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Brief Analysis
Will the PKK and the Islamic State Bring Turkey and Russia Closer Together?
If Ankara wants to intervene against the Islamic State in Syria, block Kurdish advances, and defeat the PKK at home, it may decide to do whatever is necessary to placate Moscow, perhaps even cutting off support for certain anti-Assad rebel groups.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Russia's Cooperation on the Iran Deal Is No Favor to Washington
Moscow only agreed to the nuclear deal out of self-interest, and the JCPOA has allowed Russia to expand ties with Iran while positioning itself as a regional counterweight to the West.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
TWI Series on the JCPOA at One Year
Assess how the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the nuclear agreement with Iran, has affected various U.S. interests one year after its announcement on July 14, 2015.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
Dennis Ross
Patrick Clawson
Anna Borshchevskaya
Matthew Levitt
Simon Henderson
Mehdi Khalaji
Olivier Decottignies
Katherine Bauer
Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Iran's Modest Economic Changes Since JCPOA Implementation
Deeply entrenched interests are impeding reform in Iran, limiting the economy to only modest progress even with sanctions relief.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Why the Islamic State Targets Muslim Countries Like Turkey
In addition to ideological concerns, the group can't afford to lose access to Syria's northern border, so it has responded to Turkish-backed rebel offensives there with multiple terrorist attacks.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Preserving the JCPOA Means Sending Iran the Right Deterrent Signals
Not enough is being done to convince Tehran that seeking nuclear weapons down the road will lead to forceful consequences, so the next administration will need to put forth a tougher declaratory policy on the issue while bolstering the deal's near-term benefits.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Israel, the Palestinian Authority, and Barriers to Peace
A former senior State Department advisor discusses the concrete steps Washington and other actors can take to improve conditions on the ground, setting the stage for future peacemaking even if more ambitious initiatives are not currently in the cards.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The JCPOA'S Regional Impact: Sinking Confidence in the U.S. Balancing Role
Left to their own devices and faced with an Iran on the march in multiple theaters, regional states have responded to the deal in an incoherent and dangerous fashion.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Who Is Iran's New Armed Forces Chief of Staff?
The appointment of one of the IRGC's youngest generals can be seen as a sign of the Guards' growing primacy in future Iranian military thinking, and perhaps an urgent push toward improving interoperability between often-competing armed services.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Targeting Hezbollah's Home-Front Finances
A law passed in late 2015, known as HIFPA, has successfully intensified pressure against the Lebanon-based militant group.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
David Schenker
Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Iraqi Security the Day After Mosul
Despite much progress on the ground against the Islamic State, missteps by the Iraqi government, political parties, and security forces could breathe new life into the group.
۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of Kurdistan, Between Unity and Balkanization
The Kurdistan Region is often praised as an anchor of stability in the Middle East; its military forces in particular are considered a major bulwark against the Islamic State (ISIS). Nonetheless, it faces potential balkanization as provincial voices begin advocating for autonomy from the Kurdish core. Both political parties and
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Yerevan Saeed
Brief Analysis
Shaping U.S.-Russian Cooperation Against Jabhat al-Nusra
Helping Russia target the jihadist group will only benefit the Assad regime unless Washington ensures that such efforts are carefully targeted, strictly conditioned, and accompanied by additional reinforcement of the moderate opposition.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Israel's Calculus for Reconciliation With Turkey
While the agreement is unlikely to reset relations between two leaders who have profoundly different worldviews, it may catalyze economic and security initiatives that benefit mutual Israeli, Turkish, Palestinian, and U.S. interests.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Turkey at a Crossroads
The following is an excerpt from the IEMed Mediterranean Yearbook 2016. Download the PDF to read Dr. Cagaptay's full contribution. Whether or not Turkey will be able to overcome the multipronged terror threat, social polarization, and political instability will all depend on President Erdogan and his agenda. Erdogan needs to
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Articles & Testimony
Words Matter in the Fight Against Islamism
The U.S. government needs to be clearer about the distinctions between Islam, political Islamism, and violent Islamism, in part by putting political correctness aside and involving Muslim Americans in the conversation.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Nuclear Agreement and Contemporary Iranian Domestic Politics
During nuclear negotiations with the West, the behavior of various Iranian state institutions demonstrated the success of Iranian coalition efforts, notably the “House of the Leader” and the Revolutionary Guards institutions, to reengineer the internal political scene in preparation for the negotiations. This alliance demonstrated its influence through tight control
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Mohammad Al Zghool
Video
Brief Analysis
Rethinking the U.S. Military Role in the Middle East
Three experts assess the past and future of American military involvement in the region and discuss whether it is possible to defend U.S. interests without creating open-ended quagmires.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
Michael Eisenstadt
Gideon Rose
Tuesday Changed Everything
A discussion of how the Istanbul airport attack will affect Turkey's tourism sector, its war footing against ISIS, its domestic political climate, and other key factors.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
As the ISIS Tide Recedes
The beginning of the end of ISIS's dominance over the Sunni Arab region of Iraq is at hand, following the Iraqi security forces' clearance of ISIS from most of Fallujah, the first Iraqi city to fall to the terrorist group. Only one major Iraqi city remains in ISIS' hands: Mosul
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
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