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Brief Analysis
Travel Advisory:
Military Personnel and British Courts
On September 11, retired Israeli maj. gen. Doron Almog declined to disembark from an arriving Israel El Al airliner at London’s Heathrow airport and flew back to Israel, thereby avoiding British police waiting with a warrant for his arrest. The warrant, instigated in part by pro-Palestinian groups, alleged that Almog
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
A New Reality on the Egypt-Gaza Border (Part I):
Contents of the New Israel-Egypt Agreement
A look at the details of the September 1, 2005 agreement between Egypt and Israel regarding border security near Rafah.
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Brief Analysis
Previewing Jordan's National Agenda:
Strategies for Reform
King Abdullah II's latest domestic reform initiative for Jordan -- the National Agenda Committee -- will soon release a series of major political recommendations. These proposals will provide the Jordanian government with a detailed framework to guide the reform process in coming years. Background The National Agenda initiative was launched
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Samer Abu Libdeh
Brief Analysis
Empowering Mahmoud Abbas after Disengagement
Empowering Palestinian Authority (PA) president Mahmoud Abbas and fellow moderates at this critical time may be in the interest of everyone who favors a return to peace negotiations, but Abbas himself faces immense challenges to his authority that make him unlikely to be able to implement significant changes in the
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Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
After Disengagement:
Opportunities for the Future
On September 13, 2005, Israeli deputy prime minister and minister of foreign affairs Silvan Shalom addressed The Washington Institute's Board of Trustees in New York. Following is the full text of his prepared remarks. Ladies and gentlemen, friends, I would like to thank Rob Satloff and The Washington Institute for
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Silvan Shalom
Brief Analysis
A Wind in Hamas's Sails:
Palestinian Militants Gather Post-Disengagement Momentum
On September 12, the last departing Israeli forces closed the gates of Gaza behind them, followed by a salvo of Palestinian rockets aimed at southern Israel. In the unsettled aftermath of the Israeli disengagement from Gaza and parts of the northern West Bank, only one camp seems clearly to know
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Toward a Quartet Position on Hamas:
European Rules on Banning Political Parties
A key issue in the runup to January's Palestinian parliamentary elections is whether the radical Islamist party Hamas will be allowed to participate and under what conditions. Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon and foreign minister Silvan Shalom have insisted that the group disarm, disavow terror, and end its call for
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Finding the Lost Peace
In concluding my book last year, I suggested that we might find the missing peace when Yasir Arafat passed from the scene and it became possible to get beyond the dysfunction he cultivated. Little did I suspect he would die before the end of 2004. Now he is gone. Palestinians
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Impact of the UN Investigation into the Hariri Assassination
On September 17, the United Nations (UN) report on the assassination of former Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri is due to be handed to UN secretary-general Kofi Annan. It may be delayed by a few months, however, to allow the international community to insist that Syrian officials be questioned and
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Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Understanding Saddam
The recent reports of the Senate Intelligence Committee, the Iraq Survey Group, and the Presidential WMD Commission regarding intelligence and weapons of mass destruction (WMD) in Iraq offer many useful insights into Iraq's weapons program and the challenges that the intelligence community faced in assessing them. But the reports offer
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Brief Analysis
Presidential Elections in Egypt:
The Day After
On September 7, Egyptians voted in their country's first multiparty presidential election. Though results are not yet final, preliminary tallies point to a victory for the incumbent president, Hosni Mubarak. Observers reported irregularities, and turnout did not seem to meet the ruling National Democratic Party's (NDP) expectations. More than half
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Articles & Testimony
Selective Service
Critics of the Bush administration's pro-democracy strategy in the Middle East have been pointing to this week's Egyptian election, which resulted in a landslide for Hosni Mubarak, as proof of a policy that's got little bark and even less bite. A policy with real teeth, they argue, would have demanded
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Brief Analysis
Undermining Hamas and Empowering Moderates by Filling the Humanitarian Void
Now that Israel has disengaged from the Gaza Strip and four settlements from the northern West Bank, the international community has a clear interest in doing all it can to see that the post-withdrawal security situation remains stable so that the exit from Gaza leads to further steps along the
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Engaging Israel:
The Significance of the Istanbul Meeting between Israel and Pakistan
The September 1 meeting in the Turkish city of Istanbul between Israeli foreign minister Silvan Shalom and his Pakistani counterpart, Khurshid Kasuri, was historic. There have been no public official contacts between the two nations since Pakistan was founded in 1947 as a home for Muslims in the Indian subcontinent
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Simon Henderson
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Pay Role
Back in 2003, Senator Robert Byrd voiced a common view among liberals about reconstruction: that it would be expensive and that America would have to pay for it. "[B]efore the war," he said, "the president's policy advisers assured the American people that Iraq would largely be able to finance its
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Brief Analysis
Post-Gaza Crises for Religious Zionism in Israel
Israeli disengagement from Gaza and the northern West Bank settlements has left in its wake three important crises for the religious Zionist movement that spearheaded settlements in Israel. These crises involve the settlers' future relationships with the Israeli public, the Israeli state, and the political secular right. For settlers, these
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David Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Charting the Winds of Change:
America and the Middle East, 2005
When The Washington Institute was founded in 1985, the Middle East was a critical front in the Cold War, Ayatollah Khomeini was at the vanguard of the Islamic revolution, the Arab-Israeli peace process was stagnant, and America was still reeling from the ignominy of withdrawing its Marine contingent from Lebanon
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Brief Analysis
Entering the 'Tipping Period' in Iraq
Though armed insurgencies can last for a decade or more, they also can have decisive periods in which their paths are set, even if those paths do not become apparent for some time. Iraq appears to be entering just such a period of decision. Starting Conditions The process of political
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
The Wrong Lesson from Gaza
After Israel's pullout from Gaza, the secretary general of Hamas, Khaled Mashal, declared that the withdrawal was an Israeli defeat and a victory for violence. Mr. Mashal made clear to reporters in Beirut that suicide bombings inside Israeli cities and mortars fired at Israeli towns were effective. He proclaimed, "The
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Sunni Arab Insurgency:
A Spent or Rising Force?
Warnings by Sunni politicians of even greater violence if Sunni Arab concerns are not addressed in the draft Iraqi constitution raise the question: could the insurgency get worse? The answer can be found by examining the insurgency's demographic dimension. The Insurgency's Recruitment Base Sufficiently detailed demographic data exist to allow
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Michael Eisenstadt
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