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In-Depth Reports
Turkey's New World:
Changing Dynamics in Turkish Foreign Policy
During 1997 and 1998, the Washington Institute for Near East Policy organized a series of seminars in Washington, D.C., to examine changing dynamics and trends in Turkish foreign policy. The decision to organize the seminars was prompted by the realization that Turkish foreign policy in the post-Cold War era was
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Brief Analysis
A Second Camp David Summit?
Assessment and Prospects
A decision whether to revive the Israeli-Palestinian peace talks at a reconvened Camp David Summit may be made next Wednesday, but as it stands now, the prospects seem very uncertain. President Bill Clinton is scheduled to hold separate meetings with Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak and Palestinian Authority chairman Yasir
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Iran:
Dialogue Abroad, Violence at Home
Iranian President Muhammad Khatami's international charm offensive continues at the UN Millennium Summit, where today he hosts a "Dialogue of Civilizations" and tomorrow he speaks to the General Assembly. Meanwhile, at home, Khatami faces violence rather than dialogue, raising doubts about Iran's peaceful reform. The Iranian Charm Offensive. Last week
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Patrick Clawson
Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Turkey:
Constitutional Clash Rocks Regime
Last week, a seemingly arcane argument produced a political crisis in Turkey that set back, at least temporarily, the government's longstanding anti-Islamist campaign. What began as a dispute over constitutional interpretation of presidential powers embittered relations between the nation's two top officials-President Ahmet Necdet Sezer and Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit-to
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Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah and the Upcoming Lebanese Elections:
Shifting Priorities
Hizballah is shifting its focus from armed resistance to internal matters in anticipation of the upcoming parliamentary elections. Hizballah hopes to translate its "victory" over the IDF and South Lebanon Army into a greater share of domestic political power. Hizballah Secretary-General Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah acknowledges the shift in priorities, stating
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Brief Analysis
Israel-Lebanon Border:
Security Situation Improving
Today, following last weekend's deployment into southern Lebanon by United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), Lebanese security forces fulfilled their commitments and deployed into Israel's former occupied zone. The lack of major incidents and the relative restraint of Hizballah since the IDF withdrew in May surprises some observers, but
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Brief Analysis
Camp David II Aftermath:
Options for the Next Ninety Days
In the aftermath of Camp David II and with the start of the Knesset summer recess yesterday, there appears to be a 40-90 day "window" for Israelis and the Palestinians to determine whether a diplomatic breakthrough is still possible or whether the parties will move in alternative directions. Political Standing
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Impact of the Iraqi Invasion of Kuwait: The View from Ten Years Later
On July 28, 2000, The Washington Institute hosted a special symposium on the tenth anniversary of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, featuring presentations by Lt. Gen. Bernard Trainor, senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations; Peter Rodman, director of national security at the Nixon Center; and Daniel Pipes, editor
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In-Depth Reports
Arab Attitudes toward Israel and Peace
Previous public opinion polls conducted in the Arab East, especially in the Levant, have revealed that "inching toward peace" with Israel has not produced definitive changes in Arab perceptions. Instead, the peace process seems to have given rise to a kind of resignation born of a pervasive sense of helplessness
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Hilal Khashan
Brief Analysis
Presidential Study Group Trip Report:
Camp David through Middle Eastern Eyes
With a couple of minor exceptions, there was scant criticism of U.S. policy by Arab leaders. Contrary to expectation, officials from Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the Palestinian Authority volunteered very few complaints. Israel's discontent with the relationship, on the other hand, was manifest and unmistakable. Israeli representatives from both ends
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Camp David Collapse:
A Behind-the-Scenes Assessment by a Participant
Achievements Although the failure of the Camp David II summit to reach a final status agreement between Israel and the Palestinians is certainly sad, it is important to emphasize that this two-week meeting was not a waste of time. For the first time, Israelis and Palestinians sat together in an
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Articles & Testimony
Arafat:
A Leader Who Did Not Lead
The seeds of failure at Camp David were planted before the summit began. Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat was not willing to make the concessions necessary for an agreement, and the reason he was unwilling was that he had not adequately prepared his public. Indeed, the collapse of the summit
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Is a Jerusalem Deal Enough for Peace?
Last week's headlines had the Israeli-Palestinian summit stalled over the issue of Jerusalem. But another intractable subject is as likely to prevent a deal at Camp David from bringing a lasting peace: the Palestinian "right of return." This refers to the demand that some three million Palestinians--refugees who left Israel
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Jerusalem's Status and the Evolution of U.S. Policy
SHLOMO SLONIM The Myth of Consistency Since 1967, U.S. administrations have varied their policy regarding the status of East Jerusalem. Under the Johnson and Reagan administrations, East Jerusalem was not considered occupied territory, and, consequently, Israeli control of the city in its entirety was implicitly accepted. Johnson emphasized that the
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Brief Analysis
From UNSCOM to UNMOVIC:
The Future of Weapons Inspections in Iraq
When the United Nations (UN) Security Council created UNSCOM in April 1991, it intended to create an efficient, professional organization that would catalyze international cooperation in support of dismantling Iraq's weapons of mass destruction (WMD) threat. The first task was to identify and supervise the elimination of "prohibited items," in
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Brief Analysis
The Lockerbie Trial Intensifies
The Lockerbie trial about to be resumed in the Netherlands will soon enter one of its most important stages. In the coming sessions a critical witness, a Libyan double agent, will take the stand. The testimony of this defector is expected to confirm not just the complicity of the suspects
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Ray Takeyh
Articles & Testimony
Barak's Separate Peace
We may not know exactly what compromises will be made in the peace talks, but we can be fairly sure about Yasser Arafat's goal at Camp David: to move as far and as fast as possible toward an independent Palestinian state. We can also assume we know President Clinton's goals--a
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Status of the Palestinian Refugees
Among the issues being discussed at Camp David between Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak, Palestinian Authority chairman Yasir Arafat, and President Clinton is one matter that directly affects several other states in the region not represented at the talks, namely, the situation of the Palestinian refugees, especially those in Lebanon
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Brief Analysis
Israeli Politics and Camp David
Domestic political considerations will be an important factor in Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak's moves at Camp David. Although he would like to have one for a myriad of reasons, politically Barak does not need a deal. To the contrary, failure to reach an agreement could even bring his "big
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Camp David II:
The End of the Palestinian-Israeli Conflict?
There have been at least seven agreements between Israel and the Palestinians in the past seven years. Negotiations with intermittent spurts of violence have been a way of life. Any new agreement will not be about an end to the conflict: The original 1993 agreement specified such an end, with
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Robert Satloff
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