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Brief Analysis
The Geneva Accord:
A U.S.-Led Multilateral Peace Masked As a Bilateral Deal
Despite its billing as an alternative blueprint for Middle East peace, the draft Geneva Accord for a permanent status agreementproduced by an Israeli opposition parliamentarian and a Palestinian confidant of Yasir Arafatis not primarily a bilateral Israeli-Palestinian peace deal. Rather, its main innovation is the comprehensive and, in some cases
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Economics of Iraqi Security (Part I):
Employment
This PolicyWatch is the first in a three-part series written to coincide with the Madrid Donors Conference on Iraq, which begins on October 24, 2003. Read Part II (also by Knights) and Part III (by Patrick Clawson). A recent series of violent riots has underlined the close relationship between employment
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Turning a Blind Eye to Hamas in London
On September 6, the European Union finally abandoned the sophomoric position that the social and political wings of Hamas are somehow distinct from the group's military wing, banning not only the Izz al Dinn al Qassam Brigades but Hamas overall. This should have made it harder for Hamas to raise
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Firm on 'Right of Return'
Just as the self-proclaimed new historians burst onto the scene in the late 1980s, the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research's (PSR) July 2003 poll purported to upend the conventional understanding of the Palestinian refugee problem. The PSR poll, widely covered in the international media, surveyed 4,506 refugees living
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Articles & Testimony
Palestinian Terrorists Expand Their Reach
The bombing of a U.S. convoy in Gaza on Wednesday, which killed three American contract employees of the U.S. embassy in Tel Aviv and injured a U.S. diplomat, was neither unprecedented nor unexpected. Indeed, U.S. embassy employees narrowly escaped injury in a similar attack last June, when unknown assailants detonated
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
To the Brink:
Muqtada al-Sadr Challenges the United States
Shi'i leader Muqtada al-Sadr, one of the most dangerous men in Iraq, has moved to the brink of a direct and violent confrontation with the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) and U.S. forces. This is neither an accident nor a surprise. He has prepared for this eventuality almost from the beginning
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Toward a Saudi Nuclear Option:
The Saudi-Pakistani Summit
On October 18, Crown Prince Abdullah of Saudi Arabia will begin two days of talks in Pakistan. One of the subjects that may be discussed is the potential transfer of Pakistani nuclear missiles to Saudi Arabia. The kingdom has long been suspected of funding Pakistan's nuclear program; given recent revelations
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Terrorist Attacks against Western Officials in Gaza, the West Bank, and Israel
The bombing of a U.S. convoy in Gaza today, which killed three American contract employees of the U.S. embassy in Tel Aviv and injured a fourth, is neither unprecedented nor unexpected. Indeed, U.S. embassy employees narrowly escaped injury in a similar attack on June 28, 2003, when unknown assailants detonated
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Azerbaijan Goes to the Polls
The Republic of Azerbaijan, a secular, predominately Shii-populated state, will hold presidential elections on October 15, 2003. The state borders Iran, produces significant quantities of oil and gas, and conducts a pro-American foreign policy. The capital, Baku, maintains extremely close ties with Turkey, including military cooperation, and is friendly to
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Brenda Shaffer
Articles & Testimony
The Fence Need Not Be the End of the Road
With Israeli-Palestinian diplomacy frozen, it is not surprising that the world is focusing its attention on the barrier that the Israelis are building in the West Bank. Israelis say it is about security. Palestinians say the "apartheid wall" is about Israeli imposition and land-grabs. For the Bush administration, it is
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
PLO Penetrates Homeland Security
Over the past two years of the war on terror, the United States has significantly toughened its procedures for obtaining visas to enter the US, including requiring more face-to-face interviews and eliminating a transit-visa program officials feared terrorists were planning to use to sneak into the country. Despite these efforts
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
New Evidence of Wider Threats from Lebanon's Asbat al-Ansar
Lebanon and occupying Syria have downplayed the threat of Asbat al-Ansar ever since the al-Qaeda affiliate was named a Specially Designated Global Terrorist by the U.S. government on September 23, 2001. Made up of only a few hundred fighters, Asbat was thought to be contained within Ein al-Hilweh, a Palestinian
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
Subversion from Within:
Saudi Funding of Islamic Extremist Groups in the United States
On September 10, 2003, Matthew Levitt, senior fellow in terrorism studies at The Washington Institute, testified before the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Terrorism, Technology, and Homeland Security. The following is an edited version of his remarks. Read the full transcript. Financing Terrorism Well into the war on terror, Saudi Arabia
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Inconsistent U.S. Representation in Saudi Arabia:
A Continuing Problem
The surprise announcement that Robert Jordan, U.S. ambassador to Saudi Arabia, will leave his post by mid-October means that Washington will lack an authoritative voice in the kingdom at a crucial time in the war on terror. One State Department official has claimed that Jordan's resignation was for personal reasons
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Simon Henderson
Turkey's Future Direction and U.S.-Turkey Relations (Part II)
Testimony before the House International Affairs Committee Mr. Chairman, in the interests of time, and as there are members of the panel more qualified than I to address Turkey's internal dynamics, I will with your permission focus my prepared remarks on matters relating to U.S. -Turkish relations. Strategic Partnership In
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Mark Parris
Turkey's Future Direction and U.S.-Turkey Relations (Part I)
Testimony before the House International Relations Committee Mr. Chairman, thank you for giving me the chance to come here today and speak about Turkey and the future of U.S.-Turkish relations. It's an honor to have been invited to testify before this prestigious body. We have a number of issues to
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Djerejian Report on Public Diplomacy:
First Impressions
In its eighty-page report Changing Minds, Winning Peace, issued earlier today, the State Department's Advisory Group on Public Diplomacy for the Arab and Muslim World -- chaired by Edward Djerejian -- delivered a refreshingly blunt assessment of many of the failures in Washington's efforts to deliver its message to Muslims
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
How Iraqis View U.S. Role Is Key to Evaluating Progress in Iraq
Reports about U.S. casualties inevitably take top billing in media coverage of postwar Iraq. Yet, assessing how Iraqis themselves view the current situation is, arguably, just as important for evaluating progress in Iraq. Two recent public opinion polls have provided systematic data about Iraqi views, and this data in turn
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Unfair and Unbalanced
No sooner was Saddam Hussein chased from power than CNN revealed that it had often held its tongue about his savagery for fear of losing access to Iraq and provoking violent retribution. Although the confession was stunning, it was only the most recent chapter in a long story. Tyrannies have
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In-Depth Reports
U.S. Trade with the Middle East:
Opportunities and Challenges
When I look at the set of challenges we face in the Middle East, it seems like a lot of elements are now being pushed to the fore -- Iran, Iraq, the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, and democratization. One issue that always has garnered less attention in the region is economics
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