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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ideological Constraints of the Islamic Republic
As long as the Islamic Republic’s decisions are dictated by rigid ideological imperatives, any shift in Tehran toward pragmatism in response to the new Trump Administration will likely be superficial at best.
Dec 6, 2024
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Masoud Zamani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Nineveh’s Municipal Council Reveals about the Iran-Turkey Power Struggle in Iraq
The ongoing tensions in Nineveh's municipal council highlight how regional powers vie for influence in Iraq's local elections.
Nov 20, 2024
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Filip Sommer
Rebwar Rauf Salih
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Oman Seeks to Improve Its Coastal Security
Oman is actively stepping up its coastal security in light of ongoing challenges from the "axis of resistance."
Oct 23, 2024
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Jonathan Campbell-James
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran's Debate about Weekends Highlights Tehran's Ideological Constraints
The debate over making Saturday the official second day of the weekend nationwide instead of Thursday has become a hot topic in Iran in recent months, highlighting the clash between the the regime’s ideology and the country’s economic reality.
Sep 17, 2024
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Saeid Golkar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Evolving Strategy in Eastern Syria
The Iranian model of creating and supporting proxy groups is consistent across the “Shia Crescent,” but recently Tehran has begun employing new and troubling tactics that threaten to only expand their influence.
Jul 18, 2024
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Omar Abu Layla
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Breaking the Ice: Erbil-Tehran Relations after Barzani’s Visit
Although many in Erbil lament Iran’s significant influence in Iraq, President Barzani now seems open to leveraging its power to address the KRI’s election dispute.
Jun 17, 2024
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İdris Okuducu
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Qaani’s Growing Leadership Struggles in a Post-Soleimani World
After the killing of Qods Force commander Qasem Soleimani, Esmail Qaani may have inherited a role for which he was not prepared, bringing instead a new style of leadership to the IRGC.
May 1, 2024
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Jaber Rajabi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating Cybersecurity and Surveillance: Iran's Dual Strategy for National Security
While Iranian officials acknowledge the significance of cyber tools and AI for foreign policy, they are acutely aware of the country’s financial and scientific limitations.
Mar 29, 2024
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Nima Khorrami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran is Attempting to Push the United States out of Syria via Hasaka Province
Using multiple militias and operating units, Tehran aims to drive the Americans out of eastern Syria, fill the resulting security vacuum, and assert indirect control.
Mar 8, 2024
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Rena Netjes
Samer al-Ahmad
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran in Sudan: Fears of a Sudanese Popular Mobilization Forces
Given the ways in which Iranian influence has grown elsewhere in the region, there are fears that the Sudanese army, with its Islamist orientation, will morph into a militia group similar to the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces, ultimately exerting Iran’s will in exchange for funding and military support.
Jan 31, 2024
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Areej Elhag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iran-Backed Groups Control the Arabic Language Sphere on X
Until Twitter’s moderation policies are strictly enforced and moderation loopholes addressed, coordinated efforts will continue to target independent anti-Hezbollah and anti-Hamas voices on X/Twitter while effectively sharing their own messaging, thus ensuring that in the Middle East, Iran-backed actors maintain their grip on the site.
Jan 26, 2024
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Samara Azzi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Better Late than Never: Bahrain’s Attitude Towards the Red Sea Defense Coalition
The multinational security operation Prosperity Guardian—of which Bahrain is a member—has the potential to protect trade in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, curb piracy and armed robbery on commercial ships, preserve supply and energy chains, and enhance regional security and prosperity.
Dec 29, 2023
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Ahdeya Ahmed Al-Sayed
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Women’s Dress in Iran: From the Islamic Sitr to the Political Hijab
The Islamic Republic’s position that it is merely carrying out a religious mandate is disingenuous, as is clear from Khomeini’s own religious writings and from the history of the hijab in Iran. Whereas the concept of sitr remains separated from politics in Iran, the hijab is now unequivocally a political concept.
Dec 7, 2023
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Mushtaq Abd Munaf
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The SDF’s Insurgency Challenge in Deir ez-Zor
The SDF’s current role in Deir ez-Zor and the local grievances surrounding it requires an understanding of the origin of its entry into the region, along with the underlying tension between U.S., Iranian, and Syrian regime interests there.
Nov 14, 2023
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Pressure Campaign on Iranian Kurds Continues
Iran has stepped up pressure on Baghdad and Erbil to disarm and relocate Iranian Kurdish opposition parties in the Kurdistan Region amidst ongoing disputes between Erbil and Baghdad over budget and oil revenues.
Sep 13, 2023
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Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tracking Iranian Soft Power Influence in the KRI
The Islamic Republic of Iran over several years has gained a significant foothold in Iraq, spreading its influence and agenda throughout Iraqi daily life.
Aug 11, 2023
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Nawras Jaff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Bahrain Poll Reveals Support for Russia, Entente with Iran, Split on Israel
A rare public opinion poll in Bahrain, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April by an independent regional firm, shows surprisingly high levels of popular approval for Russia—including its war aims in Ukraine.
May 3, 2023
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Pressure on Azerbaijan: Two Birds with One Stone
Aware of Azerbaijan's growing economic influence and strength, Iran is taking measures to ensure the tensions remain in its favor.
Apr 21, 2023
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Arash Aalaei
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Opposition in the Iranian Diaspora and among Iranian Reformers: The Case of Mousavi
As an Iranian opposition coalesces in the diaspora, challenges loom on the horizon. How the diaspora approaches reformists inside Iran calling for a new constitution will help demonstrate just how cohesive Iran’s disparate opposition groups can become.
Mar 3, 2023
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Majid Nikouei
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Mounting Missile Threats to Neighboring Countries
Iran's ballistic missile program poses regional threats that require international solutions.
Feb 16, 2023
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Mohammad Abu Ghazleh
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