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Brief Analysis
To Retaliate or Not: Hizballah's Calculus Following a Strike on Iran
Hizballah's response to military action against Iran could be shaped by rational cost-benefit analysis, a perceived spiritual obligation to defend its Shiite patron in Tehran, or both.
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Caught in Egypt's Political Cross-Fire
The recent ordeal of American democracy workers in Egypt was not so much about them as about Cairo's own internal power struggle.
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Hasn't Intervened in Syria
Turkey's Syria policy seems to be mirroring its Libya strategy: speaking out against a tyrant, gathering international support for political action against him, but staying in the background when it comes to military action.
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۱۲
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Khamenei's Strength Could Be a Vulnerability
By weakening the Islamic Republic's institutions and strengthening his own authority, Ayatollah Khamenei may make himself more vulnerable in a time of crisis.
۱۲ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Arm the Free Syrian Army Now
Providing arms and other materiel to the FSA stands a far better chance of success than waiting for a silver bullet.
۸ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
No Nuclear Compromise
The Iranian regime will not be able to survive existing sanctions, which are targeting the banking system and oil industry like never before.
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Avoiding a Bad Nuclear Deal with Iran
As the confrontation with Iran enters a new, more dangerous phase, Washington must avoid the temptation of redefining its red lines in a manner that endangers national security.
۷ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
Michael Singh
In-Depth Reports
The End of the 'Peace Process'?
Barring unexpected developments, even optimistic observers see the current Israeli-Palestinian deadlock persisting at least until after this year's U.S. elections. The key actors are too focused on other challenges, too skeptical of each other's intentions, and too limited by multiple constraints to engage in the kind of decisionmaking a peace
۶ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
Tal Becker
Brief Analysis
President Obama on Iran: Assessing Key Passages in the AIPAC Speech
Although the president's AIPAC speech offered reassurances that he is committed to the full logic of a "prevention" strategy in dealing with the Iranian nuclear challenge, including potential military action, it also implied a clear preference for Israel to hold back and let the noose of international sanctions tighten.
۵ مارس ۲۰۱۲
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Need for Consistent U.S. and Israeli Public Messaging on Iran
Washington and Israel need to address their public messaging on Iran, which has undermined mutual trust and efforts to achieve their common objective: a diplomatic solution to the nuclear crisis.
۲ مارس ۲۰۱۲
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Why Delayed Intervention in Syria Could Cause Radicalization
The sooner the international community helps end the killing in Syria, the more likely it will be able to prevent radicalization of the country's population along sectarian lines.
۲ مارس ۲۰۱۲
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Time for Assad to Go
For reasons of morality, and in the interest of containing the violence in Syria, the international community must accelerate Assad's departure.
۲۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Post-Asad Syria: Opportunity or Quagmire?
The regional impact of Bashar al-Asad's eventual fate may be at least as important for American interests as the direct effects inside Syria.
۲۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Majlis Elections: Whoever Wins, the West Loses
Iran's upcoming parliamentary elections, while vigorously contested, offer no hope for improving U.S.-Iranian relations.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Nikolay Kozhanov
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Post-EU World
For the moment, at least, the notion that Turkey will become a full EU member state is no longer true.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Agony of Hamas
The movement is facing its most serious rift ever, severely divided on its future course and the identity of its post-Syria sponsors.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Ehud Yaari
In-Depth Reports
In War's Wake:
The Struggle for Post-Qadhafi Libya
In this new study, Jason Pack and Barak Barfi explain why the United States must take a proactive stance in ensuring that Libyan authorities win the peace, not just the war.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Jason Pack
Barak Barfi
Articles & Testimony
Is the Iranian Regime Rational?
Although some examples suggest rational decisionmaking by Tehran, other Iranian actions seem unencumbered by cost-benefit considerations.
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Friendship Under Fire
The Iranian nuclear threat will challenge Obama and Netanyahu's sometimes-rocky relationship like never before.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Indirect Intervention in Syria: Crafting an Effective Response to the Crisis
Indirect intervention in Syria is less sure to succeed than direct intervention, but it may be more doable, giving the people the time and help they need to liberate themselves.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Jeffrey White
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