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Brief Analysis
Iranian Presidential Elections:
A Preview
Two-hundred and thirty-eight Iranians submitted their candidacy for the presidency, but the Council of Guardians, a group of senior clerics appointed by the supreme spiritual leader, only approved four. The two leading contenders are Ali Akbar Nateq-Nuri, present speaker of the Majles (parliament), and Mohammad Khatami, the former minister of
۲۲ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
In-Depth Reports
The Arab-Israeli Peace Process:
Reassessing the Fundamentals
Keynote addresses by Moshe Arens, Jackson Diehl, Adnan Abu Odeh, and Ehud Ya'ari. With Jeane Kirkpatrick, Joseph Lieberman, Robert Pelletreau, Mortimer Zuckerman, Ziyad Abu Amr, and Reuven Rivlin.
۲۱ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Arab League's Call for a Freeze on Normalization
Last Sunday, the small Gulf state of Qatar, host to the next Middle East and North Africa (MENA) Economic Conference in November, rebuffed an attempt by Syria to postpone the event, despite the March 31st Arab League Council resolution calling for the suspension of political, economic, and cultural normalization with
۲۱ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
◆
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
Iran vs. the West:
The View from Israel
In early 1995, few were inclined to try to refute the wisdom of Europe's policy of "critical dialogue" with Iran. The belief that benevolent, rational dialogue could reform Iran-even in the face of brazen aggression and unbridled political effrontery-seemed too compelling to pass up. Nevertheless, the policy was then, and
۱۹ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
Britain's New Labour Government and the Middle East
The victory of the Labour party in the British general elections on May 1 was expected although the huge majority-179 seats-that the new prime minister, Tony Blair, will enjoy did surprise most observers. His appointment of Robin Cook to the top foreign affairs slot had been predicted-Cook had been the
۱۶ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Chemical and Biological Terrorism:
Threat and Response
Biological terrorism is very much a threat that we need to worry about. However, terrorists will face a number of formidable obstacles to conducting a successful biological attack. These include acquiring the agent, cultivating it and preparing it for dissemination, developing a means of dissemination, selecting and reconnoitering the target
۱۲ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
The State Department's 1996 Terrorism Report:
Filling in the Gaps
Last week, the Department of State released "Patterns of Global Terrorism 1996," its authoritative survey of trends and developments in international terrorism. While it remains an invaluable resource for policy makers and scholars, some of the report's analytical conclusions are deserving of intense scrutiny and debate. Most troubling in this
۹ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
Iran Sanctions Violations:
The Challenge for Washington
The April 10 German court finding that Iran's top leaders ordered the assassination of several dissidents in Berlin underscores the hollowness of Europe's policy of engagement with Iran, and presents the U.S. with a unique opportunity to make Iran's leaders pay a real economic price for their brazen disregard of
۵ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
In-Depth Reports
Jordan-Israel Peace: Taking Stock, 1994-1997
Despite the multitude of regional, bilateral, and domestic political complications frustrating efforts to build upon peace, Jordan and Israel have made substantial gains toward normalizing relations since signing their peace treaty at Wadi Araba on October 26, 1994. The treaty and more than one dozen subsequent sectoral agreements have established
۱ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
◆
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
From Regionalism to Polarization:
Trends in Middle East Rhetoric
As security cooperation between Israel and the Palestinian Authority remains largely suspended and relations between Israelis and Palestinians continue to worsen, a deepening polarization has come to characterize the wider political environment between Israel and the Arab world. Not only have most normalization efforts—from the Multilateral Peace Talks to the
۱ مهٔ ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
The 'Bar-On Scandal':
Implications for the Netanyahu Government and the Peace Process
Out of the four people recommended for indictment by Israeli police, only Aryeh Deri—head of the Shas party and former minister of the interior—will probably be indicted. Although the police had "tangible suspicion" of Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Minister of Justice Tzahi Hanegbi, there was not an "irrefutable proof
۲۵ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
◆
Robert Satloff
Samuel Lewos
Brief Analysis
Japan and the Persian Gulf
Peace in the Persian Gulf is crucial for international stability, including in East Asia. Moreover, a stable supply of crude oil and natural gas is essential to the United States, the European Union and the Asian countries. Nearly 80 percent of Japan's crude oil imports come from the Gulf region
۲۳ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
A Return to Camp David?
Accelerated 'Final-Status' Talks: A Debate
Charles Krauthammer: Israelis and Palestinians should move immediately to accelerated final status negotiations. It is the only viable alternative to a failed Oslo process. The last three years of intensive diplomacy demonstrates that Oslo's premise is erroneous, serving to diminish rather than build confidence between the parties. Incrementalism undermines trust
۲۲ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
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Samuel Lewos
Brief Analysis
What If Iran Was Behind al-Khobar?
Planning for a U.S. Response
Evidence continues to mount of a link between Iran and the Saudi national arrested in Canada for complicity in the bombing of the al-Khobar Towers in Saudi Arabia, which killed 19 U.S. military personnel last June. Although proof is not yet conclusive, the answer to "who bombed al-Khobar" may soon
۱۶ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
◆
Kenneth Pollack
Brief Analysis
Inside the Palestinian Authority:
A Situation Report
Since the beginning of the Oslo process, Israel and the United States have consistently underestimated Palestinian Authority (PA) Chairman Yasser Arafat. Arafat is a historic figure who deserves respect. In his many years as leader of the Palestinians he has learned to employ a wide range of personas and emotions
۱۱ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy toward Egypt
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations Mr. Chairman, It is an honor to appear before this Committee to discuss Egypt and U.S. policy. In recent years, as visible signs of discord have emerged between the United States and Egypt over a wide array of issues, this topic has
۱۰ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Europe's 'Critical Dialogue' with Iran:
Pressure for Change
Tomorrow, a German court will announce the verdict in the "Mykonos" trial, in which the Iranian government has been implicated in the murder in Berlin of four Kurdish leaders. The Mykonos case is one of a series of recent events suggesting a serious deterioration of European relations with Iran. Increasing
۹ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
From Hebron to Har Homa to Hamas:
The Chimera of 'Reciprocity'
As Prime Minister Netanyahu prepares to meet President Clinton on Monday, policymakers and analysts are asking how Israeli-Palestinian relations could plummet from the optimism that surrounded the signing of the Hebron agreement in mid-January to today's violence, brinkmanship and gloominess. Explanations abound—from the controversy surrounding Har Homa construction to the
۴ آوریل ۱۹۹۷
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Jordan's Agenda:
Israel, Iraq, and the Home Front
With Arab League foreign ministers, meeting in Cairo today, taking their most critical stance against Israel since the start of the Madrid peace process—"recommending" that member-states "stop all normalization" with Israel, suspend participation in the multilateral talks, and "reactivate" the Arab boycott—tomorrow's meeting between President Clinton and Jordan's King Hussein
۳۱ مارس ۱۹۹۷
◆
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
Brief Analysis
Israeli Outlook (Part II):
Politics and Economics
Behind the headlines of today's political difficulties in Israel lies a series of problems that are the product of the country's new election law. Last May, for the first time, Israel elected its prime minister through a direct mandate. As a result, the position of the prime minister is now
۲۸ مارس ۱۹۹۷
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