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11364
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In-Depth Reports
Classifying Evil:
Bush Administration Rhetoric and Policy toward Rogue Regimes
Language matters in international policymaking, and terms such as "rogue," "outlaw," and "hostile" can help mobilize democratic publics against states that actively attempt to acquire weapons of mass destruction (WMD), proliferate long-range missiles, and sponsor international terrorism. For President George W. Bush, the attacks of September 11, 2001, reinforced the
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Raymond Tanter
Articles & Testimony
Stemming the Flow of Terrorist Financing:
Practical and Conceptual Challenges
On November 5, 2002, Germany's chief of foreign intelligence warned that the risk of new and devastating al-Qaeda attacks in Europe has reached new heights. "The danger is so concrete that we have to count on a new attack, an attack of a much larger dimension," he said.1 The public
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Matthew Levitt
A Year of Victory and Challenge
From the downfall of Saddam Husayn's regime to the failure of the Abu Mazen government and the growing conflict over Iranian nuclear ambitions, the year 2003 was an especially eventful one in the Middle East. For the first time, the annual compendium of flagship Washington Institute analysis has been compiled
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Brief Analysis
Iraq Crisis after the Blix Report:
Diplomatic and Military Options
On January 27, Hans Blix, director of the UN Monitoring, Verification, and Inspection Commission (UNMOVIC), delivered a straightforward report to the Security Council regarding Iraqi compliance with arms resolutions. Twelve years after taking up the obligation to disarm under UN Security Council Resolution (UNSCR) 687, Baghdad still does not genuinely
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Patrick Clawson
Philip Gordon
Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Peace Pays Off for Jordan
As Iraq continues its rejectionist course, Islamic militancy remains strong and ongoing terrorist attacks stoke Palestinian-Israeli violence, expectations in the Middle East have plunged lower than the Dead Sea. Yet amid the gloom there is a glimmer of good news: Jordan. It has been said that Jordan is the quintessential
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israeli Elections Results:
Assessing Implications
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon swept to victory yesterday, his right bloc assured of at least 67 seats in the incoming 120-seat Knesset. Indeed, Likud's strength has essentially doubled, rising from 19 seats in the fifteenth Knesset to 37 seats in the sixteenth. The right's gain was matched by the left
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The State of Denial
Well into the second year of a global war on terrorism, key Arab journalists and intellectuals continue to whitewash Middle Eastern terrorism. In effect, there currently exists a pan-Arab state of denial. The shallow nature of America's anti-terror partnerships in the Middle East is only partly a result of the
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Impact of an Iraq Confrontation on Gulf States:
Foreign Policy and Domestic Politics
Regime change in Baghdad could do more than make Iraq a positive force in the Middle East instead of a source of trouble; it could also give a strong boost to liberalizing trends throughout the Middle East. Therefore, a war to topple Saddam Husayn's regime would create both opportunities and
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Shafeeq Ghabra
Brief Analysis
Why Are the Turks Hesitating on Iraq?
On January 25, Secretary of State Colin Powell met Turkish prime minister Abdullah Gul and the chair of the governing Justice and Development Party (AKP), Tayyip Erdogan, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. Powell's meeting -- which followed a January 19 visit to Turkey by General Richard Myers
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Israel Goes to the Polls:
An Election Preview
On January 24, 2003, Elie Rekhess and David Makovsky addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Dr. Rekhess is a senior associate at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern Studies at Tel Aviv University and director of the center's research program on Arab politics in Israel. Mr. Makovsky is
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Reforming the Arab Stand:
A Saudi Initiative on Iraq and the Wider Arab World
Last week, the Saudi government published what it described as a "Charter to Reform the Arab Stand," a document intended for endorsement at the next summit of Arab leaders, due to be held in Bahrain in March. Addressed to Arab kings and presidents, the charter calls for more internal reforms
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Bush Administration's Busy Year in the Middle East:
A Preview of 2003
DENNIS ROSS Dilemmas for U.S. Middle East policy will arise in the immediate post-Saddam aftermath. Foremost will be America's preoccupation with stabilizing Iraq and transforming its new government into a democracy. Vague at present is whether U.S.-led forces will focus on existing institutions (e.g., the Iraqi military) or build new
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Dennis Ross
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
As Mitzna Chooses, Labor's Prospects Recede
Earlier this week, Israel's Labor Party leader Amram Mitzna announced that he would not look to resume a broad coalition government with the Likud Party following the country's upcoming January 28 election, a crucial decision that dropped Labor from 24 to 20 seats (according to today's Yediot Aharonot poll) and
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Easy on the Stick:
Why the United States Should Deconflict
This week, hundreds of U.S. soldiers will participate in Juniper Cobra, a joint exercise with the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to test the interoperability of U.S. Patriot and Israeli Arrow antiballistic missile systems. Such bilateral cooperation, coupled with reports that the Bush administration is considering providing Israel an additional $4
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Brief Analysis
Hizballah Fundraising in the American Heartland
Operation Smoke Screen In 1996, an off-duty police officer working as a security guard at a cigarette wholesaler in North Carolina noticed young men entering the building with grocery bags full of cash. The men would queue up in the cashier's line with 299 cartons of cigarettes each, while one
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Brief Analysis
Ansar al-Islam:
Iraq's al-Qaeda Connection
Ansar al-Islam, an al-Qaeda affiliate active in Iraqi Kurdistan since September 2001, is a prototype of America's enemies in the "war on terror." The group serves as a testament to the global spread of al-Qaeda affiliates, achieved through exploitation of weak central authorities and a utilitarian willingness to work with
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Jonathan Schanzer
U.S.-Turkish Relations and Iraq
Remarks made on the CNN program Insight. JONATHAN MANN, CNN ANCHOR: Talking Turkey. Washington tries to get a new and nervous government to take a big role against Iraq. What's a war going to be worth? Hello and welcome. Prominent Turks and Americans have been traveling this week in essentially
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
In Israeli Right-Left Divide, Center May Hold the Balance of Power
The slide in the polls of Ariel Sharon's Likud Party over the last six weeks has been rather dramatic, transforming the character of the campaign from an expected Sharon landslide into a closer contest. In Thursday's Yediot Ahronot-Dahaf poll, Likud dropped from 40 to 28 seats in the 120-member Knesset
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Blair Shouldn't Count on Being Bush's 'Bestest Friend'
The gap between London and Washington on foreign policy is widening. Crevasses have often opened or closed in the past -- or have had to be perilously bridged. But the issue of the post-Saddam Hussein Middle East -- or even achieving this nirvana -- now looks dangerously like causing a
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Banning Hizballah Activity in Canada
On December 11, 2002, the Canadian government banned Hizballah, labeling it a terrorist organization. Strangely, some in Canada are having second thoughts about this measure, likely under the assumption that Hizballah is not a terrorist group but a social and political organization engaged in armed struggle against Israel. Yet, evidence
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Matthew Levitt
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