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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Doubts About Hezbollah Emerge in Lebanon, Even Among Shia
The acute border tension this week between Israel and Hezbollah adds urgency to a closer look at the militia’s popular standing in Lebanon—especially in case of war. Fortunately, a reliable new Lebanese public opinion poll shows that some Shia are now voicing reservations about Hezbollah policies—even as Sunnis continue to
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
David Pollock
In-Depth Reports
Iran's Precision Missile Project Moves to Lebanon
Three experts examine Tehran's objectives, Russia's regional goals, and the way these translate to long-term threats and short-term risks for Israel.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Katherine Bauer
Hanin Ghaddar
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
The United States, Saudi Arabia, and the Middle East in the Post-Khashoggi Era
In addition to imperiling U.S. public support for regional relationships, neglecting human rights issues can blind policymakers to the brittleness of certain partner states.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Michael Singh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In Egypt, One-Third Still Like the Muslim Brotherhood; Half Call U.S. Ties "Important"
New findings from a reliable Egyptian public opinion poll reveal very divided popular attitudes, both on the country’s domestic direction and about its outside partners. Yet Egyptians mostly agree with their government on several key foreign policy issues. A mere 12% want good relations with Iran; even fewer, just 5%
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
How to Read Lebanon’s Acceptance of Russian Military Aid
The assistance package is small but symbolically important, demonstrating Moscow’s growing influence in Beirut while potentially throwing Hezbollah and Iran for a loop.
۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Dennis Ross Reflects on George H. W. Bush
Looking back at the late president’s ability to navigate watershed moments in geopolitical history with remarkable diplomatic skill, empathy, and civility.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The UAE and Yemen’s Islah: A Coalition Coalesces
To jumpstart the moribund peace process and ensure Emirati influence in postwar Yemen, Abu Dhabi seems willing to swallow its distaste for certain Islamist parties, at least for now.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Barbara A. Leaf
Elana DeLozier
Targeting the Dematerialized Caliphate
Despite losing access to massive oil income, Islamic State operatives keep finding ways to finance their activities, especially low-cost plots by lone wolves and small cells.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Russian Romancing, Saudi Intrigue Precede OPEC Meeting
The cartel’s uncertain future may be shaped by any number of economic and diplomatic wildcards, including Russian outreach, Qatari gas exports, and U.S. turmoil over the Khashoggi murder.
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Burden of History in the Middle East Peace Process
Roy Kays, from the Israeli channel KAN 11 TV, wasn't the first Israeli journalist to contact me about Middle Eastern politics. However, he was the first to use a Twitter account to do so. After several exchanges of "How are you?" and "I'm fine Roy Kays, how are you?" it
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Abdulla Aljunaid
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Challenges Facing Egypt’s Female Migrant Workers
Safiya, 30, wakes up to the sound of her mother yelling, "Get up now or the car will leave without you." A new morning brings with it the same misery: Safiya is one of thousands of migrant workers in rural Egypt who, driven by poverty to pick grapes during the
۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Eman Elwarraky
Brief Analysis
Counter-Drone Capabilities in the Middle East and Beyond: A Primer
Despite growing interest and investment, countering unmanned aircraft remains a significant challenge given the nature of the threat, the rapid evolution of drone technology, and the dynamic nature of modern warfare.
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Arthur Holland Michel
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
For a State, Palestinians Would Cede "Right of Return"—and More
Two surveys conducted by different Palestinian pollsters in October show unexpected popular flexibility on core issues of an eventual peace deal with Israel, despite widespread skepticism among Palestinians about current prospects. These findings suggest that American, Israeli, and Arab policymakers should all pay more attention to what the Palestinian people
۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Customary Reconciliation Sessions Hurt its Christian Minority
Marqos Ghabrial and his family gathered the what remained of their lives scattered around their old hometown in the Qena governorate of southern Egypt. The Ghabrial family was forced to leave in the middle of the night after news of Marqos’ romantic relationship with a Muslim girl from the same
۳۰ نوامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Viola Fahmy
Articles & Testimony
There’s No Reason Congress and Trump Can’t Achieve Their Goals for Saudi Arabia
The two branches have several means of imposing consequences and altering objectionable Saudi policies without demolishing the entire strategic relationship.
۲۹ نوامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Tunisian Foreign Fighters in Iraq and Syria
Over the past few years, the influx of Tunisian fighters to Iraq and Syria has rendered Tunisia practically synonymous with a phenomenon that is still not well understood. This new Policy Note by jihadism expert Aaron Y. Zelin seeks to remedy this gap by quantifying the flow of Tunisian fighters
۲۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Palestinian Political Trends 2014-2018: New Data and Prevailing Attitudes
At the beginning of October, the polling data from fieldwork conducted in Gaza, East Jerusalem, and West Bank under the supervision of the Washington Institute’s David Pollock highlighted old political fissures and an increasing disenchantment with politics in Palestine. While results indicate a shared lack of enthusiasm towards the Palestinian
۲۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Cecilia Panella
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Qatar’s Soft Power Is Alive and Well
More than a year after the quartet blockade of Qatar, it appears that the collective American establishments of the State and Defense Departments have minimized the strong early statements of President Donald Trump on the issue. Despite implied U.S. support for the blockade last year, regional observers have noted a
۲۸ نوامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Ali Fadli
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah's New Cabinet Push
In spite of the attempted deal to form a cabinet in the Lebanese parliament in late October, Hezbollah has now ramped up demands for the representation of its Sunni allies in the new cabinet. This new condition has led to a renewed political deadlock in the formation of the Lebanese
۲۷ نوامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Mona Alami
تحلیل کوتاه
اهمیت مذهبی انتخابات بحرین
انتخابات قریبالوقوع بحرین، ساختار قدرت در این کشور را که دارای موقعیت استراتژیک در منطقه خلیج فارس است تغییر نمیدهد، اما میتواند بر ناآرامی زیرپوستی شیعیان این کشور و سیاست گستردهتر منطقهای اثر بگذارد.
۲۱ نوامبر ۲۰۱۸
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سایمون هندرسون
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