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Brief Analysis
What Has Impeded Progress in U.S.-Iran Relations?
After much experimentation, the Clinton administration settled on a policy of incremental normalization with Iran, whereby the United States and Iran would gradually improve their relations through mutual concessions and confidence-building measures. As the Bush team assesses policy options towards Iran, it is important to note the meager results of
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۱
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Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Time Running Out on Clinton Proposals
Meetings this week between Israeli and Palestinian security and political personnel notwithstanding, time has virtually run out for any Israeli–Palestinian peace deal. It is important to note that the issue is not just one of time, even though President Clinton leaves office next Saturday. Top Clinton Administration officials have made
۱۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۱
Brief Analysis
Can Iraq Reconstitute the Arab Eastern Front against Israel?
While President Bill Clinton is laying out his plans for peace in the Middle East, others are talking about their readiness for war. Iraqi dictator Saddam Husayn’s defiant January 6 Army Day speech supporting the Palestinian revolt followed on the December 31 four-hour "Al Aqsa Call" military parade in Baghdad
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۱
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Inside Clinton’s Peace Proposals:
A Textual Analysis
While the White House has made no comment on the substance of President Bill Clinton’s proposal for Israeli-Palestinian peace, the Israeli newspaper Haaretz and the Palestinian Jerusalem Media and Communication Center (JMCC) have published what they say are respectively the Israeli and Palestinian minutes of the president’s December 23 oral
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۱
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
From Bilateralism to Internationalization:
Security Implications of the U.S. Bridging Proposals
With President Clinton due to meet Palestinian leader Yasir Arafat today for a last-ditch diplomatic effort, attention is focused mainly on two aspects of the U.S. bridging proposals: the division of Jerusalem and the future status of Palestinian refugees. In contrast, little attention has so far been devoted to the
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۱
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Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Into the Shadows:
Radical Vigilantes in Khatami's Iran
Hardline vigilante groups, generally referred to as "pressure groups" (guruh-i fishar) in popular Iranian parlance, have long influenced Iranian politics and society during times of political tension. But particularly since President Muhammad Khatami’s 1997 election—as the power struggle between the Islamic Republic’s reformist and hardline camps has accelerated—vigilantes have become
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۱
In-Depth Reports
Navigating through Turbulence:
America and the Middle East in a New Century
The Presidential Study Group -- a bipartisan, blue-ribbon commission of statesmen, diplomats, legislators, scholars, and experts -- was convened in Spring 2000 to examine the state of the Middle East and the effectiveness of U.S. policy in advancing U.S. interests in that important region. George W. Bush takes office at
۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۱
Brief Analysis
Russia Resurgent?
Moscow and the Middle East
On December 18, 2000, Eugene Rumer, author of Dangerous Drift: Russia's Middle East Policy (The Washington Institute, 2000), and Shlomo Avineri, director of the Institute for European Studies at Hebrew University, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of their remarks. EUGENE RUMER The
۲۷ دسامبر ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
From Sheba’a to al-Quds:
The Evolution of Hizballah
Rather than exploiting the Israeli withdrawal from the "security zone" in May 2000 to focus on internal Lebanese politics, Hizballah is maintaining its military strategy against Israel at the risk of triggering a full-scale war.
۱۵ دسامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Yossi Baidatz
Brief Analysis
Assessing Barak’s Election Gambit
Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak’s surprise resignation Saturday night has plunged the country’s already battered political system into further turmoil, and so far, his gambit seems to have failed. Barak’s move was clearly designed, at least in part, to utilize a provision in Israeli law that would sideline his once
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The ‘al-Jazeera Effect’:
Arab Satellite Television and Public Opinion
Public opinion in the West has been deeply influenced by television news pictures for several decadesin the 1960s, Vietnam was the first "television war." But in the Arab world, the violence between Palestinians and Israelis that erupted at the end of September has been the first cycle of Arab-Israeli fighting
۸ دسامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Separation Option:
An Alternative to the Peace Process?
Recently, public opinion in both Israel and the Palestinian territories has shifted in ways that argue for separation or disengagement. Israelis no longer accept the notion that negotiations will eventually lead to peace, but they are far more willing to make concessions to the Palestinians. Palestinians no longer expect a
۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۰
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Palestine:
What's Gone Wrong?
An exchange between Ahmad Samih Khalidi, Palestinian writer and peace negotiator, and David Makovsky, senior fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy and a former editor of the Jerusalem Post. AHMAD SAMIH KHALIDI 6th November 2000 Dear David, Surveying the wreckage of the Oslo agreement, I am struck
۱ دسامبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israeli Elections and the Peace Process
Israeli prime minister Ehud Baraks decision yesterday to preempt his opponents and announce his willingness to hold early elections must be seen in the context of his interest in reviving the peace process. The vote for early balloting was driven by both animus toward the failed Camp David summit and
۲۹ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Egyptian Elections:
Rumblings of Change, But NDP Dominance Maintained
What changed, and what didn't, in Egypt's parliamentary elections?
۲۸ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Amy Hawthorne
Brief Analysis
A Lockerbie Trial Brief
The Lockerbie trial’s adjournment for much of the past two months did not curtail speculation on new evidence and sources. During the period of adjournment both the prosecution and defense carried out investigations throughout European capitals and unidentified third countries. After all this intrigue, it does appear that Lockerbie trial
۲۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
Iran’s ‘War on Drugs’:
Potential for U.S.-Iranian Cooperation?
Iran faces serious drug problems. It has 1.3 to 2 million addicts, and it is a principal transit point for drug smuggling from Afghanistan to the West. President Mohammed Khatami has criticized the West for its "meager help in the anti-drug campaign." However, before the United States decides whether or
۲۱ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
A UN 'Protection' Force for Palestinians:
Background and Implications
In recent weeks, Arab parties from the Palestinian Authority (PA) to the Arab League summit have called for the dispatch of a United Nations force to the West Bank and Gaza in order to protect Palestinian civilians from Israeli military force. Rather than reject this idea because of its contribution
۱۷ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Israeli Security Strategy:
Facing Multiple Fronts
A Combustible Middle East Recently, four factors have combined to make the situation in the Middle East far more combustible than it is has been for a long time. These elements are: Iraq has managed to break out of the boundaries imposed by the UN sanctions regime and to evade
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
Articles & Testimony
An Arab Debate on 'Child Sacrifice'
Palestinian children are dying under Israeli gunfire. No doubt they are martyrs but to what, Israeli brutality or Palestinian Authority Chairman Yasser Arafat's cynicism? Increasingly, Western observers, and now, for the first time, Arab ones too, are concluding that the Palestinian Authority is pursuing a policy that intentionally places children
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Schenker
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