
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Silver Lining in Turkey
The Obama administration's decision to scrap missile defense sites in Eastern Europe against long-range Iranian missiles has a silver lining: a chance to boost U.S.-Turkish ties and counter short-range Iranian missiles at the same time. Washington has already announced that it will position short-range missile interceptors around the Mediterranean, and
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Articles & Testimony
Call <i>Them</i> Out, Mr. President
The agreement by the United States and other world powers to launch negotiations with Iran on October 1 -- despite the regime's refusal to discuss ending its uranium enrichment program -- makes clear that there will be no meaningful progress to stop Iran's drive for the bomb when world leaders
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Brief Analysis
Lebanon:
Back to Square One?
On September 10, after seventy-three days of trying to formulate a government, Lebanon's prime minister designate, Saad Hariri, resigned his mandate. Although Hariri's pro-West March 14 coalition secured a parliamentary majority in June elections -- and with it the right to govern -- the Hizballah-led minority rejected the cabinet he
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Abandoning Ataturk
In the 18th and 19th centuries, the Ottoman Empire, having suffered military defeats at the hands of Europe, realized it could match its rivals only by becoming a European society itself. So it embarked on a program of intense reforms. In 1863, Sultan Abdulaziz established Darussafaka, the empire's first high
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Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil Policy:
An Unlikely Weapon to Pressure Iran
Among the policy suggestions for heading off Iran's emergence as a military nuclear power is the notion that Saudi Arabia should use its position -- as the world's largest oil exporter and effective leader of the OPEC oil cartel -- to apply pressure. The kingdom is increasingly concerned that nuclear
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Breaking Stalemates on Iran and Syria at the IAEA
Mohamed ElBaradei will end his twelve years as director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in November. Absent a last-minute breakthrough, ElBaradei will leave incomplete the critical safeguards investigations of Iran and Syria. Earlier this month, ElBaradei reported to the IAEA Board of Governors little or no progress
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Articles & Testimony
The Fallout of a Reversal on Missile Defense:
The Silver Lining in Turkey
The New York Times convened an online panel of eight foreign policy experts to discuss the Obama adminstration's recent decision to scrap the Bush administration's plans for a missile defense system in Poland and the Czech Republic, and instead deploy a redesigned system intended to intercept shorter-range Iranian missiles. The
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Brief Analysis
Contending with Transnational Threats: The Role of Special Operations
How are special operations forces adapting and integrating into the larger U.S. effort to disrupt and defeat global terrorism?
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Eric Olson
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Quds Day in Iran:
Velvet Revolution Trumps Nuclear Negotiations
While the United States is concentrating on the G-20 summit and the October 1 meeting with the secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, Iranian attention has been focused on the potentially destabilizing protests planned for September 18, Quds Day. This critical difference of agenda -- with Iran focused more
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Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Withdrawal Symptoms:
What Will Happen after the US Leaves Iraq?
A major explosion in Baghdad on 19 August that killed 95 people and injured 563 raised questions about the ability of Iraq's security forces to maintain stability during the ongoing United States troop drawdown. This is particularly the case since the major bombing attack took place barely six weeks after
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Articles & Testimony
Anti-Americanism in a Poisoned Tank
Two recent cases in Turkey involving American think tanks serve as evidence that anti-Americanism often spreads because of what people hear from their governments, and that such rhetoric, if not countered immediately, can have a debilitating effect on America's standing overseas. The most recent Turkish case concerns a June 2009
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