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Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Speaker Election Is No Step Forward for Rouhani
Ali Larijani's projected victory likely won't help Rouhani, who needs ample support from parliament in order to bolster his chances of winning next year's presidential election.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Iran's Air Force Overshadowed by the IRGC
A recent crash highlights the air force's struggles to maintain its readiness and budget at a time when Revolutionary Guard leaders are pushing for a deterrence posture based solely on their own ballistic missile arsenal.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
The Aerial Delivery of Humanitarian Aid in Syria: Options and Constraints
While airlift operations may provide temporary relief for a number of besieged and hard-to-reach communities, urgently enhancing the military capabilities of moderate opposition groups is ultimately the only way to effectively counter the Assad regime's use of food as a weapon.
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Northern Syria’s New Democratic Federal System
On March 17, the PYD declared the establishment of the Founding Council of Democratic Federal System in Rojava and announced the declaration of a democratic federal system for northern Syria. Analyzing the result of this declaration can provide a better view of the PYD’s strategic policies and goals and how
۲۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Frzand Sherko
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Water Issues Are Crucial to Stability in Syria's Euphrates Valley
Regardless of who drives the Islamic State out of the Euphrates Valley agricultural zone, they will need to address the legacy of failed regime irrigation policies that are once again creating tension among local tribes.
۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Fabrice Balanche
In-Depth Reports
A History of Hezbollah Activities in the Arabian Gulf Region
Iran has long used Hezbollah and other radical Shi'a groups to project power across the Gulf. The CIA noted this trend in an 1986 assessment in which it concluded that "Iran uses international terrorism to achieve specific foreign policy objectives. Therefore it should not be surprising that despite the recent
۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The PKK Could Spark Turkish-Russian Military Escalation
Russia and Syria's dormant ties with the group have been reawakened by the civil war, raising the prospect of dangerous weapons proliferation and potential escalation into direct conflict with Turkey.
۲۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Andrew J. Tabler
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
A New Formula in the Battle for Fallujah
The campaign is Iraq's latest attempt to push militia and coalition forces into a single battlespace, and lessons from past efforts have seemingly improved their tactics.
۲۵ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Support of Palestinian Security Forces and the Politics of Succession
Convincing Abbas to clarify succession and return the security services to nonpolitical control will require higher-level engagement from Washington and other parties.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Ghaith al-Omari
Mitchel Hochberg
Articles & Testimony
The Southern Front in Syria
By supporting rebel progress in the south, Washington could put more pressure on Assad and his allies at relatively low cost, and perhaps turn the wavering Druze fully against the regime.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Erdogan's Nationalist Path to a Full Presidential System
By further hardening his approach toward Kurdish nationalism at home and in Syria, Erdogan hopes to woo Turkish ultranationalists and legally enshrine his executive power, but his efforts could clash with U.S. policy on the war next door.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State Is Targeting Syria's Alawite Heartland -- and Russia
The group's choice of targets is a clear sign of its intention to inflame Sunni/Alawite tensions, raise the price of Moscow's intervention, and assert its symbolic leadership over the rebellion.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iran's New Assembly Chair Shows Who Really Won the Elections
Despite weeks of reformist spin about the spring election results, the decision to name a notorious hardliner as head of the Experts Assembly shows that Khamenei is intent on making life even more difficult for President Rouhani's camp.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Bilateral Counterterrorism Cooperation and Changes in Saudi Leadership
When it comes to maintaining, improving, or repairing the kingdom's efforts against the Islamic State and other terrorist groups, many of Washington's tried and tested ways of understanding the royal family's power politics need to be discarded.
۲۴ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Liberation of Fallujah, the Fall of Baghdad
Securing the Iraqi capital won’t be easy, but keeping Baghdad safe from the Islamic State is the only way to ensure it doesn’t fall to Shiite militias.
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Michael Knights
Video
Salafism and the Islamic State: A Video Introduction
The Islamic State (IS or ISIS) is often identified as the world’s leading proponent of Salafism, or fundamentalist Sunni Islam. The IS-affiliated perpetrators of the 2016 Brussels terrorist attacks had close ties with local Salafist groups. In their textbooks, the Islamic State promises to revive a Salafi understanding of Islam
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Netanyahu's Coalition Games
In the early morning hours of May 8, 2012, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Kadima party chief Shaul Mofaz dropped a bombshell on the Israeli political system by announcing the formation of a national unity government. Kadima's shocking entry into the Netanyahu government -- only weeks earlier, Mofaz had stated
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
The U.A.E. Approach to Counterinsurgency in Yemen
The conflict in Yemen cannot fairly be described as a singular war. The main war is being fought between a Saudi-led coalition of Arab states who back the Sunni-dominated internationally recognized government against Shia clans called the Houthis. But amid this, another war is being fought against Al-Qaeda in the
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
From ISIS to Activists:
New Security Trials in Saudi Arabia
In 2008, Saudi Arabia established the Specialized Criminal Court to try al-Qaeda detainees who had been connected to attacks inside the kingdom. Over time, the court's caseload has expanded to include supporters of the Islamic State, Jabhat al-Nusra and other terrorist groups, as well as activists and critics. The court's
۲۳ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Video
Alternative Futures for the Middle East
Lasting reform will have to come from within Middle Eastern societies, a panel of American, Israeli, and Saudi experts said at an Asia Society forum.
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Dennis Ross
Michael Herzog
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