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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Revelatory Elections – A State of Divide and Rule
The Egyptian Commission for Presidential Elections has set March 26 for voting in Egypt (with March 16 as the start date for Egyptians abroad to vote). These elections come amid a kind of fog on the political stage. The outcome is predetermined, which is to favor President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Maged Atef
Brief Analysis
Saudi Nuclear Power Plants and the Danger of Proliferation
Riyadh's continuing closeness to Pakistan could prevent Washington from allowing the export of nuclear technology to the kingdom.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Commenting on Firas Elias: Iran Fears Turkey’s Military Operation in Afrin...
February 28, 2018 This piece by Firas Elias presents a best-case scenario for the Turkish operation in Afrin. It suggests that Ankara’s action may deny Iran access to the Mediterranean, disrupt or even reverse the Damascus regime’s gains in the crucial hinterland of Aleppo, and pit IS against Iranian proxies
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Hassan Mneimneh
Brief Analysis
How Europe Can Punish Iran's Missile Smuggling While Preserving the Nuclear Deal
The UN has publicly identified the Iranian companies involved in smuggling ballistic missiles into Yemen, so Europe should quit stalling and follow Washington's example by sanctioning these firms.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Michael Knights
Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Saudi Military Changes Suggest Shift in Yemen Policy
U.S. pressure to end the war may have spurred Riyadh to reorganize its Defense Ministry and shake up its military leadership.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Why Does Iran Fear Turkey’s Military Operation in Afrin?
February 27, 2018 The latest Iranian reaction to the Turkish military operation against the Kurds in Syria’s northwest province of Afrin highlights the political complexity of the Syrian case. Though Turkey and Iran have previously demonstrated a high level of political agreement regarding the Kurdish issue in northern Syria, including
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurds of Iran: the missing piece in the Middle East Puzzle
February 26, 2018 The Kurdish factor has become a key element in the Middle East after the war against the Islamic State. However, this new interest in the fate of the Kurds is mainly focused on the Kurds of Iraq, while giving more political visibility to the Kurds of Turkey
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Asso Hassan Zadeh
Articles & Testimony
Easing the Minds of Egyptian Generals Is Key to Continued Cooperation with Israel
By keeping bilateral military operations a secret, the two governments risk perpetuating fundamental misconceptions among Egypt's military ranks.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Haisam Hassanein
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
The Road to Protective Edge:
Israel-Hamas Confrontation in Gaza
Without the creation of a new military concept by Israel to counter Hamas, a much bloodier conflict is likely in the future.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Sami Turjeman
Articles & Testimony
Moscow Exploiting Israeli-Syrian Clashes for Regional Influence
By portraying itself as a neutral broker when Israel, Iran, and other parties clash over Syria, the Kremlin seeks to further its own interests in the Middle East.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Militias in Iraq's Security Forces: Historical Context and U.S. Options
Washington should adopt a quiet but well-planned approach to Baghdad's demobilization, disarmament, and reintegration of militias, learning when to be flexible and when to stand firm.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Omar Al-Nidawi
Michael Knights
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Foreign Fighters in Libya: Consequences for Africa and Europe
As the fight against the Islamic State shifts from retaking territory to preventing regrowth, a jihadism scholar and the former deputy head of AFRICOM discuss what Washington should learn from the group's activities in Libya.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Michael T. Franken
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Advantages of Kurdish Autonomy in Syria
February 21, 2018 Despite the current tactical moves by the Assad regime’s remaining forces to “protect” the Kurds in Syria’s northwestern Afrin province, the regime continues to threaten Syrian Kurds and hint at a restoration of the status quo: a reversal of the federation and self-administration of their areas and
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Zara Saleh
Brief Analysis
Pushing Iran to Take Steps Against Terrorist Financing
By focusing on Tehran's struggle to reach an acceptable legal definition of terrorism, Washington can avoid further politicizing the traditionally technocratic effort to bring Iranian banks in line with international norms.
۲۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Katherine Bauer
Brief Analysis
Abbas at the Security Council
While the occasion of a Palestinian leader addressing the council was novel, the speech itself was classic Abbas: balancing his domestic need to appear defiant, but avoiding irretrievable diplomatic damage.
۲۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Washington's Militia Problem in Syria Is an Iran Problem
While Assad may nominally hold reclaimed areas in the south, he will never truly control them so long as Tehran tells its militia proxies to secure that corridor for its own purposes.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Jackson Doering
Articles & Testimony
Strengthen the Nuclear Deal and Counter Iran's Destabilizing Activities
The gaps between Washington and Europe's positions on the JCPOA remain wide, but the potential price of failure will hopefully provide enough motivation to bridge them.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Perfect Tense: Comparing Israel’s Ties with Jordan and Turkey
The strategic interests of Jordan and Israel overlap to a remarkable, multilayered fashion. Both countries have shared the unenviable position of being primary targets of Arab, Islamist, and other radicals since their respective founding in 1946 and 1948. Yet their common challenges have not obviated real and recurring divergences of
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Abdullah Sawalha
Abraham Haak
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United Arab Emirates: Turkey’s New Rival
With tensions between Turkey and the UAE on the rise, regional conflicts, from Libya to Syria, are now being influenced by the rivalry.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Youssef Sheiko
Articles & Testimony
Letters from Home: Hezbollah Mothers and the Culture of Martyrdom
For many Lebanese Shia, blindly accepting the group's narrative may be less emotionally wrenching than questioning whether a youth's death was worth the pain.
۱۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Kendall Bianchi
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