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Brief Analysis
Obama's Personal 'Public Diplomacy': A Very Preliminary Assessment
In his first week in office, President Obama spent the lion's share of his time on domestic economic issues, but international concerns -- specifically Arab, Muslim, and Middle East -- were an important focus as well. Collectively, the new president's actions and words constitute an unusually high-profile and personalized "public
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Gaddafi's Grand Vision
In recent days, Washington has experienced a media blitz by the Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, including an op-ed in the New York Times and his first US videoconference in months. In the wake of the Obama transition, the "Guide of the Revolution" is reaching out to the new administration, using
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Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Realities of the UN in Lebanon
During the early-January Israeli military campaign in the Gaza Strip, unknown groups fired rockets from southern Lebanon into Israel on two separate occasions. The Katyushas were launched from an area supposedly under the control of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) and the Lebanese army, in accordance with
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Magnus Norell
Brief Analysis
Tough Choices on Hamas Prompt Arab Disarray
Arab support for the Palestinians has been the bedrock of Arab diplomacy for decades, but the recent Israeli military action against Hamas fighters in the Gaza Strip has divided those backing Palestinian Authority (PA) President Mahmoud Abbas's Fatah Party and those supporting its Hamas rival. A series of meetings before
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Andrew J. Tabler
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Drug Wars
This past week, President-elect Obama declared that "Bin Laden and Al Qaeda are our number one threat when it comes to American security," pledging to "do everything in our power" to eliminate safe havens which terrorists can use to plan attacks against the U.S. As these terrorist networks become increasingly
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In-Depth Reports
Fixing UNRWA:
Repairing the UN's Troubled System of Aid to Palestinian Refugees
UNRWA -- is it part of the solution to the Arab-Israeli conflict or part of the problem? The humanitarian aspect of the recent conflict between Israel and Hamas has cast a fresh spotlight on the presence in Gaza of the nearly sixty-year-old United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine
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James G. Lindsay
Brief Analysis
Defining a 'Prediplomacy' Agenda for U.S.-Mideast Efforts
Inheriting an uneasy truce in the Gaza Strip presents the Obama-Clinton-Mitchell team with an early set of critical Middle East tests. Before they can begin to address core issues in the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, they will have to focus over the next several weeks on an agenda of "prediplomacy" issues
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Provincial Elections Kick Off Iraq's Year of Choices
This week, after more than a year of anticipation, most of Iraq's governorates will hold provincial elections. The election process and its outcome will provide a strong indication of whether Iraq's democracy will continue to consolidate or begin to unravel. More worrisome than the elections, however, may be the frustrated
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J. Scott Carpenter
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Preliminary Assessment of Israel's Operation Cast Lead
On January 18, Israel announced its military withdrawal from the Gaza Strip, following the three-week offensive Operation Cast Lead. Although no definitive judgments can be made at this point -- post-conflict arrangements are concluding while scattered gunfire is still occurring -- Israel has made several tangible gains during the Gaza
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Iran-al-Qaeda Conundrum
Last week, the Treasury Department issued terrorist designations for three senior al-Qaeda operatives who spent time in Iran, including Usama bin Laden's son, Saad. But the action, which targeted individuals unlikely to have assets in the United States or to move money in their own names, appears to be linked
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Matthew Levitt
Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
Is Turkey Still a Western Ally?
I spent part of 2008 in Turkey to figure out whether Ankara could still be considered a Western ally. That it's necessary to raise this question at all is an indication of how far the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP) has isolated the country from its traditional partners. For
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Brief Analysis
Jordan's Intelligence Chief Sacked:
New Policy Toward Hamas?
On January 2, in the midst of Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip, Jordan's King Abdullah removed General Intelligence Department (GID) head Muhammad Dahabi from his post and replaced him with Gen. Muhammad Raqqad, a deputy in the organization. Dahabi, who is the brother of Prime Minister Nader Dahabi
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Hassan Barari
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Waning Appetite for Europe
When the Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi: AKP) government took power in Turkey and vowed to pursue EU accession in 2002, there were broad expectations that Turkey would soon join the ranks of liberal European democracies. Six years later, those expectations have been dashed as Turkey's liberalisation
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Brief Analysis
Saudi Leadership Crisis Looms:
Health of Crown Prince Falters
After months of speculation about the health of the designated successor to King Abdullah, Crown Prince Sultan, Saudi officials are now openly talking about Sultan's ill health. The kingdom -- a close U.S. ally, the self-professed leader of the Islamic world, the world's largest oil exporter, and most recently the
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
As Islamists Exploit Financial Crisis, Lebanon Stands Fast
More than two weeks into the Israeli-Hamas war, the eyes of the world are narrowly focused on the crisis in Gaza. In the Middle East, however, it is not just the Palestinians and Israelis who are suffering, and it is not only Hamas which hopes to capitalize. Lost amid the
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Obama's Turkey Policy:
European Democracy and NATO Benchmarks
President-elect Barack Obama's administration faces difficult choices regarding its policy toward Turkey. Should Washington choose sides in Turkey's protracted struggle over secularism and democracy involving the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and its opponents? Can the United States bring the reluctant AKP to support U.S. efforts against Iran's nuclear
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The IDF in Gaza:
Operational Concepts, Lines of Effort, and Effects
Almost three weeks into Operation Cast Lead, Israel clearly intends to compel Hamas to accept an end to its attacks on targets in southern Israel. If Hamas does not comply, Israel will destroy as much of Hamas's organizational capacity as possible, leaving the group in a significantly weakened position. To
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Kirkuk:
A Test for the International Community
On January 31, most Iraqis will go to the polls and express their political preferences in provincial elections, but four of Iraq's provinces -- the three governorates within the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) and Kirkuk province -- will not hold elections. Kirkuk's noninclusion is a symbol of its unresolved status
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Ahmed Ali
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Gaza Tunnels:
No Path to Peace
Egypt has long been considered a "bridge" between the East and West. Yet, two weeks into the Israeli campaign against Hamas in Gaza, Egypt is probably better known for its role as a tunnel, serving as the primary smuggling route for Hamas weapons into militant-controlled territory. As pressure mounts for
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David Schenker
The Money Trail:
Finding, Following, and Freezing Terrorist Finances
Matthew Levitt, director of The Washington Institute's Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence, addressed a terrorism and homeland security forum at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars on January 13, 2009. The event was cosponsored by the Council on Global Terrorism, Georgetown University's Center for Peace and Security Studies
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Matthew Levitt
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