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Brief Analysis
Assad's Response to the Annan Plan: Violence as Usual
In light of the Houla tragedy and other indicators of growing violence, the UN observer mission in Syria will likely be withdrawn, spurring the regime to escalate its offensive operations even further.
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Reports of the Muslim Brotherhood's Demise Were Greatly Exaggerated
In the run-up to the first round of Egypt's presidential elections, which concluded on Thursday, the Muslim Brotherhood's downfall was widely anticipated. Only four months after winning a 47-percent plurality in the parliamentary elections, the Washington Post reported that the Brotherhood's stock was "plunging," while the Wall Street Journal insisted
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Eric Trager
Dennis Ross: Political Solution Still Possible with Iran
As world powers make their way to Baghdad for another meeting with Iran in an attempt to resolve the nuclear standoff, former US negotiator Dennis Ross tells Al-Hayat that a political solution is still possible on the issue. Ross, who closely worked on the Iranian file in the last three
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Clerics vs. Modernity
While the Islamic Republic's soft power fails, the Iranian people's urge to integrate into world culture and economy is unprecedented.
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Mehdi Khalaji
In-Depth Reports
Finding a Balance:
U.S. Security Interests and the Arab Awakening
The Arab Awakening—in which local youths accomplished through weeks of nonviolent action what al-Qaeda had failed to do through years of terrorism and bloodshed—has created significant opportunities to counter radical Islamist propaganda and leverage financial tools against violently repressive regimes. Yet it has also strained the intelligence community's resources, forcing
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
What Drives Turkey's New Syria Stance? A Fear of Two Kurdistans
When the Syrian uprising began last spring, Turkey initially stayed behind Washington. It shied away from criticizing the regime of Bashar al-Assad, instead asking al-Assad to reform. When Damascus refused, however, Ankara moved ahead of Washington, taking an aggressive posture against al-Assad and suggesting it was ready to take action
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Command and Control
This week, the world's major powers resumed negotiations with Iran over its nuclear program. Should they fail, the specter of a possible Israeli strike looms large, seeming to grow more likely as Tehran's nuclear program advances. In recent weeks, however, the conventional wisdom has shifted to favor the view that
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David Makovsky
Olivia Holt-Ivry
Articles & Testimony
Syria's New Jihadis
Amid the chaos in Syria, Jabhat al-Nusrah represents a spoiler in a conflict with no foreseeable end.
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Egyptian Elections: Beyond Winning
The legitimacy of Egypt’s next president will depend on the credibility of tomorrow’s elections, yet credibility may not be enough for many Egyptians.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Presidential Elections Will Not End Egyptian Instability
Washington has little ability to influence the outcome of this week's election, in which most leading candidates appear disinclined to maintain strong relations with the United States. But it can encourage the Egyptian military to minimize the likelihood of another uprising.
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding the Containment Trap with Iran
In one of the most memorable lines of his March 4, 2012, speech on the Middle East, President Obama declared, "Iran's leaders should understand that I do not have a policy of containment; I have a policy to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon." However, containment is rarely a
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Too Early to Expect a Breakthrough on Iran
While the upcoming talks in Baghdad are unlikely to lead to a breakthrough, Washington should use them to determine whether a deal is ultimately possible.
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Baghdad Nuclear Talks: Three Steps to Help Diplomacy Succeed
Although Washington may be tempted to take whatever progress it can get from this week's nuclear talks, the only agreement worth having is one that resolves Western concerns about Iran's nuclear activities while lessening the threat of military conflict.
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Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Syria's Crisis Reaches Beirut
The latest clashes in Beirut show that as long as the Syrian conflict persists, Lebanon's internal security will be increasingly at risk.
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Andrew Engel
Articles & Testimony
Arab Spring Heats Up Kurdish Issue
Middle Eastern states have shifted alliances over the Kurdish question in the wake of the Arab Spring and the withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Iraq.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Success in the Iran Nuclear Negotiations
While Tehran may be preparing the ground for an interim agreement on terms the West would accept, any deal-in-principle would have to be finalized, put into practice, and followed by fuller agreements.
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Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Syrian Opposition Targets the Regime Online
Syrian activists have stepped up their social media efforts and cyber attacks against the Assad regime, and Washington should take more steps to support them.
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Brief Analysis
Syrian Jihadis: Real and Exaggerated
Damascus may be exaggerating the strength of the Syrian jihadi group Jabhat al-Nusra.
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Secret Hamas Elections Point to Internal Struggle
The ongoing Hamas elections will strengthen the military wing, weaken Khaled Mashal, make reconciliation with the PA more difficult, preserve close collaboration with Iran, and, perhaps, forge closer ties with Egypt.
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
The Ayatollah of Rejection May Be Contemplating Compromise
Khamenei's dilemma: To compromise he must save face; but, to save face, he must not compromise.
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Mehdi Khalaji
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