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Brief Analysis
Israel's Policy Options in the Gaza Conflict
The legacy of Israel's inconclusive thirty-four-day war with Hizballah in 2006 hovers over Israel's current military operations in Gaza. Israel believes its deterrence was lost in that war, and Israel's current campaign against Hamas should be seen as an effort to regain that deterrence. Israeli military officials believe that if
۳۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Impact of the Gaza Conflict on Palestinian Politics
The extent to which Israel's Operation Cast Lead in Gaza will impact the relationship between Hamas and the Palestinian Authority (PA) depends on several factors, including the outcome and duration of the conflict, the number of civilian casualties, and the involvement of Arab states. So far, the struggle has widened
۳۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
Hizballah Will Defend Iran -- Not Palestinians
Responding to the Israeli military campaign against Hamas in Gaza, the Lebanese Shiite militia cum political party Hizballah denounced the Jewish state and organized large rallies. Hizballah secretary general Hassan Nasrallah went so far as to call for a popular insurrection against the pro-West regime in Egypt, whose stance was
۳۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Gaza Conflict, U.S. Objectives
The Gaza conflict was born the day Hamas took control of the Strip; the clock started ticking the day the "calm" began six months ago. Unlike all of Israel's other neighbors, save Hezbollah, Hamas is an existential adversary of Israel, not a competitor for some slice of territory or for
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Operation Cast Lead:
Israel's Assault on Hamas
Israel's current Gaza operation represents the strongest attack on Hamas since summer 2006, and the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) are creating the conditions for broader military action. Although it is unclear how far the IDF will take the current operation, its attacks are already posing a significant challenge to Hamas
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Syria, Israel, and Lebanon
President Obama will essentially face the same challenges as President Bush but his campaign promises and general philosophical orientation appear to be dramatically different from the outgoing president. These differences can be seen in sharp relief, in the Levant, Syria, Lebanon, and the Palestinian issue as well. President Obama provided
۲۴ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Obama, the Gulf, and Iran
Regarding Iraq, President Obama will face how to turn his campaign rhetoric into reality. During the campaign, a great deal of what Obama and his advisors had to say is that they thought the current strategy in Iraq was not addressing the principal problem facing Iraq and U.S.-Iraqi relations, namely
۲۴ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Year of Choices
A journalist hurling shoes at the president of the United States may be one lasting, if twisted, image of freedom from Iraq, but the multiple elections scheduled for the year ahead are sure to offer others -- and to demonstrate definitively whether Iraq's democratic experiment will be consolidated or will
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
Follow the Money
The terrorist attacks on the transportation system in London in July 2005 killed 52 innocent people but only cost about $15,000 to carry out. The 2000 attack on the U.S. destroyer Cole in Yemen and the 2004 train attacks in Madrid set the terrorists back about $10,000 each. Even the
۲۳ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
In-Depth Reports
Prevent Breakdown, Prepare for Breakthrough:
How President Obama Can Promote Israeli-Palestinian Peace
This timely collection of brief essays urges the Obama administration to follow three clear guidelines in Arab-Israeli diplomacy. First, do not overreach for a full agreement right away, but launch an effective U.S. peacemaking role -- active, yet patient and incremental. Second, outflank Hamas. This means maintaining the perfectly valid
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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David Pollock
In-Depth Reports
Views of Arab Democrats:
Advice to America on Promoting Middle East Reform
Conventional wisdom holds that the Bush administration's Freedom Agenda has made "democracy" a dirty word throughout the Middle East. It this really true? The Washington Institute brought together an array of Arab democrats -- from Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Lebanon, Morocco, Tunisia, and the West Bank -- to ask them what
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
IDF Military Action in Gaza:
Options and Implications
This PolicyWatch is the second in a two-part series examining the situation in Gaza as the December 19 expiration date of the Israeli-Hamas ceasefire approaches. The first part focused on the challenges the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) would face in undertaking any large-scale action; the second looks at the IDF's
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Security First:
U.S. Priorities in Israeli-Palestinian Peacemaking
On December 10, 2008, Walter B. Slocombe, J. D. Crouch II, and Gen. Montgomery C. Meigs (Ret.) addressed a Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to launch a new strategic report entitled Security First: U.S. Priorities in Israeli-Palestinian Peacemaking. Mr. Slocombe, currently an attorney at Caplin & Drysdale, served
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
Lessons from the Annals of Counterterrorism
Recent talks between the Turkish government and Massoud Barzani, representing the Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) in northern Iraq, are a positive development in many respects. These talks bridge the gap between two potential pro-Western allies. Moreover, they offer an opportunity for Turkey to deal with the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK)
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
Brief Analysis
The Challenges of Israeli Military Action in Gaza
This PolicyWatch is the first in a two-part series examining the situation in Gaza as the December 19 expiration date of the Israeli-Hamas ceasefire approaches. The first focused on the challenges the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) would face in undertaking any large-scale action; the second looks at the IDF's choices
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Elections:
What's at Stake?
The upcoming provincial elections in Iraq, scheduled for January 2009, will provide the best indicators to date of the health of Iraq's political system, the relative popularity of political parties, and Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki's prospects for re-election in national elections planned for December 2009. Iraqis have been concerned by
۱۶ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
Brief Analysis
The EU and Syria Move Closer
On December 14, the European Union is slated to initial an association agreement with Syria. The pact had been on hold since 2004 because the EU "deemed that political circumstances were so far not right for its signature and ratification." These "circumstances" mostly concerned Damascus's pernicious policies in Lebanon, including
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Bridging the Persian Gulf
After months of intense focus on the economy, the recent attack in Mumbai was a sombre reminder that the incoming Obama administration will have to confront many other serious threats as well. Beyond terrorism, Iran's nuclear programme is also likely to be high on the president-elect's priority list. The success
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Campaign to Squeeze Terrorists' Financing
Download the complete text of this article (PDF). While mounting an individual terrorist attack may cost relatively little, money remains of critical importance to terrorist organizations. Without it, terrorist groups would be incapable of maintaining the broad infrastructure necessary to run an effective organization. Finding means to quickly and securely
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
In-Depth Reports
Security First:
U.S. Priorities in Israeli-Palestinian Peacemaking
This Washington Institute Strategic Report argues that the Obama administration should focus its early efforts in the Middle East peace process on expanding and improving the U.S.-led program to train Palestinian Authority (PA) security forces so that they are willing and able to fight terrorism. Security First: U.S. Priorities in
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۰۸
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