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Brief Analysis
Saad ed-Din Ibrahim on Trial:
Background and Implications
The trial of prominent Egyptian democracy activist Dr. Saad ed-Din Ibrahim and twenty-seven of his associates is scheduled to open on November 18 in Cairo. The charges include illegally accepting foreign funds and harming Egypt’s reputation abroad. This trial will be closely watched as a litmus test of the Egyptian
۱۴ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Israeli Ties in the Context of Israeli-Arab Tension
As Israeli prime minister Ehud Barak prepares for his upcoming trip to Washington, the United States is not the only strategic partner whose ties with Israel may be tested by violence in the West Bank and Gaza. In an era when Turkeys defeat of the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK) and
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Non-Lethal Weapons, 'Excessive Force,' and the al-Aqsa Intifada
Since the beginning of the Al-Aqsa Intifada, accusations that Israel has used "excessive force" in dealing with Palestinians have led to calls for Israel to employ "non-lethal" weapons as a way to reduce Palestinian casualties and stem the cycle of violence between the two sides. In fact, however, Israel is
۹ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Between Baghdad and Washington:
Jordan’s Balancing Act
On Saturday, November 4, Jordanian prime minister Ali Abu Raghib returned from a three-day visit to Baghdad. Coming just one week after the signing of the U.S.-Jordanian Free Trade Agreement (FTA) — the first of its kind with an Arab state — the trip highlights Jordan’s policy of pursuing close
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Dealing with Arafat:
Mideast Needs a Soft Landing
When Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat meets with President Clinton tomorrow, his message will be, "The Oslo accords are dead long live the Arab-Israeli peace process!" For Clinton, the priority should be to reject a new form of "peace process" that could make a bad situation even worse. That Oslo is
۸ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Arafat's Strategy:
Impose an Intifada, Spillover to the Arab World
A New Intifada? The events of the past five weeks are not a repeat of the Palestinian Intifada of 1987–1990, a spontaneous uprising that caught both Chairman Yasir Arafat and Israel equally by surprise. Rather, the current uprising is a confrontation imposed by Arafat on the Palestinian street. Three major
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Arab and Iranian Views on the U.S. Presidential Elections
"It is clear that whoever wins the race to the White House is going to put even less pressure on Israel than Bill Clinton [has done]. Al Gore, because with Joseph Lieberman as his vice-president, there will be an emotional commitment to it. George Bush Jr., because there will be
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
The Israeli-Lebanese Border Dispute and Resolution 425:
Recent Declarations by the United States and the United Nations
"The Arab leaders affirm that just, comprehensive peace will not be achieved except with . . . the restoration of all the occupied Arab territories, including full Israeli withdrawal from . . . southern Lebanon to the internationally recognized borders, including Shebaa farms, the release of Arab prisoners in Israeli
۳ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
Between Terrorism and Truce:
Developments in Middle East Violence
Bombing and Truce The truce reached today should be interpreted very cautiously, given both today’s terror bombing in Jerusalem, which killed two Israeli civilians, and the two previous failed ceasefires recently brokered by the United States in Paris and Sharm el-Sheikh, respectively. Palestinian Authority (PA) leader Yasir Arafat was due
۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Washington Concerns about Saudi Oil
Saudi decision-makers would be well advised to examine what lies behind the deep U.S. concern about oil prices. America is more worried about a politically-motivated crisis than about the usual market manipulation, writes Patrick Clawson, director for research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. The smaller part of
۱ نوامبر ۲۰۰۰
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
New Paradigms in Arab Politics and the Peace Process
Background to the Current Violence There are five "macro" factors that explain the collapse of the Oslo process as we have known it: 1) the complementarity of violence and diplomacy in Palestinian strategy; 2) the U.S.-Israeli-Palestinian collusion on sidestepping any serious focus on compliance with past agreements before pursuing new
۳۱ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Terrorism against the USS <em>Cole</em> and the Context in Yemen
Yemen embarked on a dramatic evolution after the 1990 merger of two remote, distinctly different, and conflict-ridden regimes (the former South Yemen and North Yemen). Unity has held, and Yemen is becoming more moderate and integrated into its region. However, a decade later the transition is incomplete. For the first
۲۶ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
Articles & Testimony
Gadhafi's Failed African Ambitions
While the international media focus on the Israeli-Palestinian fighting in the West Bank and Gaza, at least 600 Africans have been killed in riots in Libya. The massacre of African immigrants may have wider reverberations and foster important changes in Libya's foreign policy. Since his return to the international stage
۲۶ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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Ray Takeyh
Brief Analysis
The Arab Summit Communiqué:
What Passes for Moderation...
Arab heads-of-state meeting this weekend added one more nail in the coffin of the Arab-Israeli peace process by lending full support to the ongoing Palestinian uprising, suspending all further political, diplomatic and economic links with Israel, and fueling the propaganda war by labeling Israeli leaders and military officers as "war
۲۳ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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Robert Satloff
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Iraq:
A Blast from the Past?
By participating in the Arab summit that ended yesterday, Iraq made a giant step towards ending its political isolation; it had been frozen out of pan-Arab meetings since 1990. Importantly, increasing international cooperation with Baghdad is by no means the product of any Iraqi moderation. To the contrary: Iraqi president
۲۳ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Draft Communique of the Arab Summit:
A Textual Analysis
Yesterday, the text of a draft communiqué for the impending Arab summit, principally drafted by host Egypt, was leaked to the Beirut press. In an interview about this document, Egyptian foreign minister Amre Moussa indicated that this draft was accurate but preliminary. If this version emerges from the summit relatively
۲۰ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Diplomacy or Descent into Disaster:
The Decision is Arafat's
By Saturday, Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat will determine whether the Middle East inches closer to, or further from, the brink of regional conflict.This time period is critical because it comes between the two major summit meetings hosted in Egypt this week. On Tuesday, President Clinton announced an Israeli-Palestinian cease-fire after
۲۰ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Arab League Summit Conferences, 1964–2000
For the first time in nearly five years, heads of state and representatives from the 22 members of the Arab League will convene for a summit meeting in Cairo. This will be a critical meeting not only because of the regional tensions steaming from Israeli-Palestinian violence but also because Iraq-and
۱۹ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
Brief Analysis
President Clinton's Sharm al-Shaykh Declaration:
A Textual Analysis
President Clinton announced bare-bones understandings today on Israeli-Palestinian ceasefire-plus-disengagement. The test of success of this understanding will be in the swift and full implementation of its objectives on the ground, with today's shooting at a Jewish neighborhood in Jerusalem boding ill for the success of this process. Even if fully
۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Escalating Crisis in the Middle East:
Prospects and Policy (Part II)
On October 13, 2000, David Makovsky, senior fellow at The Washington Institute and former editor of the Jerusalem Post, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum along with Robert Satloff. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Read a summary of Dr. Satloff's remarks. The Grand Deal on peace
۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۰۰
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David Makovsky
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