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Brief Analysis
Iran:
More Fuel on the Israeli–Palestinian Fire
The last two days have witnessed "The International Conference on the Palestinian Intifada" in Tehran. The conference was a major step in Iran's drive to accelerate terrorist attacks on Israel. Delegates to the conference came from thirty-four countries, including Syrian vice president Muhammad Zahir Mosahareqa, Lebanese National Assembly Speaker Nabih
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Brief Analysis
Hariri in Washington
A preview of Lebanese prime minister Rafiq Hariri's first visit to Washington since returning to office in September 2000.
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Yossi Baidatz
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Attitudes during the Bush/Sharon Era
Among the Palestinians in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, there are three perspectives as to why violent confrontations began in September: 1) The Camp David II negotiations uncovered underlying differences in Israeli and Palestinian interests that are simply unbridgeable. Recent confrontations are basically the product of these differences. In
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Brief Analysis
Managing U.S.-Turkish Relations
On April 17, 2001, Mark Parris, former U.S. ambassador to Turkey, delivered The Washington Institute's Fourth Annual Turgut Ozal Memorial Lecture. The following are excerpts from his remarks. Read a full transcript. "Let me relate . . . some lessons I learned while holding down what is arguably the best
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Mark Parris
Brief Analysis
The Brink of Peace?
An Inside Look from Camp David to Taba
Why Negotiations Did Not Lead to AgreementPalestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat is responsible for the collapse of the peace process and for the extreme violence of the last seven months. In the year and a half of negotiations with the Palestinians under the leadership of former Israeli prime minister
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Brief Analysis
Israeli-Palestinian Political Fatalities during the Barak Government:
A Statistical Overview
The following report analyzes political fatalities in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict that occurred during the government of Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak (July 7, 1999–March 7, 2001). This report is an update of Washington Institute Research Note no. 8. Like the research note, its primary source for data is the Israeli
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Brief Analysis
Force-17:
The Renewal of Old Competition Motivates Violence
During the recent intifada, certain Palestinian security forces have been intensively involved in violent attacks on Israeli military and civilian targets. Most prominently involved have been the personal security guards of Yasir Arafat, popularly known as Force-17 and officially called Amn al-Ri'asah(Presidential Security). On March 30, Israeli forces bombarded from
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Brief Analysis
Punting on PA/PLO Responsibility for Violence:
Assessing the PLO Compliance Report
Last week, President George W. Bush pointedly called upon Palestinian leader Yasir Arafat to "stop the violence," and Assistant Secretary of State Edward Walker testified that Arafat has "made no statements that would indicate that he is opposed to violence or that he even wants to see it stop." Yesterday
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Robert Satloff
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Arafat Sows Blame, Reaps Nothing
The modern Ittihadiyah Palace in the Cairo suburb of Heliopolis has Arabesque arches, marble floors and stylish conference rooms. There is also another fixture: Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat. Egyptian media always carries the picture of Arafat conferring with his host, Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak at the Ittihadiyah. Mubarak, who
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Turkey in the Twenty-First Century
Over the past four years Turkish foreign policy has been experiencing a transformation. Turkey now sees itself not only as part of Europe but also as part of Asia. The Asian character of Turkey, which has been downplayed for decades, has been revitalized, making Turkish foreign policy more active in
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Brief Analysis
At the Bottom of the Bush-Mubarak Agenda?
The Slow Pace of Political Reform in Egypt
Urgent regional matters -- such as Iraq and the Arab–Israeli peace process -- will dominate the agenda during Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak's visit to Washington this week, while Egypt's transition to a free-market economy and U.S.– Egypt trade ties will also receive attention. Egyptian domestic politics, however, will register little
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Articles & Testimony
Middle East Peace through Partition
Just last summer, the seven-year-old Israeli-Palestinian peace process seemed on the verge of success. Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Yasir Arafat and Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak met with President Bill Clinton at Camp David and came close to agreement. But Arafat walked away from a deal at the last moment
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Arab League Summit:
Opportunities amid the Vitriol?
In the Middle East, this week witnessed a series of events occurring at such breakneck speed that it is important not to lose the significance of each: • On Thursday, President Bush issued an unprecedented statement calling on Chairman Yasir Arafat to "stop the violence," a statement that could lay
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Turkey and the Bush Administration:
The Question Marks
Turkey's economic crisis is naturally the leading issue in bilateral U.S.-Turkish relations, and it is almost certainly topping the agenda of today's meetings of Foreign Minister Ismail Cem with Vice President Richard Cheney and other senior officials. Of course, these meetings pose the difficult question of how much Washington should
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Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
From Tehran to Beirut to Jerusalem:
Iran and Hizballah in the Palestinian Uprising
As Arab leaders gather in Amman for the first regular Arab summit in a decade, non-Arab Iran is keenly watching to see whether Arab heads-of-state once again make grandiose promises to support the Palestinians. If Arab leaders fail to deliver on these promises, as has been the case with Arab
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Brief Analysis
The Arab-Israeli Peace Process:
Past, Present, and Future
Over the past twelve years a revolution has taken place in the landscape of peacemaking in the Middle East. Twelve years ago, direct negotiations were non-existent and there was no peace process. While negotiations themselves do not ensure an agreement, their total absence ensures that there can be no resolution
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Libya after Lockerbie:
Internal Dynamics and U.S. Policy
Currently Libya enjoys unprecedented economic stability, especially marked when compared to the economic difficulties it experienced in the 1990s. Oil income is now slightly higher and foreign investment is flowing in, and the gross domestic product (GDP) was up 6.5 percent in 2000. This economic calm has had a direct
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Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Border Disputes on the Arabian Peninsula
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is set to rule tomorrow on the longstanding border dispute between two Persian Gulf sheikdoms, Qatar and Bahrain. This dispute has preoccupied the ruling families in both countries for decades. It and the much better known IraqKuwait border dispute (not detailed here) are hardly
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Brief Analysis
Sanctions and U.S. Foreign Policy
Sanctions provide the United States with a middle option that has the "least risk" in dealing with problematic Middle Eastern regimes. Sanctions are less costly than military intervention and better than doing nothing at all. During the Cold War, an evaluation of the success of a sanctions policy was not
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Raymond Tanter
Meghan O'Sullivan
Brief Analysis
The Palestinian Authority:
En Route to the State Department's Terrorism List?
The U.S. Department of State will shortly issue its semi-annual Palestine Liberation Organization Commitments Compliance Act (PLOCCA) report. This report, now several weeks overdue, details PLO and Palestinian Authority (PA) compliance with their "peace process" commitments. And in April, the State Department will release its annual report about global terrorism
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David Schenker
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