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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Brief Analysis
In Damning Report, UN Panel Details War Economy in Yemen
By benefiting from questionable wartime revenue streams and outright corruption, both the Houthi rebels and the U.S.-supported Hadi government are inhibiting a transition to peace.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Another Course Correction Needed: Towards a Better Reception of U.S. Positions in the Middle East
Characterizations of U.S. engagement in the Middle East as merely chaotic ignore—often deliberately—that a course correction in U.S. policy is indeed taking place. Underneath the U.S. administration’s multiple, even conflicting messages communicated to friends and foes in the Middle East, the outlines of a coherent policy are potentially discernible. Washington
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hanging in the Balance: East Jerusalemite Population Balances Israeli Benefits with Palestinian Alignment in Newest Poll
An October 2018 poll of Palestinian residents of East Jerusalem confirms a sharp shift against integration with Israel in the past two years. This surprising result was first reported based on our May 2017 survey, with the trend continuing towards Palestinian nationalism. In stark contrast to previous polls conducted as
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Cecilia Panella
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Security Threats on the Tunisia-Libya Border
The French military’s Maginot line—built during the 1930s in order to prevent the inevitable German invasion—is a classic example of how a false sense of security led to failed strategic planning. Lesser known is the Mareth Line of the same period, built in Tunisia to defend the French protectorate against
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Dhia Otay
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Political and Legal Challenges in the Next Elections
For now, he is sticking with the tried-and-true formula of emphasizing his security pedigree, but looming indictments could change his campaign narrative and coalition-building strategy.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Makovsky
تحلیل کوتاه
عقب راندن ایران از سوریه: فراتر از «نیروی نظامی»
تهران، به جز مداخله نظامی در سوریه، طیف وسیعی از تاکتیکهای اقتصادی و اجتماعی را نیز برای گسترش نفوذ خود در سوریه دنبال کرده است. اما واشنگتن هنوز هم میتواند با کمکهای هدفمند، تحریمهای خلاقانه و تبلیغات راهبردی، ایران را در سوریه عقب براند.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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حنین غدار
دانا استرول
Articles & Testimony
Now Trump’s Shutdown Threatens Israel’s Security
The last remaining thread of U.S.-Palestinian ties is the American-trained PA security forces, but Washington is about to cut them off.
۲۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Russia in the Middle East: Is There an Endgame?
The Kremlin often becomes more aggressive abroad to help shore up its legitimacy at home, so it may be more than happy to maintain a permanent state of low-level, managed conflict in the region.
۲۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Is Chechnya Putin’s Blueprint for Syria?
If recent history is any indicator, ceding further ground to Russia virtually guarantees that the conflict will keep simmering for years to come.
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Amazigh Cultural Renaissance
Indigenous to North Africa, the Amazigh people, sometimes known as Berbers, have spent decades fighting for cultural recognition in the predominantly-Arab region. For years, Amazigh activists have been engaged in a battle against oppressive policies while also trying to promote measures that would help preserve Amazigh identity. Central to past
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Mohamed Chtatou
Brief Analysis
Gulf Cyber Cooperation with Israel: Balancing Threats and Rights
The provision of powerful cyber tools is important for national security in the Gulf states, but it has reportedly opened the door to human rights abuses.
۱۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Trump’s Democratic Critics Are in Danger of Following His Lead
They need to do more than reject his foreign policy rhetoric—they need to break with its substance.
۱۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Dennis Ross
مقالهها و دیدگاهها
سخنرانی پمپئو در قاهره بیشتر «بردن گذشته به آینده» بود تا بریدن از گذشته
دولت آمریکا باید بیشتر بر تقویت صدای شهروندان خاورمیانه تمرکز کند و همزمان به شیوهای قابل قبول با تهدیدهای جمعی مقابله کند.
۱۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
بن فیشمن
دانا استرول
Articles & Testimony
The Challenges of Urban Fighting in Hodeida
The Saudi-led coalition would face several tactical and diplomatic challenges if full-scale fighting resumes on the coast, so it may seek a gradual, low-profile reduction of the Houthi presence.
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Government Formation in the KRG: A Perilously Slow Process
On January 9, US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo visited Erbil, where he underscored the value of the United States' “longstanding friendship” with the Kurdistan Region of Iraq and emphasized his government’s support for the dialog between KRG and the federal government in Baghdad. The Kurdistan Region’s election took place
۱۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Farhad Alaaldin
Brief Analysis
Saudi Security Forces Kill Shia Militants Near Major Oil Facilities
Coming the same week as Secretary Pompeo’s Middle East tour, the incident is a powerful example of the regional threat posed by Iran.
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S. Withdrawal in Syria: Tracking Israeli and Iranian Media Responses
Just as President Trump’s announced decision to withdraw troops from Syria has garnered intense analysis from American media, the media outlets of regional actors involved in Syria are similarly occupied discussing likely scenarios for the country's future. In surveying the media responses of Iran and Israel—countries who have indirectly clashed
۱۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Tamuz Avivi
Arjan Ganji
Articles & Testimony
It’s Time for a Serious Saudi-Houthi Back Channel
Riyadh has leverage to undermine Iran’s project in Yemen and can do so alongside UN-brokered peace talks.
۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Barbara A. Leaf
Elana DeLozier
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Potential Outcomes of the Sudanese Uprising
Despite limited media coverage of the uprising in Sudan and the Omar al-Bashir regime’s subsequent efforts at repression, the popularity of these uprisings is increasing day by day, spreading across many of the largest cities in the country. The dominating chant of "The people want to overthrow the regime"—echoing earlier
۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Maged Atef
Brief Analysis
Protecting Yemen’s Peace Process from Houthi Ceasefire Violations
Amid mounting evidence that the rebels are trying to collapse the ceasefire, Washington should rally a multinational demarche to accelerate their withdrawal from key ports and urban areas.
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Michael Knights
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