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Brief Analysis
A Safe Zone in Southern Syria
As the Assad coalition and the Islamic State turn their attention southward, Jordan and the thousands of displaced Syrians waiting outside its border face an increasingly perilous security situation.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
David Schenker
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
How Iran Is Building Its Syrian Hezbollah
Syrian Shiite fighters increasingly show loyalty to Tehran, over even the Assad regime, marking an important shift in the wartime dynamic.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hezbollah Labeled Terrorist by GCC States – But What Do Their People Think?
March 8, 2016 In a remarkable if little-noticed development last week, all six GCC states – Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE, Qatar, Oman, and Bahrain – formally designated the Lebanese movement Hezbollah as a terrorist organization. This week, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu called this step “important and even amazing,” but
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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David Pollock
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How to Prevent al-Qaeda from Seizing a Safe Zone in Northwestern Syria
Strong ground support for moderate rebels would be needed to keep any buffer zone in the northwest from falling under the control of al-Qaeda's Syrian affiliate.
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why the Nuclear Deal Hasn't Softened Iran's Hard-Line Policies
As the election process and continued regional aggression have shown, the regime won't change what it's doing at home or abroad until the price for such behavior is made clear and unmistakable.
۶ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Lebanon's [Un]Civil Society
This contribution, the fifth in a series exploring prospects for political reform throughout the Middle East, considers the strengths and limitations of Lebanon’s robust civil society.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Third Time the Charm for Reform in Iran?
Tehran has a history of showing hints of reform to hopeful citizens and Western observers only to snatch them away in the end.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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Patrick Clawson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Future of the Iraqi Ba'ath Party
March 3, 2016 Could one of Iraq’s most notorious political parties make a comeback after thirteen years in exile? This may increasingly become a central question for Middle East analysts, as Ba’athists are claiming their sociopolitical platform of supporting pan-Arab causes defused sectarianism and united Iraqis around nationalistic themes. They
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
Dani Tahrawi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ideological Extremism of Al-Azhar
Sheikh Ahmed Al-Tayyeb, the Grand Sheikh of the prestigious Al-Azhar institute, did not equivocate when responding to the 2015 Paris attacks: “We denounce this hateful incident. The time has come for the world to unite to confront this monster [ISIS].” Yet a sizable roster of Muslim reformers, scholars, researchers, and
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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Maher Gabra
Articles & Testimony
How to Cure a Deficiency of Empathy During Conflict
March 3, 2016 As a professor of politics, I see violent extremism as a disease, and those infected with it suffer from what I call ‘empathy deficiency.’ Violent extremists in Palestine and Israel are infected with this disease; they look at their opponents and see ghosts ready to be eliminated
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۶
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Mohammed Dajani
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
Internet Security and Privacy in the Age of the Islamic State
The View from Facebook
Facebook's head of global policy management, a former federal prosecutor and legal advisor to the State Department, shares her insights into the evolving threats to personal privacy and security and the private sector's role in defending against them.
۲ مارس ۲۰۱۶
◆
Monika Bickert
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
The State(s) of Ideology in Iran
Iranian policymakers understand the failure of their effort to export the Islamic Revolution, and acknowledge the more feasible path to hegemony offered by geopolitics.
۲۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Said Amir Arjomand
Brief Analysis
Iran's Long Road to Reintegrating With the World Financial System
The recent warning by the Financial Action Task Force to banks about dealings with Iran shows that the end of nuclear sanctions was only the start of a long process.
۲۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Filtering the Islamic State's Meta-Narratives: From Global to Local
The following is an excerpt from Aaron Zelin's contribution to the Carter Center report Countering Daesh Propaganda: Action-Oriented Research for Practical Policy Outcomes . To read his full chapter, download the PDF. The Islamic State provides an unprecedented amount of documentation on its own nature and the messages it hopes
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Kerry Neither Rules Out nor Supports Safe Zone Concept
The assertion that such an effort would require up to 30,000 U.S. troops, and that it could risk a direct confrontation with Russia, requires a much closer look.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Iran's Melting Factions and Failing Institutions
Given the absence of sharp ideological differences and the growing irrelevance of old political categories, those who win office this week may have little actual influence on important issues such as succession, economics, or the next presidential election.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Realpolitik and the Syrian Conflict
Beyond wishful thinking, the current choices for Syria seem limited to either continuing a give-and-take war or having Assad rule Syria much as Saddam ruled Iraq in the 1990s -- under international isolation and with an iron fist.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Azzam Alkassir
Articles & Testimony
A Bargain with Israel on Settlements
A differentiated approach to settlements could stem the drift toward a binational state, blunt the delegitimization movement internationally, and remove the issue as a constant irritant to U.S.-Israel relations.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Popular Demobilisation
The prime minister has broad backing to begin absorbing Shiite militias into the armed forces, though two key PMUs seem bent on resisting the move.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Russia in the Middle East
Motives, Consequences, Prospects
Since becoming president in 2000, Vladimir Putin has reinvigorated Russia's Middle East ties, a trend underscored by his bold military intervention in the Syria crisis. Through these and other regional moves, he has sought to gain ground at the West's expense while bolstering the Kremlin's legitimacy against domestic pressures --
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
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