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Brief Analysis
Bush, Europe, and the Middle East:
Analyzing the Visit
There is a consensus in Europe that President George W. Bush's visit marks a transition after three difficult years of transatlantic relations. Europe cannot ignore this administration for another four years. Rather, it is in Europe's best interests to work with President Bush, because Europeans see the Middle East as
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Michael Jacobson
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Authority Minister of Economy Tied to Hamas?
On February 24, 2005, the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) approved the new cabinet proposed by Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei. Often described as technocratic and progressive, the cabinet is widely seen as fitting the Bush administration’s requirement of being “untainted by terror.” Indeed, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice highlighted the new
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Newly Approved Security Fence Route:
Geography and Demography
Last week, the Israeli cabinet approved modified routing of the security fence, the first officially sanctioned changes since the cabinet approved construction in October 2003. The modifications, prompted by an Israeli supreme court decision last summer made to avert Palestinian hardship, are characterized by four major adjustments: (1) revised routing
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
An Opening in the Mideast
President Bush declared in Europe that the world cannot rest until there is peace between Israelis and Palestinians. Certainly he knew that Europeans would welcome such words. But I suspect this was less a tactical gesture to the Europeans and more a statement of intent, reflecting his commitment to act
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Next Steps in Lebanon:
Key Variables in the Growing Confrontation with Syria
The fall of the Omar Karami cabinet in Beirut on February 28 marked an important development in the brewing confrontation between an energized civil society in Lebanon and the country's Syrian-backed government. While Damascus will likely try to staunch the bleeding of its occupation of Lebanon by redeploying troops—and perhaps
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Articles & Testimony
Arab-Israeli Futures:
Next Steps for the United States
The attached PDF contains papers on U.S. policy and the Middle East Peace Process, authored by David Makovsky, Robert Malley and Steven Spiegel. They are first contribution to the United States Institute of Peace's (USIP) research project on "Arab-Israeli Futures." These papers offer a range of policy options for the
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Lebanon's Lesson for Arab Leaders
On Monday in Beirut, despite a ban on public demonstrations, 25,000 people took to the streets, chanted "Syria out" and triggered the resignation of the pro-Syrian prime minister and his government. Since the assassination of Rafiq Hariri, the former prime minister, on February 14, the Lebanese people—Christians, Muslims and Druze—have
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Amerika, Türkiye’yi kaybetmek istemez; ama...
(America does not want to lose Turkey, but…)
WASHINGTON - Soner Çagaptay’a göre, ABD için Türkiye hâlâ gözde. Ama, Türkiye’deki Amerikan aleyhtarligindan kaygi duyuyor. Türkiye’nin destegi ABD’nin hareket alanini genisletiyor. Isler Türkiye’siz de oluyor; ama Türkiye ile daha kolay... Gelecek 5-10 yilda Amerikan ordusunda en aktif görev alacak subaylar, 1 Mart tezkeresinden öTürkiye’ye kizginlik duyanlar olacak.
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
A Multi-Pronged Strategy to Defeat Hamas
Now that the Israeli government has voted to withdraw from the Gaza Strip and the northern West Bank, the key challenge is to stop those who oppose any peace agreement. Despite Friday’s lethal bombing in Tel Aviv by Islamic Jihad, the chief among these groups remains Hamas, the Islamic rejectionist
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah Finances:
Funding the Party of God
The following is a summary of Matthew Levitt's “Hizballah Finances: Funding the Party of God,” a chapter in the forthcoming volume Terrorism Financing and State Responses in Comparative Perspective, sponsored by the Center for Homeland Defense and Security at the Naval Postgraduate School. Read the full text of the chapter
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Iraq Elections Set Conditions for Summer of Discontent
Although the elections in Iraq did not produce the nightmare scenarios predicted by many analysts, they have set in motion a process of intense political dialogue and violent brinksmanship that is likely to last throughout 2005....
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Supporting the Palestinian Authority:
Will the Oil-Rich Arabs Pay Up?
On March 1, British prime minister Tony Blair will host a conference in London dedicated to garnering support for the Palestinian Authority (PA). The summit is intended to help the new Palestinian leadership strengthen PA institutions, with a special focus on facilitating economic development, encouraging donor pledges, and identifying investment
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Simon Henderson
New Battles, New Beginnings
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Brief Analysis
A New Palestinian Cabinet
On February 24, 2005, the Palestinian Legislative Council (PLC) approved the new cabinet presented by Prime Minister Ahmed Qurei by a vote of fifty-four to ten, with four abstentions, establishing the first official government appointed after the January election of President Mahmoud Abbas. After a week of political infighting over
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Iranian State Sponsorship of Terror:
Threatening U.S. Security, Global Stability, and Regional Peace
On February 16, 2005, Matthew Levitt, senior fellow and director of The Washington Institute's Terrorism Studies Program, testified in a joint hearing before the Subcommittee on the Middle East and Central Asia and the Subcommittee on International Terrorism and Nonproliferation, House Committee on International Relations. The following is a summary
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
U.S., Europe Facing Similar Problems in War on Terror
President Bush's current trip to Europe is being viewed as a means to ease tensions and promote better relations. The often heated rhetoric over the past few years between the U.S. and Europeans has obscured the fact that they are facing many of the same challenges and have encountered similar
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
After Elections:
What Next for Iraq and U.S. Policy?
Freedom As a Strategic Concept Since the September 11 attacks, the Bush administration has radically altered U.S. Middle East policy. Broadly defined, the administration’s view is that democracy and freedom in the region is the central strategic concept offering a serious, long-term alternative to jihadi terrorism. This policy shift marks
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Brief Analysis
Security, Reform, and Peace:
The Three Pillars of U.S. Strategy in the Middle East
The United States is facing an extraordinary moment of challenge in the Middle East, one that demands an integrated U.S. strategy built on a set of three pillars: security, reform, and peace. The security agenda is the most pressing, but it alone is not sufficient. If the United States wants
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Articles & Testimony
When Will Iran Be a Nuclear Power?
When will Iran achieve "nuclear status"? When other states form their own policies on the assumption that Iran has nuclear weapons—whether or not it has declared or tested a nuclear bomb. The earliest warning will probably come from Iran acting in a more assertive manner. Despite all the concern in
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Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
Security, Reform, and Peace:
The Three Pillars of U.S. Strategy in the Middle East
The United States is facing an extraordinary moment of challenge in the Middle East, one that demands an integrated U.S. strategy built on a set of three pillars: security, reform, and peace. The security agenda is the most pressing, but it alone is not sufficient. If the United States wants
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