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Brief Analysis
Iraqi Kurds Go to the Polls:
Is Change Possible?
On July 25, Iraqi Kurds go to the polls to vote in a joint parliamentary and presidential election. Although a heated competition in January produced massive change at the provincial level throughout the rest of Iraq, the electoral system produced by the incumbent Iraqi Kurdistan parliament prevents such sweeping changes
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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J. Scott Carpenter
Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
For Middle East Peace, Think Small
When it comes to the Middle East, American presidents like to think big, and President Obama is no exception. His agenda for the region, at the outset, included ending thirty years of enmity between the U.S. and Iran, reviving American popularity among Arabs and Muslims, and resolving the Arab-Israeli conflict
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Vulnerability to Foreign Economic Pressure
Washington Institute deputy director for research Patrick Clawson testified before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs on July 22, 2009. The following are his prepared remarks. For several years, Iran's economy was cushioned from foreign pressure by the high price of oil. That has changed as oil prices have declined
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Size Matters in Turkey's Shifting International Role
There are three categories of countries in international politics: global powers that can afford to do nearly everything they want; small and weak states that need to latch on to large states to protect their interests; and middle-sized states, which, though they are not powerful enough to shape global affairs
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Brief Analysis
Saudi Efforts to Combat Terrorist Financing
This past week, Treasury secretary Timothy Geithner traveled to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates for his first official visit to the Middle East since assuming his current position. Although in many respects the Obama administration is off to a bumpy start with Saudi Arabia, Geithner praised Saudi efforts
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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Michael Jacobson
Articles & Testimony
Foreign Pipeline Plan Matters
Two recent pieces of news from overseas deserve Americans' careful consideration: -- Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania and Turkey signed an agreement last Monday in the Turkish capital Ankara that cleared a key hurdle blocking the construction of the Nabucco natural gas pipeline, designed to stretch 2,000 miles from the Caspian
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Brief Analysis
In Their Own Words:
Making Sense of the International Community's Nuclear Deadline with Iran
This is the first in a series of PolicyWatches that will evaluate how the international community's Iran policy choices are being affected by Iranian nuclear progress and developments in Iran's domestic political scene since the June 12 presidential elections. After nearly a month of international focus on the civil unrest
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Brief Analysis
'How This Ends':
Iraq's Uncertain Path toward National Reconciliation
During Iraqi prime minister Nouri al-Maliki's visit to Washington next week, the Obama administration will likely seek to reinvigorate that country's flagging reconciliation process as part of ongoing efforts to establish a stable political order in Iraq. Progress, however, continues to be hindered by ongoing violence, deep-seated suspicions, and partisan
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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Michael Eisenstadt
Ahmed Ali
Articles & Testimony
Why Turkey Must Get In
Twenty-two countries have negotiated for European Union membership in its history, and all were ultimately offered accession. But French President Nicolas Sarkozy has long blocked Turkey's entry into the EU, and his objections are no symbolic snag. France is a key EU country, and Paris's veto has frustrated Turkey's EU
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Articles & Testimony
Nabucco's Nemesis
On July 13, Turkey and four other European nations (Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary and Austria) agreed to build the Nabucco pipeline to transit gas from the Caspian Sea to Austria. When complete, Nabucco will be 3,300 kilometer (2,000 mile) long and cost $11 billion. This major undertaking would link Europe and
۱۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Articles & Testimony
And If Iran Doesn't Want To Talk?
Six weeks before Iran's descent into electoral chaos, the hardline Iranian cleric Ahmad Khatami rebuked the United States in his Friday sermon, stating, "You do not want talks!" Ayatollah Khatami (no relation to former president Mohammad Khatami) is clearly not a keen observer of the Washington scene. Given the persistence
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Brief Analysis
Who Will Be the Next King of Saudi Arabia...And Does It Matter?
On July 13, 2009, Ambassador Robert Jordan and Simon Henderson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Gulf and Energy Policy Program at the Institute. His most recent Policy Focus, After King Abdullah: Succession in Saudi Arabia, will be
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Targeting Human Rights Abuse in Iran:
A Postelection Strategy
On July 8, G8 summit participants issued a statement expressing "serious concern" about the Iranian government's postelection actions; U.S. president Barack Obama characterized the situation as "appalling." Further, both Obama and French president Nicolas Sarkozy emphasized that Tehran will face serious consequences if Iran has not begun to cooperate on
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Brief Analysis
Waning Vigilance:
Al-Qaeda's Resurgence in Yemen
Recent reports suggesting that al-Qaeda fighters are leaving Pakistan and Afghanistan, where the group has suffered serious setbacks, have renewed international concerns that Yemen is reemerging once again as a major terrorist safe haven. Although the assessments of al-Qaeda's resurgence in Yemen are accurate, the deteriorating situation is not due
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Articles & Testimony
Foreign Fighters and Their Economic Impact:
A Case Study of Syria and al-Qaeda in Iraq
In this report, reprinted with permission from the proceedings of a conference of the Foreign Policy Research Institute, Washington Institute senior fellow and director of the Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence Matthew Levitt examines in detail the economic impact of support for foreign terrorists and offers specific recommendations for
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Brief Analysis
New 'Arab Street' Polls:
United States Gaining Ground, Iran Losing
Several new polls suggest that the United States is gaining ground in the Arab street, and that President Barack Obama's latest overtures, specifically his June 4 speech in Cairo, were well received by some important Arab constituencies. Although a great deal of skepticism remains, students of Arab public opinion would
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Obama's Two Dollars and Turkey
It is a tough economy, but if President Barack Obama has $2 to invest in Turkey, I would suggest that he put one buck into consolidating Turkey's liberal democracy, and the other into moving forward the country's European Union accession, for a non-European Turkey would be a big loss for
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
Brief Analysis
Shiite Clerical Establishment Supports Khamenei
While a handful of marginal clerics and religious groups dispute the official result of Iran's recent presidential election, the Shiite clerical establishment as a whole currently supports Iran's top leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Although this support has been demonstrated through silence, the fact that most Shiite clerics have not intervened
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Settling Sons
The Sons of Iraq are not yet being systematically targeted by the government, but they are growing fearful of such intimidation once U.S. forces withdraw from the country. Demobilization and reemployment of the Sons of Iraq is likely to be fairly rapid, with fighters receiving payment until they are found
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
In-Depth Reports
The Obama Administration and the Middle East:
Setting Priorities, Defining Policies
Featuring Lt. Gen. Keith Dayton, Michael Herzog, Marc Lynch, Nicholas Blanford, James Glassman, John Hannah, Robert Satloff, and David Makovsky The Proceedings President Obama came to office with the promise of bringing change to U.S. Middle East policy. Within weeks of his inauguration, substantive shifts in America's Iraq and Afghanistan
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۹
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