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Articles & Testimony
The Prospects for Nuclear 'Roll Back' in Iran
Although it may not be feasible now or in the near future, the U.S. should not exclude the possibility at some future date of nuclear roll back in Iran -- particularly in light of Libya -- s recent surprise decision to scrap its nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs. Since
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Articles & Testimony
Ansar al-Islam:
Back in Iraq
Months before the Iraq war of 2003, The New Yorker, Christian Science Monitor, and The New York Times published reports about Ansar al-Islam (“Partisans of Islam”), a brutal band of al-Qa‘ida guerrillas based in a Kurdish area of northern Iraq near the Iranian border. U.S. officials pointed to Ansar al-Islam
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Hamas from Cradle to Grave
Over the past three years, the United States has uncovered just how systematically terrorist groups conceal their activities behind charitable, social, and political fronts. Investigators, faced with the threat posed by Al-Qa‘ida and its many affiliates, have come to appreciate the crucial role played by charities, foundations, and individual donors
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Challenges of U.S. Preventive Military Action
Excerpted from Checking Iran's Nuclear Ambitions, ed. Patrick Clawson and Henry Sokolski (Carlisle, PA: Strategic Studies Institute, 2004), pp. 113–128. For some U.S. policymakers and military planners, Israel's 1981 raid on Iraq's Osiraq nuclear reactor may serve as an object lesson regarding the potential benefits of preventive military action against
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Responding to Iran's Nuclear Challenge
Delay is Victory
The late 2003 IAEA deal at its best addresses only a small part of the Iranian nuclear proliferation threat; at its worst, the deal could become a significant obstacle to responding to the Iranian nuclear threat. The test will come over time -- which is convenient for the Bush administration
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Brief Analysis
Waging the War on Terror:
Are the Saudis Starting to Turn the Corner?
MATTHEW LEVITT In the wake of the al-Qaeda attacks in Riyadh in May and November 2003, the Saudis have made significant progress toward stemming the flow of funds to terrorists. Though bold and welcome, the Saudi measures still fall short of transforming the kingdom from the "epicenter" of terrorist financing
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Matthew Levitt
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Trying a Tyrant:
Should the Iraqis Alone Sit in Judgment of Saddam?
RUTH WEDGWOOD The question of whether Saddam Husayn should be tried by an international tribunal or by an Iraqi court has been widely discussed lately. The International Criminal Court (ICC), to which the United States has long objected, does not have jurisdiction for such a trial; it can only consider
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Brief Analysis
Trading Terrorists:
Al-Qaeda in Iran for Mujahedin in Iraq?
On December 9, 2003, the Iraqi Governing Council announced that it would expel the Iranian opposition group Mujahedin-e Khalq (MEK) from Iraq. Reacting to this decision, Paul Bremer, administrator of the Coalition Provisional Authority, recently told Iraqi television that MEK members should be settled in other countries with the help
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Raymond Tanter
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Israel and the Palestinians:
An End-of-Year Assessment (Part II)
Although neither the Israeli mainstream nor the Palestinian public has accepted the Geneva Accord, its principles have had a profound effect on both societies. For the Palestinians, core existential issues are now subject to debate in an unprecedented way. For example, as one Fatah official pointed out, Palestinians have been
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Tracking Libya's Nuclear Activities
Besides dismantling a dangerous program, the IAEA's efforts in Libya may also expose the international network of nuclear cooperation that enabled this infrastructure to develop as far as it has.
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Brief Analysis
Israel and the Palestinians:
An End-of-Year Assessment (Part I)
In 2003, a new debate is underway about the future of Israel. The question is not about whether a grand deal with the Palestinians is possible; now the debate focuses on the political implications of current demographic trends that reflect a sharp increase in the region's Palestinian population. Within a
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
American Schools abroad Have a Big Part to Play
Like legions of other proud parents, my wife and I sat beaming in the audience earlier this month, video camera in hand, as our son Benji, 6, stood with his fellow first-graders on the stage of his school auditorium and sang a medley of holiday songs. The adorably cute, multicultural
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
In Defense of a Fence
After years of frustration in which persistent Palestinian terrorism has held peace negotiations hostage, a security fence may be the first step toward disengagement and a precondition for resuming any political process.
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Uzi Dayan
Articles & Testimony
Living in the Past:
Saddam's Present and Future
Saddam Hussein's dejected look as an U.S. Army medic looked in his hair for lice will go down in history. His expression of puzzlement, just a few hours after his capture on Saturday night, was, as they say, a picture. Indeed, it has since appeared on the cover of a
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Middle Eastern Reactions to Saddam's Capture
The December 13 capture of Saddam Husayn elicited a variety of reactions from government officials and other prominent figures throughout the Middle East. Following is a sampling of these reactions, quoted and paraphrased from various regional and international media sources. Arab League. Secretary-General Amr Mussa stated that the Iraqi people
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Brief Analysis
The Implications of Saddam's Capture for the Resistance in Iraq
The December 13 capture of Saddam Husayn is proving to be a compelling event, drawing massive media and official attention. Many commentators have been quick to offer profound conclusions regarding the impact that this development will have on the future of Iraq, the U.S. presidential elections, and the war on
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Assessing European-Levantine Relations by the Numbers
Europe's increasing role in the Levant was highlighted recently by two high-profile events that may have a significant impact on future relations between the two regions. On December 1, Israelis and Palestinians launched a controversial unofficial peacemaking initiative in Geneva. On December 2-3, the Barcelona Process countries held their sixth
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Articles & Testimony
Nuclear Spinning:
The Iran-Pakistan Link
Forget, for the moment, Saddam's weapons of mass destruction -- or lack thereof. Consider instead the other WMD conundrum: Iran. Events in Pakistan, where two nuclear scientists were arrested last week, suggest the whole issue is about to blow. (Figuratively, that is.) Last month, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Insurgency in Iraq:
Implications and Challenges
MICHAEL EISENSTADT The War and the Resistance Some have argued that the coalition might not be facing stiff resistance today if it had fought the war differently. To be sure, coalition forces would likely have killed more of the regime's Fedayeen Saddam cannon fodder if they had invaded from Turkey
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Michael Eisenstadt
Jeffrey White
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The United States and Turkey:
'A Resilient Partnership'
Turkey's Relations with Its Neighbors Turkey is positioned in what has historically been an unfriendly part of the world, surrounded by neighbors whose political systems are, for the most part, strikingly different from Turkish democracy. Until about six years ago, Turkey had poor relations with most of its neighbors. Today
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