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Brief Analysis
An Islamist Challenge in Russia?
The Chechen crisis is the result of confluence of long-term and recent political, economic and military trends in Russia. Chief among them is the decline of the Russian state, the weakness of its institutions and their inability to address the consequences of the protracted socio-economic decline in the North Caucasus--one
۲۲ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
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Brenda Shaffer
Articles & Testimony
A U.S. Strategic Opening:
America and the Jordan-Israel Peace Treaty, Five Years On
I was on a bicycle trip with my wife in the faraway Canadian Rockies in July 1994 when our guide received a call on an ancient two-way radio from my office in Washington. Jordan and Israel had reached a deal, I was told, and an agreement was soon to be
۲۲ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Khobar Towers and U.S.-Iranian Relations:
American Options and Interests
Although it did not receive much press coverage in the United States, State Department spokesman James P. Rubin's statement last week that military retaliation had not been excluded as a possible response to the Khobar Towers bombing made headlines in Tehran. Rubin's boilerplate response to a reporter's question--"when we judge
۱۹ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Broadcasting to Iraq and Iran:
Reaching Out by Radio
Radio Free Iraq was established through legislation last October and operates in conjunction with Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL) as a nongovernmental organization funded wholly by the U.S. government. The goal of Radio Free Iraq is to broadcast accurate and balanced information focusing on human rights, democratization, free expression, and
۱۵ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Pakistan, Proliferation, and the Middle East
This week's coup d'tat in Pakistan against the elected government of Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif has returned the Pakistani military to power just as neighboring India was installing a new government after national elections. While much attention is being focused on the immediate risk of a diplomatic confrontation between the
۱۴ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Peace in the Middle East and the Jordanian Economy
On September 30, 1999, Rima Khalaf-Hunaidi, Jordan's deputy prime minister and minister of planning and the highest female official in the Arab world, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of her remarks. Read a full transcript. High Expectations, Disappointing Outcomes When Jordan and
۱۲ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
The Long Shadow of Khobar Towers:
Dilemmas for the U.S. and Iran
The 1996 Khobar Towers bombing, in which nineteen U.S. airmen were killed and hundreds injured, continues to cast a shadow over U.S.-Iran relations. The decision last week by the United States to turn over bombing suspect Hani al-Sayegh to Saudi Arabia for trial, and the revelation this week by State
۸ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Clampdown on Hamas:
King Abdullah Strikes Out on His Own
King Abdullah of Jordan arrives in Washington for a private visit this weekend after having implemented his boldest initiative to date--the closure of Hamas offices in Amman and the subsequent arrest of senior Hamas leaders Khalid Mishal, Musa Abu Marzuk, and Ibrahim Ghawsheh. Background: In 1993, Hamas and King Hussein
۶ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Saudi Succession:
The Return of King Fahd
King Fahd returned to Saudi Arabia last week after spending more than two months at his palace in southern Spain on what was described as a vacation. Because he is quite old and in poor health, Fahd is no longer the sole top decision maker of the world’s largest oil
۵ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
An Address by the Turkish Prime Minister
On September 28, 1999, Bulent Ecevit, prime minister of the Republic of Turkey, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following are excerpts from his remarks during the question-and-answer session that followed his speech. Read a full transcript of the speech itself. On Discussions with President Bill Clinton concerning
۴ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
In-Depth Reports
Trends in Israeli-Palestinian Political Fatalities, 1987-1999
Compiled from a Washington Institute database, this statistical analysis examines trends in Israeli and Palestinian deaths related to political violence from the beginning of the intifada in December 1987 through the end of Binyamin Netanyahu's premiership in July 1999. The study analyzes the incidents and resulting fatalities by their total
۱ اکتبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
OPEC Keeps Prices High, But Remains Caught in Mideast Politics
Last week's meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) revealed at once the new power of the organization to manage world oil prices, as well as the fault lines that could undermine the group's current consensus. Maintaining Discipline Keeps Prices High By maintaining the production cuts that the
۳۰ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
An Address by the Turkish Prime Minister (full transcript)
On September 28, 1999, Bulent Ecevit, prime minister of the Republic of Turkey, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Following is the full text of his speech, as delivered. Read a summary of his remarks during the question-and-answer session that followed his speech. Executive director, Mr. Robert Satloff, I
۲۸ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Good Vibes, Little Cash in Store for Ecevit
Turkish prime minister Bulent Ecevit's meeting with U.S. president Bill Clinton tomorrow will produce warm atmospherics but no major earthquake-related aid. Washington had planned to make loan guarantees the centerpiece of both its relief package and Ecevit's trip. Reportedly unhappy with what it considered a low figure, however, Ankara indicated
۲۷ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
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Alan Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Lucky Sharm?
Three years ago, after a series of horrific bombings in Israel, President Clinton invited an array of world leaders to an anti-terrorism summit in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh. Clinton's goal was to save the Israeli-PLO peace process and, with it, Shimon Peres's Labor-led government. The process survived
۲۷ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Assessing Iranian Reportage on U.S.-Iran Contacts
For the last two weeks, the major Iranian newspapers have been full of reports about official contacts between the U.S. and Iranian governments. These reported contacts include a U.S. request that Tehran hand over individuals now in Iran whom the U.S. government believes are responsible for the deaths of nineteen
۲۳ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Lebanon in the Equation of Arab-Israeli Peace
MOUAFAC HARB Israel has no territorial claims over Lebanon, and the two countries agreed to recognize and accept United Nations Security Council Resolution 425, which calls for an unconditional Israeli troop withdrawal. Nevertheless, the Lebanese-Israeli peace track remains challenging, primarily because--after twenty years of civil war--Lebanon lacks a strong central
۲۲ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
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Martin Kramer
Brief Analysis
Desert Talk -- The New Offensive against Iraq
Secretary of State Madeleine Albright's meeting today with leaders of the Iraqi opposition is part of a vigorous diplomatic confrontation between Saddam's regime and the United States, tied to maneuverings at the UN. For the next several weeks, the arguments of Baghdad and Washington are going to be deployed and
۲۰ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Stealth Bombing:
Our Silent War in Iraq
What if they waged a war and no one noticed? In 1999, American and British pilots have bombed Iraq three times a week, hitting 360 targets with 1,100 bombs during more than 10,000 sorties. Yet the Anglo-American war over Iraq does not often make the front pages of even the
۹ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Awaiting the First Report on International Religious Freedom
The U.S. State Departments Office of International Religious Freedom will release an Annual Report on International Religious Freedom on September 7, 1999 -- the first since it was required to do so by the International Religious Freedom Act of 1998 (IRFA). The Report will offer "an assessment and description of
۲ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۹
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