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Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda's Safe Havens
On February 25, 2010, Seth Jones, Andre Le Sage, and Thomas Krajeski addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute regarding al-Qaeda safe havens in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Yemen, and Somalia. Dr. Jones is a political scientist at the RAND Corporation and an adjunct professor in Georgetown University's Security
۱ مارس ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
Incremental Sanctions Make a Nuclear Iran More Likely
In its most recent report, the IAEA acknowledged what many observers have asserted for years -- that Iran is developing a nuclear weapon. Whether this is the result of new evidence, or merely the willingness of the agency's new director-general to heed the existing evidence, is beside the point. The
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Turning Point
Turkey's Islamist ruling coalition faces the courts and military in a showdown for the nation's future. Will Turkey move closer to the liberal democracies or away from them? This tension has riven Turkey since its founding as a secular state by Ataturk. But the strains are peaking now. The ruling
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
What's Really behind Turkey's Coup Arrests?
For the last several decades, the Turkish military was untouchable; no one dared to criticize the military or its top generals, lest they risk getting burned. The Turkish Armed Forces were the ultimate protectors of founding father Kemal Ataturk's secular legacy, and no other force in the country could seriously
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Brief Analysis
Israel 2010: Strategic Threats, Strategic Opportunities
Ehud Barak, former prime minister and Israel's most decorated soldier, delivered the 2010 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Ehud Barak
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Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures
Articles & Testimony
Patriotic Union of Kurdistan: Revival or Mere Survival?
While all Iraqi political factions are competing strongly in lead up to the March 7 parliamentary elections, in Iraqi Kurdistan the internal competition is especially intense. In particular, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK, the more secular and less tribal of the two major Iraqi Kurdish political parties) stands to
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Ahmed Ali
Brief Analysis
Resistance and Rockets:
Hamas Targeting of Israeli Civilians
Recently, Hamas has gone to extraordinary lengths to prove that it did not attack civilian targets in Israel during the December 2008 to January 2009 Gaza conflict. But a review of the organization's own media -- including the website of its military arm, the Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades ( www.qassam.ps)
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Dubai:
On the Front Line of U.S. Iran Policy
Willingly or not, Dubai has been thrust onto the front line of diplomacy aimed at curbing Iran's nuclear ambitions and terrorism sponsorship. The January 20, 2010, assassination of Hamas gunrunner Mahmoud al-Mabhouh on its soil was a reminder of the emirate's longstanding trade and commercial links with Iran -- he
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Armistice Now:
An Interim Agreement for Israel and Palestine
Read this article at ForeignAffairs.com More than 16 years after the euphoria of the Oslo accords, the Israelis and the Palestinians have still not reached a final-status peace agreement. Indeed, the last decade has been dominated by setbacks -- the second intifada, which started in September 2000; Hamas' victory in
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
Assessing Turkish Foreign Policy under AKP
The AKP's handling of foreign policy is one of the areas that generates most intense domestic debate and international scrutiny of Turkey's ruling party. Turkey's traditional allies have been somewhat neglected as the AKP has pursued a more enthusiastic policy toward anti-Western states. Soner Cagaptay examines what this policy has
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Brief Analysis
New Multilateral Consensus Emerges on Iran
A February 18 report from the Financial Action Task Force (FATF), the Paris-based organization that sets global standards for combating money laundering and terrorism financing, revealed new details about Iran's ongoing activities in both realms. The same day, a new report from the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reached
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Matthew Levitt
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
From Jerusalem to Ramallah:
Agenda 2010
On February 19, 2010, David Makovsky, Jacob Walles, and Robert Satloff addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute regarding the obstacles to Middle East peace a year into the Obama administration and the path forward in the year to come. Mr. Makovsky is the Institute's Ziegler distinguished
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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David Makovsky
Jacob Walles
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
What Could Erdogan Learn from Obama?
Today, most Turks agree that their country needs a new Constitution. There is disagreement, however, on how this Constitution should be drafted. The governing Justice and Development Party, or AKP, needs 367 of the 550 votes in Parliament to pass a new Constitution. It currently has 337 deputies. A referendum
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
What Europe Can Do to Secure a Deal with Iran
Against the backdrop of the Iranian government's continuing crackdown on its critics, Western powers are preparing for a fourth round of multilateral sanctions and other measures in the hopes of persuading Tehran to alter course on its controversial uranium enrichment policy. But even with Russia now apparently on board, will
۲۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
Turkey:
Women's Work Is in the Home?
Critics of Turkey's ruling party fear that its conservatism is going too far, leading, among other things, to exclusion of women in the workforce. Soner Cagaptay and Rueya Perincek assess the implications, both domestically and with regard to the country's accession to the European Union. © IHS (Global) Limited, Jane's
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
Who's Behind the Houthis?
Yemen again appears to be developing into a proxy war, the latest battlefield in the conflict between Iran and the "moderate" Arab states.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Green Dreams
During a campaign speech at the University of Uroomiyeh in northwestern Iran a few months before the June presidential election there, Mir Hossein Moussavi, the main reformist presidential candidate and now opposition leader, was interrupted by angry groups of basiji, the regime's paramilitary enforcers, carrying pictures of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Stepping Up Engagement with Syria
Five years ago this month, Washington withdrew its ambassador to Damascus to protest the Assad regime's presumed role in the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. For the State Department, which instinctively believes in the power of diplomacy, yanking its top diplomat was equivalent to the nuclear option
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Hand Extended to Syria is Also Intended as a Blow to Iran
The appointment of Robert Ford as US Ambassador to Syria is part of the Obama administration's general policy of engagement with America's foes. Its timing to coincide with Under Secretary of State William Burns' visit to Damascus, however, has a wider purpose. The move is part of a massive diplomatic
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Defeating Islamists at the Ballot
Whenever the United States pushes for elections in the Middle East and Muslim countries, Islamist parties often perform well -- better than liberal, nationalist, and secular parties -- a phenomenon that has occurred even in secular Turkey. Are U.S. efforts to promote democracy in Muslim countries as well as block
۱۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۰
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