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Articles & Testimony
Untangling the Terror Web:
Identifying and Counteracting the Phenomenon of Crossover between Terrorist Groups
Pundits and politicians alike tend to think of the war on terror against al Qaeda as a completely disparate phenomenon from the battle against other terrorist groups. This is, in part, a logical supposition as groups like Hamas and Hezbollah do not belong to the more tightly knit family of
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Al-Manar:
Hizbullah TV, 24/7
Al-Manar (the beacon) is the official television station of the Lebanon-based Hizbullah, the Iranian-supported Shi'ite movement that appears on every U.S. terrorism list. Many political movements and organizations in the Arab world publish in print, and some even have clandestine radio stations. Terrorist groups such as al-Qa'ida have been especially
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Avi Jorisch
Articles & Testimony
Israel's Security:
The Hard-Learned Lessons
Between September 1993 and September 2000, the Middle East was the setting for a great historical experiment: the effort to negotiate a final resolution of the decades-old conflict between Israelis and Palestinians. The experiment failed, and disastrously so. Oslo diplomacy -- which takes its name from the site of the
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Kurdistan and the Transition, Post–Coalition Provisional Authority
The current situation in Iraq constitutes a unique moment in the history of the Islamic Middle East. For the first time, Arabs, Kurds, Turkmens, and Assyrians of the same nation have an opportunity to cooperatively evaluate the task of shaping their shared future. The challenge between now and June 30
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Shut Down Hamas
Jordanian Foreign Minister Marwan Muasher bravely told an audience at the American University of Kuwait recently that "we [Arab nations] have failed in taking a stand against targeting civilians in all sides, including Israeli civilians." His Jan. 13 comment is significant because it followed the "strong condemnation of terrorism in
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Bush Administration's Busy Year in the Middle East:
A Preview of 2004
STANLEY GREENBERG Foreign policy questions will play a larger role in the 2004 presidential election than they have in any recent election. The Middle East in particular will play a central role in the foreign policy debate. President George W. Bush's foreign policy is closely intertwined with his domestic policy
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Unilateralism and Its Discontents
Few if any observers expect the Bush administration to take any meaningful steps to affect the ongoing Israeli-Palestinian war in 2004. After all, the administration is unlikely to put any pressure on Israel in an election year, is preoccupied with Iraq, and has little faith that the Palestinian Authority can
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Advancing Palestinian Society by Weakening Hamas
Currently, the Gaza Strip is in a state of stagnation; it is a place where freedom does not exist and where violence and anger flourish. These circumstances have led to the emergence of Hamas as a powerful and influential alternative to the Palestinian Authority (PA), which has failed to offer
۲۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Link Leaks
"My father told me that if ever anything happened to him, I was to call you," said the plaintive, attention-grabbing voice of a young Pakistani woman on the telephone to me Sunday. Her father, a nuclear scientist, had been detained by Pakistan's feared Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). They had come in
۱۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Threat to Coalition Forces in Iraq
On January 13, 2004, Eli Lake of the New York Sun reported that two senior members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had defected to coalition forces in Iraq. This defection constitutes a good opportunity to reflect on several issues, including Iran's efforts to infiltrate the Iraqi Shi'i community
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Raymond Tanter
Articles & Testimony
Democracy in Arab Countries:
Problems and Prospects
After pan-Arabism and Islamism, it is heartening to consider the prospect that democracy may be the next great wave to wash over Arab countries. Whether it actually takes root or is merely a passing fancy depends on three sets of actors: local leaders, local populations, and what is euphemistically referred
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Pakistan's Nuclear Proliferation and U.S. Policy
Recent media reports suggest that rogue Pakistani scientists have been peddling nuclear secrets across the Middle East for many years. The revelation offsets recent good news from the region -- Iran's acceptance of nuclear inspections and Libya's agreement to give up weapons of mass destruction. The spread of nuclear secrets
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Consequences of the 1967 War
It has been said that the world is still living the seventh day of the Six Day War. David Makovsky offered this look back at the consequential conflict at a 2004 State Department conference.
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
A Turkish Rapprochement With Middle East Rogue States?
Turkish foreign minister Abdullah Gul will make an official visit to Tehran on January 10. This visit comes on the heels of a January 68 trip to Turkey by Syrian president Bashar al-Asad -- the first ever by a Syrian head of state -- during which Asad was showered with
۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Europe, Syria, and Weapons of Mass Destruction
Syrian president Bashar al-Asad's January 6 interview with London's Daily Telegraph -- in which he indicated that Syria would not relinquish its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) capabilities until Israel did so also -- suggests that Syria is not likely to follow Libya's recent example of foregoing WMD in order
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Reversing the Tragedy of Weak Arab Development
Friends of the Arabs can but mourn the transformation of the Middle East from an advanced and powerful region arguably ahead of Europe to a backward state. It is sobering to realize that as recently as the 1930s, there was no Arab development deficit. At that time, Alexandria was more
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Hamas's Political Wing:
Terror by Other Means
On January 5, 2004, the council of Arab interior ministers concluded its twenty-first session in Tunis by renewing its "strong condemnation of terrorism in all its forms and sources." The question remains whether this condemnation will lead to action against Hamas, including its political leadership. The Role of Hamas's Political
۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Hizballah Threat in Africa
On December 25, 2003, Union Transport Africaines (UTA) Flight 141 bound for Beirut crashed on take-off from Cotonou, Benin, in West Africa. According to accounts in the Arab press, a "foreign relations official of the African branch of the Lebanese Hizballah party and two of his aides" were among those
۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Prospects for Nuclear 'Roll Back' in Iran
Although it may not be feasible now or in the near future, the U.S. should not exclude the possibility at some future date of nuclear roll back in Iran -- particularly in light of Libya -- s recent surprise decision to scrap its nuclear, chemical, and ballistic missile programs. Since
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Ansar al-Islam:
Back in Iraq
Months before the Iraq war of 2003, The New Yorker, Christian Science Monitor, and The New York Times published reports about Ansar al-Islam (“Partisans of Islam”), a brutal band of al-Qa‘ida guerrillas based in a Kurdish area of northern Iraq near the Iranian border. U.S. officials pointed to Ansar al-Islam
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۴
◆
Jonathan Schanzer
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