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Articles & Testimony
The Rumors of Another Egyptian Revolution Are Greatly Exaggerated
On Wednesday night, thousands of demonstrators descended onto Tahrir Square to demand an end to military rule. It was the twentieth straight night of these protests, and the Muslim Brotherhood marked the occasion by calling on its hundreds of thousands of members nationwide to join an open-ended Tahrir Square sit-in
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Eric Trager
Video
Brief Analysis
Israeli National Security Strategy in the Expanded Coalition
On June 19, 2012, Shaul Mofaz addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. General Mofaz is vice prime minister of Israel, minister without portfolio, and head of the Kadima Party. A former military fellow at the Institute, he has also served as deputy prime minister, defense minister, and chief
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Brief Analysis
Sinai's Emergence as a Strategic Threat to Israel
If international awareness does not spur immediate Egyptian action to address the growing security vacuum and increased terrorist incidents on the border with Israel, the Sinai powder keg may soon explode.
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Terror from Sinai: Global Jihadist Groups on Israel's Doorstep
Statements and a video released on an al-Qaeda website are disturbing evidence of the growing lawlessness in Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula.
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
The Revolution in Egypt: Turning Point?
Sixteen months on, the transition in Egypt is not over; indeed, it is just beginning. On the eve of the Muslim Brotherhood's presidential victory, former senior Defense Department official David Schenker testified on how Washington should use its limited leverage in Cairo in the near term, offering a detailed status
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David Schenker
Fikra Forum Interviews New Head of Syrian National Council
On June 15, 2012, the newly elected head of the Syrian National Council (SNC), Abdulbaset Sieda, gave Fikra Forum his first extended Western media interview since assuming the post on June 10. The interview was conducted by Skype, in Arabic, by Fikra Forum editor Lauren Emerson and contributors Maya Gebeily and Jehad Saleh. Key points include: 1. Sieda asserts that the SNC does not lead the FSA, and that this could lead to the "disorganized and haphazard use of weapons" and an "uncontrollable … security coup," as he says has occurred in Libya. 2. He says it would be fine to "coordinate" with the Kurdish opposition and others, rather than try and bring them back into the SNC. 3. He says there could be dialogue with regime elements "with no blood on their hands,” but only concerning "the timing and process of the fall of the regime." 4. He denies that the SNC should do anything to demonstrate its independence from the MB, which is "an essential faction of the Syrian opposition."
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Brief Analysis
Israeli National Security Strategy in the Expanded Coalition
Shaul Mofaz's victory in the Kadima primary election and subsequent decision to bring his party into the governing coalition sent shockwaves through Israel, changing the dynamics of regional politics. To discuss his strategy for security and peace, and ways in which the expanded coalition can promote these goals, The Washington
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In-Depth Reports
From Crisis to Cooperation:
Turkey's Relations with Washington and NATO
As recently as 2011, most discussions of the U.S-Turkey relationship necessarily focused on discord, disappointment, and growing concern. With memories of the Gaza flotilla incident and Turkish dissent on Iran sanctions still fresh, the horizon was clouded and turbulent. The intervening months have brought a dramatic turnaround, however. In this
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Rich Outzen
Articles & Testimony
Another Saudi Actuarial Disaster
Washington woke on Saturday to the news of the death of Crown Prince Nayef, who was next in line for the Saudi throne. The collective sigh of relief by senior U.S. officials was almost audible -- even though, within hours, President Barack Obama issued a statement about his "great regret"
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Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Israeli Security in a Changing Regional Environment
Watch the 2012 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security with one of Israel's most experienced military leaders.
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Yoav Galant
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Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures
Brief Analysis
Saudi Succession Crisis Is an Opportunity for Change
Washington should bluntly tell the House of Saud that its current system of governance is broken, and that younger princes should be given bigger roles.
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Energy Discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean: Source for Cooperation or Fuel for Tension?
The Case of Israel
This week, the German Marshall Fund published Energy Discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean: Source for Cooperation or Fuel for Tension? The Case of Israel, a new report by Washington Institute senior fellow Simon Henderson. Focusing on the challenge of exploiting newly found natural gas reserves off the coasts of Israel
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
In Their Own Words: Egyptian Presidential Candidates Morsi and Shafiq
The second round of Egypt's presidential election, slated to take place this weekend, pits Muslim Brotherhood candidate Muhammad Morsi against Ahmed Shafiq, the former air force commander who served as Hosni Mubarak's last prime minister. Although it is impossible to predict how either candidate will govern if elected, their statements
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Articles & Testimony
Calling Iran's Bluff: It's Time to Offer Tehran a Civilian Nuclear Program
The ultimate goal of the ongoing nuclear negotiations with Iran, the next round of which commences in Moscow on June 18, has always been the same: Determining whether Iran is willing to accept that its nuclear program must be credibly limited in a way that precludes it from being able
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Next Egyptian President: Likely Scenarios
Policymakers must prepare for the likelihood that Egyptian instability will continue for some time, rendering Cairo unable to continue its historic role as a major U.S. strategic partner.
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Egypt, in Chaos Again
Our support of Cairo's military junta now looks like a deeply misplaced bet.
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Shocking Legal Judgments
New unrest in prospect after high-court rulings appear to back military council.
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David Schenker
Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Russia's Modest Hopes for the Moscow Summit with Iran
Despite widespread skepticism, Russian authorities still hope that the upcoming P5+1 summit will be another small step toward settlement of the Iranian nuclear issue.
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Nikolay Kozhanov
Articles & Testimony
Will Turkey Force Obama's Hand on Syria?
Washington's ties with Ankara have improved significantly in recent years thanks to a personal relationship between President Obama and Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan. The two leaders have been in frequent contact, building a rapport that has translated into closer Turkish support for the U.S., including Ankara's 2011 decision
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
What's at Stake with Egypt Vote?
Nothing captured the imagery of change in the Middle East more than last year's demonstrations in Tahrir Square that brought down Hosni Mubarak, Egypt's president for 30 years. The sense of hope and possibility that seemed so alive in Tahrir Square made everyone in the Middle East believe there truly
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Dennis Ross
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