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11364
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Brief Analysis
Carrots for Iran?
Lessons from Libya
This is the first part of a two-part series on diplomacy surrounding the Iranian nuclear program and looks at U.S.-European relations. Read Part II. As European and Iranian officials began negotiations December 14 on whether to make permanent Iran's temporary suspension of uranium enrichment, eight former Western foreign ministers issued
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Zarqawi's Jordanian Agenda
Though most famous for funding and organizing suicide bombings and beheadings in Iraq, Ahmad Fadil Nazal al-Khalaylah -- aka Abu Musab al-Zarqawi -- has long assumed a leading role in terrorist operations in other countries, including his native Jordan. An East Banker and a member of the Bani Hassan tribe
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Middle East Affiliate Groups and the Next Generation of Terror
On December 1, 2004, Jonathan Schanzer and Daniel Benjamin addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Mr. Schanzer, who just completed a Soref fellowship at the Institute, is author of Al-Qaeda's Armies: Middle East Affiliate Groups and the Next Generation of Terror (co-published by the Institute and SPI Books, November
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
The Eve of Decision:
Will Europe Admit Turkey?
On October 6, 2004, the European Commission released its final report on Turkey's progress toward satisfying the EU's accession rules, known as the Copenhagen Criteria. Although the report stated that "Turkey satisfies the Copenhagen Criteria sufficiently" to enter accession talks, many European counties and the EU itself are still debating
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Soner Cagaptay
Mark Parris
Brief Analysis
Beyond Arafat:
Palestinian Politics in the New Era
Yasser Arafat was a leader who actively engaged his people in military conflict with Israel. His death presents the Palestinians with an opportunity to choose a leader who will pull them back from that aspect of the struggle. What Abu Mazen Must Do to Win Upon Arafat's death, former prime
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Deciphering Palestinian Politics Post-Arafat
For years there has been much speculation about possible worst-case scenarios that could emerge following Yasser Arafat's death, particularly civil war or a similar disruption of nationalist unity. Such developments have yet to materialize, however. Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza find themselves at a historic junction, with renewed
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Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Cooperation against New Maritime Threats in the Mediterranean Basin
On November 23, 2004, Gen. James Jones, NATO's supreme allied commander for Europe, praised Operation Active Endeavour (OAE) for its role on the war on terror. OAE is NATO's post-September 11 answer to the question of naval security in the Mediterranean Sea. With the threat of terrorism on the open
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Orhan Babaoglu
Brief Analysis
Saudi Stability in the Shadow of the U.S. Consulate Attack in Jeddah
The December 6 terrorist attack on the U.S. consulate in the Saudi port city of Jeddah, which killed five non-American staff members, was a worrisome display of al-Qaeda's careful planning, detailed timing, and audaciousness. Worse still, the assault contradicts Riyadh's claims that it has contained the threat of terrorism. The
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Simon Henderson
Operation Iraqi Freedom: Clearing Sewage in Falluja
Navy Seabee clears flooding in Falluja.
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Brief Analysis
From Falluja to Elections:
A View from Iraq
The forces at play in Iraqi politics have changed over the past seventeen months. There is a glaring absence of moderate Iraqis throughout the political scene, within all three major ethno-religious groups -- Shiites, Sunni Arabs, and Kurds. The interim government has perpetuated the dominance of the same seven prominent
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Ghassan al-Atiyyah
Brief Analysis
Promoting a Ceasefire on the Palestinian-Israeli Front
Common wisdom holds that Arafat's departure from the scene opens promising new horizons to the future of the Palestinian people as well as to Palestinian-Israeli relations. But horizons, by definition, have the tricky nature of distancing themselves from you as you approach them, leaving you with the gloom of day-to-day
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Analyzing King Abdullah's Change in the Line of Succession
Jordan's King Abdullah stripped his younger half brother Hamzeh of the latter's position as crown prince yesterday. He has not yet named a new successor, though by the terms of the Jordanian constitution Abdullah's ten-year-old son Hussein would automatically inherit the throne. Background In January 1999, Abdullah was named crown
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Faces of Battle:
The Insurgents in Falluja
The military outcome of the long-anticipated coalition operation to break the insurgents' control of the city of Falluja was never in doubt. Only the speed of the operation and the casualties inflicted and taken were in question. Ultimately, of course, it remains to be seen if Iraqi and coalition forces
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Clarifying and Strengthening the Iran-European Nuclear Accord
On November 25, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors will meet to consider Iran's nuclear program, in light of the November 14 Paris Accords between Iran and Britain, France, and Germany (the E3). If the Paris Accords are going to work as a stepping-stone toward ending Iran's
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Post-Arafat Transition:
Upcoming Palestinian Elections
As the Palestinians seek to sort out the post-Arafat succession, ostensibly the first order of business is presidential elections. The Palestinian Authority (PA) has said it would hold presidential elections on January 9, 2005. However, making the election successful may require prior commitment to a cease fire, which in turn
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
How to Win the Battle of Ideas in the War on Terror
On November 10, 2004, Robert Satloff, executive director of The Washington Institute, and Fouad Ajami, director of the Middle East Studies Program at Johns Hopkins University's School of Advanced International Studies, addressed a Special Policy Forum luncheon on the occasion of the release of Dr. Satloff's new Institute monograph, The
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Iraq Conference in Egypt:
Aims, Risks, and Approaches
On November 22-23, officials from several countries will hold a conference in Sharm al-Sheikh, Egypt, regarding Iraq's future. The meeting will represent the first major international event focused on Iraq since the reelection of President George W. Bush and the resignation of U.S. secretary of state Colin Powell. Though organized
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Inside Hizballah's al-Manar Television
On October 25, 2004, Avi Jorisch and Salameh Nematt addressed The Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum. Mr. Jorisch, an adjunct scholar of The Washington Institute, is the author of Beacon of Hatred: Inside Hizballah’s al-Manar Television (The Washington Institute, 2004). Mr. Nematt is the Washington bureau chief and a weekly
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Avi Jorisch
Brief Analysis
In the Wake of Arafat:
Palestinian Politics, Disengagement, and U.S. Policy
A transfer of power within the Palestinian Authority, coupled with the Israeli disengagement from Gaza, presents both challenges and opportunities for reviving Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations. The preconditions of past peace treaties between Israel and its Arab neighbors have demonstrated the necessity for calm on the ground and strong leaders who
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David Makovsky
Michael Herzog
U.S. Army soldiers double-check a map
U.S. Army soldiers double-check a map for their sector and routes in Ad Dwr, Iraq, Nov. 16, 2004. The soldiers are assigned to the 1st Infantry Division's Troop C, 1st Battalion, 4th Cavalry Regiment. They are taking part in a combined information operation conducted with the Iraqi National Guard to
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