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In-Depth Reports
Changing the Balance of Risks:
U.S. Policy toward the Arab-Israeli Conflict
The violent uprising in the West Bank and Gaza has destroyed a status quo which had been tolerable, if not entirely comfortable, for several years. Mounting casualties injected fresh urgency into the search for a new peace process to replace one that has been stalled by differences over procedures and
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In-Depth Reports
Missiles in the Middle East:
A New Threat to Stability
Surface-to-surface missiles (SSMs) have begun to assume a central role in the military forces of the Middle East. Not only do 10 countries in the region possess them, but five countries are trying to develop their own independent missile capabilities. In the early 1988 "War of the Cities," Iran and
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In-Depth Reports
Between Two Administrations:
A U.S.-Israel Strategic Dialogue
President Reagan was motivated by a concern for Israel's security. He believed that we should commit ourselves to Israel's defense. He understood Israel's deep-seated and justified fear of attack and wanted to contribute to relieving it. Until Israel felt secure, he believed it unlikely that Israel would be willing to
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Articles & Testimony
Stop Coddling Soviet "Peacemakers"
As the Moscow summit approaches, and as the prospects for his Arab- Israeli peace initiative grow increasingly dim, the time has come for Secretary of State George Shultz to seize the diplomatic high road and publicly challenge the Soviet Union to put up or shut up on the question of
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John Hannah
In-Depth Reports
Army and Politics in Mubarak's Egypt
Among the most important facets of Egypt under Mubarak has been the creating of a new dynamic between army and politics. Though the military has been the backbone of Egypt’s government since the revolution, it rarely receives the analytical attention due such a powerful player in Egypt. In this Policy
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Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Israel and the Palestinians:
Imperatives for the Future
Keynote addresses by Walter Mondale, Lawrence Eagleburger, and Richard Murphy. With William Kirby, Daniel Kurtzer, Aaron David Miller, and others.
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In-Depth Reports
Assessing U.S. Policy toward the Peace Process
Vice President Mondale Much has changed over the past year -- in both the Middle East and in Washington. In the region, calm was shattered by the rocks of the Palestinian uprising and suddenly, the U.S. government understood the costs of leaving the peace process on the back burner. The
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In-Depth Reports
Formalizing the Strategic Partnership:
The Next Step in U.S.-Israel Relations
Over the past eight years, relations between the United States and Israel have benefitted from the addition of a new and vital strategic dimension. American defense and foreign policy officials have begun to appreciate the potential for Israel’s contribution to U.S. and Western interests in the Middle East as evidenced
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Stuart Eizenstat
In-Depth Reports
Building for Peace:
An American Strategy for the Middle East
When the next president enters office, he will be confronted by a Middle East in transformation. The Iraq-Iran war is ending; the Arab-Israeli conflict is reverting to its inter-communal roots; and the arms race is escalating to a new, more dangerous level. As the region adjusts to these new realities
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In-Depth Reports
Double Jeopardy:
PLO Strategy toward Israel and Jordan
Executive Summary Since the early 1970s, PLO strategy towards Israel has gradually evolved toward an increasingly sophisticated "strategy of phases" for the liberation of Palestine. Though directed primarily against Israel, this strategy has threatening implications for Jordan as well. According to the PLO's "strategy of phases," it is essential for
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In-Depth Reports
Peace by Piece:
A Decade of Egyptian Policy
35 pages
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In-Depth Reports
Behind the Riot in Mecca
The recent rioting and deaths in Mecca have shocked Muslims and confused the world. The hostility which led to bloodshed in the sacred city was prompted in part by the political tensions in the Gulf. But the tragedy is primarily one episode in a lengthy history of pilgrimage conflict between
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Martin Kramer
In-Depth Reports
NATO, Israel, and the Tactical Missile Challenge
Notwithstanding the current INF negotiations, the threat posed by tactical ballistic missiles to NATO and Israel will not diminish in coming years. In fact, many military experts feel that the threat will grow. The new generation of missiles, typified by the Soviet SS-21 and SS-23, are about ten times more
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In-Depth Reports
Another Oil Shock in the 1990s?
A Dissenting View
Executive Summary Contrary to the forecasts of many oil industry analysts, the current state of relatively low oil prices is likely to continue throughout the nest decade. As a result, there is little reason to fear the economic power of a resurgent oil cartel. The strongest force depressing oil prices
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In-Depth Reports
'They Cannot Stop Our Tongues':
Islamic Activism in Jordan
Executive Summary Islamic activism has emerged as one of the most dangerous and destabilizing forces inside Jordan today. The growth of the activist movement has come largely at the expense of a decades-old symbiotic relationship between the Hashemite ruling family and the traditional religious establishment. Several external factors rankled domestic
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Moscow's Middle East Maneuver
When the Soviets proposed to meet Israeli representatives for the first time in 19 years, some observers hailed the announcement as a signal that Moscow had finally gotten serious about Middle East peace. With the abrupt breakdown of those talks in Helsinki on Aug. 18, however, that analysis has proven
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John Hannah
In-Depth Reports
U.S.-Israel Strategic Cooperation
This Policy Focus presents the highlights of The Washington Institute's Conference on Strategy and Defense in the Eastern Mediterranean, held in Jerusalem, July 9-11, 1986. More than fifty American and Israeli policymakers, journalists and military analysts attended the conference, which was the first academic gathering to examine the development of
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Bart Aronson
Samuel Lewos
Menachem Meron
In-Depth Reports
Strategy and Defense in the Eastern Mediterranean:
An American-Israeli Dialogue
In 1982 the United States deployed the Sixth Fleet off the shores of Lebanon in support of the Marines' ill-fated peacekeeping mission in that nation. In October 1985, carrier-based aircraft intercepted the hijackers of the Achille Lauro over the Eastern Mediterranean. In September 1986, the U.S. bombed Muammar Qaddaffi's headquarters
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In-Depth Reports
Whither the Peace Process?
The Local Leadership Option
6 pages
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Robert Satloff
Michael Lewis
In-Depth Reports
Israel's Strategic Reality:
The Impact of the Arms Race
Executive Summary Israeli military planners must prepare for potential conflict in a strategic environment that is growing increasingly hostile. Forced to deal with worst-case scenarios spread over a 10-year planning horizon, Israeli planning must account for the ebb and flow of inter-Arab alliances. Therefore, Israel must not only ready itself
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