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Muslims in France:
A Ticking Time Bomb?
The following are excerpts of remarks by Washington Institute senior fellow Soner Cagaptay at a FrontPageMagazine.com symposium moderated by Jamie Glazov. Percentagewise, as well as in cumulative terms, France has the largest Muslim community in the EU. There are no official figures, since France does not collect numbers on religious
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Future of the Jewish Settler Movement, Post-Disengagement
The impending Israeli disengagement from the Gaza Strip and four settlements in the northern West Bank threatens the ideological foundations of many settlers. This is particularly true for religious settlers, most of whom view Israeli habitation of the West Bank as the fulfillment of a biblical mandate initiated by the
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Articles & Testimony
Next Generation
Last week, Iranians elected a proto-fascist as president. The rise of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, formerly the mayor of Tehran, was a blow to the vibrant reform movement that swept Mohammed Khatami to the presidency in 1997. Ahmadinejad's extreme social conservatism—which bears plenty of resemblance to the Taliban's—and his economic populism have
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Brief Analysis
European Recalcitrance toward Turkey:
An Agenda for U.S.-Turkish Ties in Summer 2005
Today, the European Commission, the executive arm of the European Union (EU), issued its Framework for Negotiations with Turkey, a document outlining a strategy for accession talks with Ankara. In December 2004, the EU indicated that Ankara had satisfied its membership criteria “sufficiently enough” to begin talks on October 3
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Women in Gulf Politics:
A Progress Report
On June 20, 2005, Kuwait’s first female cabinet minister, Massouma al-Mubarak, was sworn in, taking responsibility for the planning portfolio. Six months earlier, a woman was appointed minister of economy and planning in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). Women have assumed ministerial posts in Bahrain and Oman as well. And
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
German and French Leaders’ Views on Turkey’s EU Membership
In December 2004, the European Union (EU) invited Turkey to begin accession talks for membership in October 2005, stating that Ankara had met its accession rules “sufficiently enough” to do so. On June 29, the European Commission is expected to ratify the first draft of a technical framework that lays
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Brief Analysis
Deteriorating Security May Short-Circuit Israeli-Palestinian Opportunities
The June 21 meeting between Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian Authority (PA) president Mahmoud Abbas highlighted the widening expectations gap between the two parties. Less than two months before Israel commences its pullout from the Gaza Strip and parts of the northern West Bank, the security situation is
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
The Equation of Fear
Once again the Iranian nation is at a fork in the road: a choice between worse and worst. It is not clear when it will have the possibility of choosing, under a democratic structure, between better and best. A problematic election and the intervention of the armed services in politics
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Mohsen Sazegara
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Presidential Election:
The Candidates Speak
Iranians will head back to the polls on June 24 to decide an unprecedented presidential runoff pitting Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad against Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. Ahmadinezhad, mayor of Tehran, defied pre-election forecasts by reportedly finishing with 5,710,354 (19.5 percent) of the 29,317,042 ballots cast in the original election on June 17
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Articles & Testimony
Mixed Message
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, America's most politically powerful pianist, delivered a virtuoso performance in Cairo on Monday. She struck just the right notes in a speech calling on Arab states to implement a long list of democratic reforms. Two days earlier in Ramallah, however, Rice's tune was uncharacteristically flat
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Articles & Testimony
A Gaza Pull-Out Does Not Reward Terror
Today Ariel Sharon and Mahmoud Abbas, the Israeli and Palestinian leaders, will hold their second summit in five months. Mindful of the recent admonition of Condoleezza Rice, US secretary of state, to co-ordinate their steps on Israeli disengagement from Gaza, they will focus on ensuring a smooth withdrawal of Israeli
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Assessing Palestinian Security Reform
Palestinian security reform was high on the agenda during Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice’s recent visit to Ramallah. A spike in armed clashes, crime, and demonstrations in the territories has highlighted the issue of law and order among the Palestinian people, who are increasingly concerned about their daily security. On
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Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
Lebanon:
At the Crossroads between Democracy and Rogue State
Lebanon’s ongoing parliamentary elections—held in a staggered format through June 19—reflect a new, complex reality for the country. Although free from Syrian tutelage and gerrymandering, the results have been much less encouraging than had been hoped when Syrian troops withdrew. Background: Past Elections The 1990 Taif Accord offered an imperfect
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Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Empty Gesture
Today, when Iranians go to the polls to elect a new president, the vote will almost certainly be free, competitive, and fair. It will also be a joke. Always inventive, Iran's ruling mullahs years ago developed a new twist on the old autocratic game of holding sham elections. Whereas the
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Occupied Iraq:
One Country, Many Wars
On June 17, 2005, Jeffrey White participated in a forum titled "Occupied Iraq: One Country, Many Wars," the fortieth installment of the Middle East Policy Council's Capitol Hill Conference Series. The following is an unedited transcript of the entire forum. See video footage of the event. Speakers Ivan Eland Senior
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Talk Is Cheap
From Newsweek to The New York Times, the Middle East policy buzz du jour is whether the Bush administration will jettison years of precedent and authorize diplomatic contact with Hamas, the radical Islamist movement in the West Bank and Gaza. This is not a hypothetical issue. Running on an anti-corruption
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Brief Analysis
Gaza Settler Relocation:
New Progress, Ongoing Complications
Among the challenges facing the Israeli government in the weeks before the Gaza disengagement commences are relocating evacuated settlers and determining the future of settlement assets. This PeaceWatch will examine the former issue; a future PeaceWatch will address the latter. Settler Compensation On June 9, 2005, the Israeli supreme court
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Articles & Testimony
Countering the Theological Case for 'Economic Jihad' Is Vital
Let there be no doubt: cutting off the flow of funds to Jihadist organisations bent on carrying out acts of violence is critical. Shutting down militant organisations is an important part of that strategy, but undermining the theological foundation of 'economic Jihad' is equally important. Unlike the tactical process of
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Articles & Testimony
Sin of Omission
President Bashar al Assad of Syria has lately seemed to be doing everything possible to make himself an ex-dictator—and this week he took yet another step in that direction. Ironically, his latest mistake was not some egregious act of oppression or deceit—though he has in the past been guilty of
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium:
Michael Stein Address on U.S. Middle East Policy
On May 20, 2005, Ahmed Nazif addressed The Washington Institute’s Twentieth Anniversary Soref Symposium. Prior to becoming Egyptian prime minister in July 2004, Dr. Nazif served as the country’s first minister for communications and information technology. In that capacity, he was widely credited with establishing Egypt’s free internet connectivity plan
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