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11364
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In-Depth Reports
Dangerous Drift:
Russia's Middle East Policy
With the dissolution of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War, Russian superpower presence in the Middle East faded, and since 1991, a vision of Russian national interest in the region has been missing. Pushed by a succession of narrow domestic corporate and bureaucratic interests, as well
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Brief Analysis
The Final Months:
Clinton Administration Options on the Peace Process
With talks completed between senior Israeli and Palestinian negotiators at a northern Virginia hotel, following Monday evening's tête-à-tête between Ehud Barak and Yasir Arafat, this week has marked the beginning of the Clinton administration's last big push to achieve Israeli-Palestinian peace. As the countdown to January 20, 2001 proceeds, the
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Saddam and the Economic Lever:
Whither Sanctions?
A UN approved Jordanian "humanitarian" flight into Baghdad today punctuates a month of air travel to Iraq unprecedented since 1991. The flight, following similar flights in recent weeks by France and Russia, is significant as Jordan is a key U.S. ally and a recipient of substantial U.S. foreign assistance. The
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Iraq:
Prospects for an 'October Surprise'?
Iraqi actions of recent weeks-- renewed threats against Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, violations of Saudi air space by Iraqi combat aircraft, and a belligerent speech by President Saddam Husayn inciting OPEC against the U.S.-- have stoked concerns that Iraq may seek to foment a crisis this autumn while American attention
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
The OPEC Summit in Caracas:
A Testing Time for Oil
Does this week's summit of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) in the Venezuelan capital, Caracas, mark the return of OPEC as a force in world politics and economics? Not really, though oil market conditions this winter may put OPEC members in a powerful position. Background: OPEC's Role In
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Peace on Three Fronts
On September 16, 2000, Shimon Peres, Israeli minister for regional cooperation, former Israeli prime minister, and the longest serving member of the Israeli Knesset, delivered a keynote address at The Washington Institute's Weinberg Founders Conference. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Israel needs to make three different
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Shimon Peres
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Ending the Conflict:
A Palestinian View
The wishes of the Palestinian and Israeli peoples and the situation in which they find themselves mandate a resolution to the conflict. The fact that all three parties--Americans, Palestinians and Israelis--are motivated to reach a deal quickly makes this goal more readily attainable. However, in spite of the wish to
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Brief Analysis
Libya:
Opting for Europe and Africa, Not Ties with Washington
While Philippine soldiers may not have succeeded in freeing Western hostages--including American Jeffrey Schilling--the ongoing standoff in the faraway Pacific has provided one more opportunity for Libyan leader Mu'ammar Qaddafi to rehabilitate his tarnished international image. Qaddafi's latest humanitarian effort--ransoming hostages--reflects Libya's "new" diplomacy of offering to mediate regional conflicts
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Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
The Temples of Jerusalem in Islam
The political status of the Temple Mount in Jerusalem is the subject of final status negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians. According to press reports, at one moment in the Camp David negotiations last July, senior Palestinian negotiator Saeb Erakat asked his Israeli counterpart: "How do you know that your
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Martin Kramer
In-Depth Reports
Thinking about the Future of Jerusalem
Thank you for inviting me to participate in this session. The preceding speakers, Nabil Sha'ath and Shimon Peres, would seem to be a hard act to follow, with all their bright ideas and beautiful language, but I will do what I can. At the same time, following them makes my
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In-Depth Reports
Prospects for Ending the Conflict:
A Palestinian View
It gives me great pleasure, and I am indeed honored, to be invited to this very important function at this very crucial time. Although it is quite risky to talk about current negotiations, I will try not to be trite and historical. I will try my best to reveal as
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In-Depth Reports
Peace on Three Fronts
Israelis have to make three different sorts of peace. The first, surprisingly, is with ourselves; the second is with our neighbors; and the third is with the age in which we live. The three cannot be separated. The Arab reaction and that of the press have nothing to do with
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Shimon Peres
In-Depth Reports
The Middle East:
The Next Decade
It is a pleasure for me to deliver the keynote address to The Washington Institute. During the last several years, many of us in the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) have found the Institute's publications and policy fora highly useful, if for no other reason than they give us the chance
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In-Depth Reports
Agenda 2001:
Middle East Policy Planning for a New Administration
Keynote addresses by Winston Wiley, Shimon Peres, and Nabil Sha'ath. With Faisal Husseini, Reuven Merhav, Ephraim Yaar-Yuchtman, Walid Abu Zuluf, Robert Hunter, Robert Blackwill, and others.
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Brief Analysis
The Arab World and the Millennium Summit:
Avoiding the Globalization Challenge
Unlike the nearly two hundred other world leaders who spoke at last week's Millennium Summit, virtually every Arab head of state delivered a speech that avoided the conclave's main theme--meeting the economic and political challenge of globalization. Instead, they spoke about preserving Arab rights in the context of the Israeli-Palestinian
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Brief Analysis
Statehood, Final Status, and the Future Role of the PLO:
Will the Conflict End with Independence?
Last Sunday, the world breathed a sigh of relief as the Palestinian Liberation Organization (PLO) Central Council voted to postpone a declaration of statehood until at least November 15, 2000. Less noticed, however, has been the internal battle over what is perhaps the second most important political issue on the
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Use Flexibility to Fight Terror
At a time when U.S. global power seems absolute, the presidential candidates are assiduously avoiding thorny international security issues. Such complacency is misguided because the U.S. faces a greater terrorist threat now than at any point in the past. The next president will have to confront not just the challenge
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Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Lebanese Elections:
Syrian Key Interests Preserved, For Now
The stunning success of several prominent opposition candidates in Lebanon's recent parliamentary elections has been portrayed by much of the Western press as a "defeat" for Syrian interests in Lebanon, and a "loosening" of Syria's grip over its smaller neighbor. Now that the elections are over, the next step in
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Articles & Testimony
Afghanistan:
As Bad as Its Reputation?
Only Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates (and the breakaway Chechen government) recognize the Taliban state, but the self-styled Islamic Emirate is a fact of life. Taliban rule began in 1994, when students from madrasas (Islamic seminaries) in Pakistan and Afghanistan took up arms to end civil strife
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Brief Analysis
Assessing the Arab 'Yellow Light' on a Palestinian Unilateral Declaration of Independence
President Clinton will again meet his two Camp David partners--though not yet in scheduled three-way talks during this week's Millennium Summit, six weeks after the conclusion of their inconclusive Camp David negotiations. In the August interval, each side sent leaders and diplomats jetting about Europe, Asia, and the Middle East
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