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Articles & Testimony
What Could Erdogan Learn from Obama?
Today, most Turks agree that their country needs a new Constitution. There is disagreement, however, on how this Constitution should be drafted. The governing Justice and Development Party, or AKP, needs 367 of the 550 votes in Parliament to pass a new Constitution. It currently has 337 deputies. A referendum
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
What Europe Can Do to Secure a Deal with Iran
Against the backdrop of the Iranian government's continuing crackdown on its critics, Western powers are preparing for a fourth round of multilateral sanctions and other measures in the hopes of persuading Tehran to alter course on its controversial uranium enrichment policy. But even with Russia now apparently on board, will
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
Who's Behind the Houthis?
Yemen again appears to be developing into a proxy war, the latest battlefield in the conflict between Iran and the "moderate" Arab states.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Green Dreams
During a campaign speech at the University of Uroomiyeh in northwestern Iran a few months before the June presidential election there, Mir Hossein Moussavi, the main reformist presidential candidate and now opposition leader, was interrupted by angry groups of basiji, the regime's paramilitary enforcers, carrying pictures of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
Turkey:
Women's Work Is in the Home?
Critics of Turkey's ruling party fear that its conservatism is going too far, leading, among other things, to exclusion of women in the workforce. Soner Cagaptay and Rueya Perincek assess the implications, both domestically and with regard to the country's accession to the European Union. © IHS (Global) Limited, Jane's
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Stepping Up Engagement with Syria
Five years ago this month, Washington withdrew its ambassador to Damascus to protest the Assad regime's presumed role in the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. For the State Department, which instinctively believes in the power of diplomacy, yanking its top diplomat was equivalent to the nuclear option
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The AKP's Hamas Policy
Why are Turks turning anti-Western and why do they view themselves in conflict the West? Examining the development of Turkish policies toward Israel and Hamas since the Justice and Development Party (AKP) came to power in 2002 can provide many lessons.
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
The Hand Extended to Syria is Also Intended as a Blow to Iran
The appointment of Robert Ford as US Ambassador to Syria is part of the Obama administration's general policy of engagement with America's foes. Its timing to coincide with Under Secretary of State William Burns' visit to Damascus, however, has a wider purpose. The move is part of a massive diplomatic
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Defeating Islamists at the Ballot
Whenever the United States pushes for elections in the Middle East and Muslim countries, Islamist parties often perform well -- better than liberal, nationalist, and secular parties -- a phenomenon that has occurred even in secular Turkey. Are U.S. efforts to promote democracy in Muslim countries as well as block
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
In a Corner
This week, President Obama named Robert S. Ford as his ambassador to Syria -- meaning that he still intends to engage America's foes. (Ford would be the first U.S. ambassador there since the 2005 assassination of Lebanese prime minister Rafik Hariri.) And while the president's record so far against Venezuela
۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
The Long Arm of Lashkar-e-Taiba
In his February 2 testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee, Director of National Intelligence Dennis Blair highlighted the growing danger posed by Pakistani militant organization Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT). Calling the group a "special case," he asserted that it is "becoming more of a direct threat and is placing Western targets in
۱۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Stephen Tankel
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia by the Numbers
The very concept of public opinion in highly secretive Saudi Arabia is almost an oxymoron. Hard data are difficult to come by, and even rarer is information about controversial and strategically critical current issues: views about military action against Iran, corruption and the state of civil liberties within the kingdom
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Setback for Iran's Opposition:
Khamenei's Hardline Reinforced
A few hours after the official demonstration marking the February 11 anniversary of Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei stated, "Was the presence of tens of millions of motivated and aware people in the festival of the thirty-first anniversary of revolution enough to awaken [to their mistakes] the
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Diyanet and Laicite:
New Turkish Exports to Europe
European secularism, or laicite, practiced in France and other European countries, is distinct from American secularism. While the United States is secular, providing for freedom of religion in education and politics, European societies are laique, providing for freedom from religion in education and politics. Secularism, however, is not a standardized
۱۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Brief Analysis
Khamenei and the Politics of Indecision
February 11, the anniversary of the 1979 Islamic Revolution, is the most important official holiday in Iran. The public faces of the opposition Green Movement, Mir Hossein Mousavi and Mehdi Karrubi, have called for street demonstrations to mark the occasion. Meanwhile, government officials at every level have warned against such
۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Can Gaza Become a Somalia or Yemen?
The recent arrest of an organized cell in the northern West Bank inspired by al-Qaida's ideology is a stark reminder of the expanding nature of the threat facing Israel. Today, threats come not only from the enemies it has long known, such as Hamas and Islamic Jihad which target Israel
۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Brief Analysis
How to Assess Political Fissures in Iran
On February 5, 2010, David Cvach, Ali Alfoneh, and Mehdi Khalaji addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss developments in Iran that may indicate either lost ground for reform-minded activists or cracks in the very foundation of the Islamic Republic. Mr. Cvach is political counselor
۱۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Ali Alfoneh
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
The Basij Resistance Force:
A Weak Link in the Iranian Regime?
In the months since Iran's contested June 2009 presidential election, the Basij Resistance Force has emerged as one of the regime's main pillars of support against the democracy movement. In the long term, however, it is uncertain whether the militia is capable of prevailing in a prolonged fight against a
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
◆
Ali Alfoneh
Brief Analysis
Serious Play:
War Games Explore Options on Iran
What if Iran's hardline leadership emerges from the current confrontations at home strengthened and emboldened? If so, the nuclear issue will be back with a vengeance. And three recent war games focused on the Iranian nuclear weapons issue suggest that the prospects for halting the regime's progress toward nuclear weapons
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
◆
Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Solomon's Baby in the Middle East
View the maps originally published with this article. "Over our dead bodies!" Najib Khatib shouted in Arabic as I stepped out of our car in Ghajar, a picturesque village cut in two by the boundary between the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and Lebanon. "Nobody tells us anything!" he said, his arms
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
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