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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Between Iran and the Gulf: An Environment in Transition
May 20, 2016 In the Gulf region, a state of tension prevails regarding what has become of the Arab world. Fears are also growing of Iran’s strength, population, regional expansion, semi-revolutionary ideology, increasingly institutionalized political system, and nuclear agreement. Moreover, Iran has actively involved itself in both realms, using its
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Shafeeq Ghabra
Articles & Testimony
Mission Failure: A Book Review
Michael Mandelbaum's Mission Failure: America and the World in the Post-Cold War Era is an impressive book. As a history of U.S. foreign policy in, as he terms it, its "fourth" or "post-cold war" era, from 1991 to 2014, it's a competent work. But as an analysis of the driving
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James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Will There Be a Revolution in Saudi Arabia?
After the January 25 revolution against Hosni Mubarak's regime just months after Tunisia’s Jasmine Revolution, Gulf countries, especially Saudi Arabia, became seized with the fear that the Arab spring protests would spread to their kingdoms. Saudi Arabia rushed to contain domestic manifestations of anger among its youth, and King Abdullah
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Hussein Nagah
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Media Analysis of the Meeting Between Prince Turki Al-Faisal and General Amidror
The May 6 meeting between Prince Turki al-Faisal, Saudi Arabia’s former intelligence chief, and Israeli Major General Yaakov Amidror, Israel's former national security advisor—hosted by The Washington Institute for Near East Policy—has spurred a wide range of differing voices in the Arab press to comment. Some newspapers have denounced the
۲۰ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Mohamed Abdelaziz
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu's Sudden Coalition Shift: Early Implications
The prime minister has made a seemingly bitter tradeoff: although he is gaining six seats to ensure his political survival, he has saddled himself with a fierce rival, potentially alienated a loyal, experienced defense minister, and left the door open to unfavorable international initiatives.
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Which One of These Presidents Was Toughest on Israel?
The Obama administration is hardly the first to distance itself from Israel based on false assumptions about Arab priorities.
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Turkey's War of Attrition With the Islamic State: The Rocket Threat
Ankara's terrorist adversaries have expanded their destructive reach with mobile rocket launchers and other formidable weapons, so deterring the threat will require a similarly robust Turkish approach to procurement, development, and deployment of various military systems.
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Can Kasapoglu
Articles & Testimony
How to Prevent Sectarian Backlash from Baghdad Bombings
Continued bombings could bring a devastating flood of sectarian attacks to Baghdad and delay the battle for Mosul, so the coalition should help Iraqis address the capital's longstanding vulnerability.
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Sajad Jiyad
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Will Sisi Squander His Chance to Fix Egypt's Economy?
The latest bailout from Saudi Arabia may be the last, so Cairo needs to focus on helping itself by implementing complex subsidy and tax reforms.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Will Labor Agree to Broaden the Netanyahu Coalition?
A breakthrough will likely hinge on whether Netanyahu agrees to make a significant policy shift, thereby assuaging fierce critics within the Labor Party.
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The MFO 2.0
Although improved Egyptian-Israeli cooperation and enhanced remote-monitoring technologies will ease the pain of the planned drawdown in Sinai peacekeepers, the situation will only worsen unless Cairo adopts a more appropriate counterinsurgency strategy.
۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Biggest Loss to Date in Syria
Mustafa Badreddine's death will hurt the group's operational efforts and morale in Syria, but it remains to be seen who it will blame for the attack and whether it will retaliate.
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Nadav Pollak
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
France Refuses to See Islamism as a Cultural Problem
If European countries keep dodging difficult questions about Islamism for the sake of political expediency, international jihadists will continue to emerge from within.
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Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
On the Significance of Dialogue
The principal gain yielded by the exchange of ideas between two adversaries is mutual understanding. Admittedly, at the conclusion of a dialogue it could turn out that the pair really do have irreconcilable views – but at least the discussion has allowed both participants to map out the other’s position
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Mohammed Dajani
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Morphs Into an Expeditionary Force
Funeral notices indicate that Iran has increased its use of IRGC Ground Forces in Syria to offset mounting losses by the elite Qods Force, and this pattern could signal a wider transformation in how the IRGC operates abroad.
۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Ali Alfoneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
International Peace Conference: Winners and Losers
The United States, the United Nations, and other Western capitals have widely acknowledged the unlikely prospects for Palestinian-Israeli peace in the near future. This is notably due to the variety of obstacles, mostly from the Israeli side, against internationally brokered negotiations. Nevertheless, France has insisted on holding an international peace
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Adel Al-Astel
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Deir al-Zour: A U.S.-Russian Bridge Against the Islamic State?
The survival of the regime enclave in Deir al-Zour is fundamental to the anti-IS fight, so Washington and Moscow's allies on the ground may need to race to its rescue sooner rather than later.
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
The View from Tehran's Twilight Zone:
Iran's Continued Illicit Finance Activities and Their Implications
In Tehran's alternative reality, there is no risk to doing business in the Islamic Republic because sanctions no longer exist, yet such claims ignore the role that the regime's own actions play in scaring foreign banks away.
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Gulf Coalition Targeting AQAP in Yemen
Coalition units and allied Yemeni forces have fought a successful and timely campaign to stem the al-Qaeda affiliate's runaway growth in Yemen.
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Promised Saudi Support to Jordan: At What Price?
Washington will be pleased to see Riyadh bolstering another key regional ally, but the potential development of Jordan's nuclear sector could cause headaches, and the political costs for Amman remain unclear.
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David Schenker
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