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Brief Analysis
OPEC Keeps Prices High, But Remains Caught in Mideast Politics
Last week's meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) revealed at once the new power of the organization to manage world oil prices, as well as the fault lines that could undermine the group's current consensus. Maintaining Discipline Keeps Prices High By maintaining the production cuts that the
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Brief Analysis
An Address by the Turkish Prime Minister (full transcript)
On September 28, 1999, Bulent Ecevit, prime minister of the Republic of Turkey, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Following is the full text of his speech, as delivered. Read a summary of his remarks during the question-and-answer session that followed his speech. Executive director, Mr. Robert Satloff, I
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Brief Analysis
Good Vibes, Little Cash in Store for Ecevit
Turkish prime minister Bulent Ecevit's meeting with U.S. president Bill Clinton tomorrow will produce warm atmospherics but no major earthquake-related aid. Washington had planned to make loan guarantees the centerpiece of both its relief package and Ecevit's trip. Reportedly unhappy with what it considered a low figure, however, Ankara indicated
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Alan Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Lucky Sharm?
Three years ago, after a series of horrific bombings in Israel, President Clinton invited an array of world leaders to an anti-terrorism summit in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh. Clinton's goal was to save the Israeli-PLO peace process and, with it, Shimon Peres's Labor-led government. The process survived
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Assessing Iranian Reportage on U.S.-Iran Contacts
For the last two weeks, the major Iranian newspapers have been full of reports about official contacts between the U.S. and Iranian governments. These reported contacts include a U.S. request that Tehran hand over individuals now in Iran whom the U.S. government believes are responsible for the deaths of nineteen
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Lebanon in the Equation of Arab-Israeli Peace
MOUAFAC HARB Israel has no territorial claims over Lebanon, and the two countries agreed to recognize and accept United Nations Security Council Resolution 425, which calls for an unconditional Israeli troop withdrawal. Nevertheless, the Lebanese-Israeli peace track remains challenging, primarily because--after twenty years of civil war--Lebanon lacks a strong central
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Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Desert Talk -- The New Offensive against Iraq
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright's meeting today with leaders of the Iraqi opposition is part of a vigorous diplomatic confrontation between Saddam's regime and the United States, tied to maneuverings at the UN. For the next several weeks, the arguments of Baghdad and Washington are going to be deployed and
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Stealth Bombing:
Our Silent War in Iraq
What if they waged a war and no one noticed? In 1999, American and British pilots have bombed Iraq three times a week, hitting 360 targets with 1,100 bombs during more than 10,000 sorties. Yet the Anglo-American war over Iraq does not often make the front pages of even the
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Awaiting the First Report on International Religious Freedom
The U.S. State Departments Office of International Religious Freedom will release an Annual Report on International Religious Freedom on September 7, 1999 -- the first since it was required to do so by the International Religious Freedom Act of 1998 (IRFA). The Report will offer "an assessment and description of
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Articles & Testimony
Living with a Nuclear Iran?
The nuclear status quo that has prevailed in the Middle East since the 1960s is eroding. Israel remains the sole (undeclared) nuclear-weapons state. But Iraq, having defied the United Nations for nearly a decade, retains its nuclear know-how, and has broken out of its IAEA and UNSCOM cage. And there
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Russian Arms Sales to the Middle East
During the Cold War, the Soviet Union was the number one arms supplier to the Middle East. Moscow's arms transfers during this period were motivated primarily by geostrategic and ideological considerationsin particular its competition with the United Statesand arms were often sold at bargain-basement prices. Yet, with the end of
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Brief Analysis
Developments within the Palestinian Opposition:
Secular and Islamist Groups, the PLO, and 'National Dialogue'
Yesterday, Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat met with Nayef Hawatmeh, leader of the Syria-based Democratic Front for the Liberation of Palestine (DFLP). The meeting, which took place in Cairo, was the first between the estranged leaders in six years. Hawatmeh has been a waning force in Palestinian politics for
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Barak, the United States, and the Middle East Peace Process
ROBERT PELLETREAU Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak faces multiple challenges: He has to implement an agreement he did not negotiate; he has to rebuild a sense of partnership between Israel and the Arab countries; he has to restore the negotiating context, a task not made easier by the Israeli practice
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Qadhafi's Calculated Diplomacy:
Circumventing Lockerbie
Since the handover of the suspects in the 1988 bombing of PanAm flight 103 over Lockerbie, Scotland, Col. Mu'ammar Qadhafi has embarked on a series of diplomatic initiatives suggesting a fundamental reorientation of Libya's foreign policy. The once-uncompromising ideologue has embraced the mantle of a statesman who appears to adhere
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Ray Takeyh
Articles & Testimony
On Board
The Arab-Israeli peace process is, to use the metaphor of choice, "back on track." That, at least, is the stylized version of the message Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak brought with him to Washington in mid-July. The reality, of course, is more complicated. And, for the Clinton administration, Barak's real
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Syrian Media and Government on Barak and the Peace Process:
On the Record
Since the election of Ehud Barak as Israeli prime minister, considerable attention has focused on the renewed prospects of an Israeli-Syrian peace. There may be some significant signs that Damascus is preparing the Syrian people for peace and normalization with Israel, but a review of the state-controlled Syrian media presents
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Brief Analysis
Israeli Policies vis-à-vis Palestinian Authority Activity in Jerusalem
Israeli police acted swiftly yesterday to seal the gateway to the Haram al-Sharif (Temple Mount)--the compound that houses Islams third holiest shrine--one day after the Muslim Waqf (religious endowment) began construction on the compounds southern wall. This was the latest in a series of developments involving Palestinian activity in Jerusalem
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Brief Analysis
Turkish-Iranian Tension:
A New Regional Flashpoint?
Buoyed by its recent antiterrorism successes in facing down Syria and capturing Abdullah Ocalan, leader of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK), Turkey now turns its sights on Iran. A series of Turkish-Iranian security meetings tomorrow through Friday will focus on Tehran's allegedly growing support to anti-Turkish organizations. In trying to
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Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Morocco after Hassan II:
Domestic Challenges and Regional Implications
The late King Hassan II leaves behind an important legacy in Morocco and the Middle East. He was a courageous peacemaker; a voice of reconciliation between Muslims, Jews, and Christians; and a vital link between Shii and Sunni Muslims. After Hassan's death, it is now up to his son and
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Brief Analysis
Abdullah's First Half-Year:
An Economic Scorecard
August 8 marks six months since Jordan's King Abdullah II inherited not only a complex political landscape, but also an economy in poor enough shape to pose a significant challenge to Jordan's domestic stability. With a per capita income of $1,600, official unemployment of 16 percent, and an unofficial jobless
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