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Brief Analysis
Iraq's Sunnis Play the Election Card
December 15 parliamentary elections will mark a major step in Iraq's political transformation, establishing the basis for the first permanent government since the fall of the Saddam regime and propelling the country deeper into the current critical "tipping period." A key, perhaps the key, aspect of the election will be
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Egyptian Legislative Elections:
A Reading of the Results
Egypt completed the final round of balloting in legislative elections on December 7. The first round of polling took place on November 9; all told 5,414 candidates vied for 444 seats in the lower house of Egypt's parliament, the People's Assembly. The elections were set in three phases to facilitate
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Brief Analysis
'Clear, Hold, and Build':
The Way ahead in Iraq
On December 1, 2005, Ambassador James Jeffrey and Jeffrey White addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum to mark the publication of The Washington Institute's Policy Focus, Assessing Iraq's Sunni Arab Insurgency, by Jeffrey White and Michael Eisenstadt. Ambassador Jeffrey, the senior advisor to the secretary of state and coordinator
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James Jeffrey
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Middle Eastern Energy and U.S. National Security
On November 29, 2005, Edward Morse, David Goldwyn, Simon Henderson and Paul Simons addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The forum, titled "Where Are Oil Prices Headed in 2006?" marked the publication of the Institute's policy focus, Reducing Vulnerability to Middle East Energy Shocks: A Key Element in Strengthening
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Muslims and Jews in Europe Today
On November 28, 2005, Sir Jonathan Sacks, chief rabbi of the United Hebrew Congregations of the British Commonwealth, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is an edited transcript of his remarks. Read a full transcript of Rabbi Sacks's remarks. "The suicide bombings in Madrid, in London on
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Brief Analysis
The Consequences of Fatah's Chaotic Primaries
Fatah's chaotic primary process has left Mahmoud Abbas's party vulnerable to Hamas in constituent districts that may determine control of the Palestinian legislature after January 2006 elections.
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Mohammad Yaghi
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Europe's Terror Problem:
PKK Fronts Inside the EU
Since summer 2005, Turkish casualties resulting from attacks by the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) have been mounting at a rate close to that experienced by U.S. forces in Iraq. Between July 1 and July 16, for example, when U.S. troops suffered nineteen deaths in Iraq, eleven Turks were killed by
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Opening Gaza to the Wider World:
The Israeli-Palestinian Agreement on Movement and Access
View a map of Gaza Strip border crossings in PDF format. On November 25, Palestinians celebrated the opening of their first self-governed external passage, the Rafah border crossing that separates the Gaza Strip from Egypt. Following months of negotiations, on November 15 Israel and the Palestinian Authority (PA) reached the
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Brief Analysis
Fatah Primary Results: Lessons from the First Round
The first round of Fatah primaries enhanced the credibility of the party's young guard, but logistical challenges point to deeper weaknesses going into the January legislative elections.
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Mohammad Yaghi
Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Campaign Season Begins in Israel (Part II):
Labor's New Leader, Amir Peretz
Read Part I of this two-part series. Amir Peretz's decision to pull the Labor Party he leads out of its national unity government with Prime Minister Ariel Sharon set Israel's new political calendar and precipitated Sharon's decision to bolt the Likud Party and consent to elections in March 2006. Peretz
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Drastic Measure
Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon dropped a political bombshell by leaving the party that he helped to form in 1973, shattering the political status quo in Israel. Mr. Sharon made the move because he wants his legacy to be that he shaped the borders of Israel in any two-state agreement
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
What Else Can Be Done about Iran's Nuclear Program?
On November 18, 2005, Michael Eisenstadt, Patrick Clawson, and Henry Sokolski discussed policy options regarding Iran's nuclear program in light of the November 24 meeting of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the publication of Getting Ready for a Nuclear Ready Iran (U.S. Army War College Strategic Studies Institute)
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Michael Eisenstadt
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Change following Legislative Elections in Egypt
On November 17, 2005, Khairi Abaza and Michele Dunne discussed the electoral process in Egypt, the state of political reform, and the prospects for change following the legislative elections now underway. Khairi Abaza is a visiting fellow at The Washington Institute, and previously served as secretary of the Cultural Committee
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Michele Dunne
Brief Analysis
Campaign Season Begins in Israel (Part I):
Ariel Sharon Bolts from Likud
Read Part II of this two-part series. On Monday, November 21, Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon announced that he is bolting the Likud Party and forming a new National Responsibility Party. The Knesset took a preliminary vote to dissolve itself. While wrangling may continue, a final date will soon be
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Tehran's Renewed War on Culture
After a period of some tolerance under former president Mohammad Khatami, Iran is now experiencing a cultural clampdown. President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad is implementing the hardest of hardline ideological tendencies in the cultural arena, consistent with his belief that his administration should prepare the country for the reappearance of the hidden
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Terror Attacks Highlight Case for Reform in Jordan
The November 9 hotel bombings in Amman occurred while King Abdullah II was out of the country, just as was the case when al-Qaeda operatives in Aqaba fired missiles at USS Ashland in August. As he rushed back to Amman, it was clear that he alone was in charge and
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Samer Abu Libdeh
Brief Analysis
The ISAF Mission and Turkey's Role in Rebuilding the Afghan State
On November 14, 2005, Lt. Gen. Ethem Erdagi, commander of the International Security Assistance Forces in Afghanistan (ISAF) from February to August 2005, discussed the roles of ISAF and Turkey in Afghanistan at a special Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. General Erdagi currently serves as commander of NATO's Rapid
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Brief Analysis
Countries of Particular Concern:
Religious Freedom and the Middle East
On November 8, the State Department released the International Religious Freedom Report, its annual survey of religious freedom across the world ( read the report online). Several of the designated "countries of particular concern" (CPCs) are in the Middle East: Iran, Sudan, and embarrassingly, in light of longstanding close diplomatic
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Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
Reducing Vulnerability to Middle East Energy Shocks:
A Key Element in Strengthening U.S. Energy Security
In recent years, high oil prices, instability in the Persian Gulf, and political tensions between Washington and key oil-producing countries have underscored the cost of heavy reliance on oil from tumultuous regions. The United States and the wider global economy are particularly vulnerable to energy shocks emanating from the Middle
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Patrick Clawson
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Suicide Terrorism in the Middle East:
Origins and Response (Prepared Remarks)
On November 8, 2005, Robert Pape and Martin Kramer debated the origins of suicide terrorism and the proper responses to it at The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Following is the full text of Dr. Kramer’s prepared remarks. Read a rapporteur’s summary of the entire debate. I am delighted to
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Martin Kramer
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