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Articles & Testimony
Beyond Nationalism: Kurdistan as a Catalyst for a New Middle East
Caught at the geographic convergence of four key states and their various political and military conflicts, Kurdistan may gradually spread a new paradigm focused on sharing the space instead of attempting to carve untenable dominions out of it.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Rethinks Its Commitments to Lebanon
Riyadh's latest financial and diplomatic measures may just be a shot across Beirut's bow, but several signs point to a potentially wider Gulf withdrawal that could leave Lebanon even more at Iran and Hezbollah's mercy.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Political Landscape -- and What Is Unlikely to Change with Friday's Elections
As in past votes, the candidates have been closely screened, the outcome is expected to uphold the legislature's largely conservative makeup, and the victors will remain largely dependent on military institutions.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Great Unraveling
As tumultuous as the region's recent struggles have been, they have also exposed opportunities to establish a more multilateral Middle Eastern security architecture via renewed U.S. leadership.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Polls Show Most Muslims Reject Both Extremism and Islamic Reform
In places like Jordan, even minimal support for the Islamic State fell over a one-year period, and a similar downward trend may be occurring elsewhere.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Promoting Strong and Inclusive Institutions in the Middle East
The main lesson imparted by the Arab Spring at the five year mark is that toppling dictators does not clear a straight path to democracy. Without establishing strong and inclusive institutions to make democratization sustainable following regime change, civil wars have broken out in Syria, Iraq, Libya, and Yemen, while
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Maurizio Geri
Brief Analysis
Iran's Election Procedures
An in-depth look at the unique and often-controversial procedures that will govern Iran's latest elections.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Schmidt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Two Potential Safe Zones in Northern Syria
Both Idlib province and eastern Aleppo province have been relatively spared from the fighting, and their rural communities remain strong.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Video
Defeating the Islamic State: The Economic Campaign
Can the Islamic State be beaten in the banks as well as on the battlefield? Watch three Institute experts discuss government and private-sector efforts to cut off its funding.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Katherine Bauer
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire and Elections in Syria: Putin Still a Step Ahead
If Moscow and Damascus have their way, the latest ceasefire will further divide the rebels, isolate Turkey, and facilitate their ongoing military and political strategy for preserving Assad's rule.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Iranian EFPs in the Gulf: An Emerging Strategic Risk
Tehran and its proxies have increased their efforts to provide armor-piercing explosive devices to Shiite cells in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, and this game-changing escalation could pose even greater challenges if Riyadh takes further action in Syria.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Fatalities in the Syrian War
Analysis of funeral reports and other open-source data offers potentially revealing insights into the militia's combat losses in Syria, its shifting role in the war next door, and the security of its position back home in Lebanon.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Ali Alfoneh
Articles & Testimony
A Palestinian Vice President? Players, Possibilities, Problems
Until Fatah settles its own internal power struggle, appointing a PA vice president will remain nothing but an idea divorced from political reality.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
The First Step Should Be to Create Buffer Zones in Syria
Any safe zones would need to be secured by the military forces of Syria’s neighbors, such as Turkey and Jordan, as well as by U.S. air and ground support.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
In-Depth Reports
The Five Factors Slowing Gaza Reconstruction
Mitchel Hochberg untangles the complex factors hindering Gaza reconstruction and shows why a clearer understanding is a necessary first step toward rectifying this dangerous situation.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Mitchel Hochberg
Brief Analysis
IS and Russia Could Exploit Turkey's Political Divisions
Unfortunate civil unrest could emerge if the jihadist group continues targeting anti-government Turks and Moscow keeps its sights set on Erdogan and his party.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Are Putin and Assad Playing Good Cop, Bad Cop?
Some analysts have voiced disagreement with the view that Damascus and Moscow are truly at odds.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
A Turkish 'Secure Strip' in Syria: Domestic Concerns and Foreign Limitations
Although Ankara has the necessary parliamentary authorization and professional military capacity to establish a safe zone, it would still need Western intelligence help, air support, and diplomatic backing to cover the operation and deter Russian retaliation.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Articles & Testimony
Russian Expectations for Post-Sanctions Iran
Joint support of Basher al-Assad's regime has highlighted Moscow and Tehran’s developing political alliance. In contrast, the level of economic cooperation between the two states has historically been very modest: 2014 trade between the two countries amounted to $1.68 billion and was just 0.2% of all Russian foreign trade. Yet
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Huseyn Panahov
Brief Analysis
Legal Justifications for a Safe Zone in Syria
UN Security Council Resolutions 2170, 2249, and 2254 offer ample grounds for establishing a zone to protect refugees and counter the Islamic State, but shaping the international diplomatic response would be paramount given the legal gray areas inherent in such action.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
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