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Brief Analysis
1999 Turkish Elections:
Background and Outlook
On April 18, Turkish voters will choose a new national government and new municipal governments. These early elections for the Turkish Grand National Assembly (TGNA) are unlikely to bring order to a political scene that has been unstable since 1995, when the Republican People's Party (RPP) withdrew support for its
۱۴ آوریل ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
The Legal Implications of May 4, 1999
NICHOLAS ROSTOW May 4, 1999, should not be viewed as a "Sword of Damocles." No matter what happens on May 4, both Israel and the Palestinians are obligated by international law to pursue and achieve a negotiated peace within the framework of United Nations Security Council Resolutions 242 and 338
۹ آوریل ۱۹۹۹
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Nicholas Rostow
Brief Analysis
U.S. Diplomatic Missions in Jerusalem:
Background to the Jerusalem Embassy Decision
In the run-up to Israel's May 17 election, the issue of Jerusalem is returning to the political center stage. Just last month, the European Union -- via a letter to the Israeli Foreign Ministry by the German ambassador to Israel, Theodor Wallau -- sparked a mini-furor by reaffirming an idea
۸ آوریل ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Saudi Oil Politics
Recently, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) announced in Vienna its most substantial production cuts in years. But as important as this rare demonstration of solidarity -- and the resultant hike in long slumping oil prices -- is what the meeting reveals about the emerging Saudi-Iranian cooperation and
۶ آوریل ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
An End to the Lockerbie Morass?
The Libyan Angle
Libya today handed over two suspects in the 1988 bombing of Pan Am Flight 103. Having worked out a deal that insulates the regime from any further blame, Tripoli finally accepted the offer of a trial to be held at a neutral site under Scottish rules. Less obvious, given Libya's
۵ آوریل ۱۹۹۹
◆
Ray Takeyh
In-Depth Reports
From Hussein to Abdullah:
Jordan in Transition
Change in Jordan has come swiftly and remarkably smoothly. The new king--Abdullah II--has adopted as his mantra the promise of "continuity" of his father's policies, yet he has already displayed ingenuity and cunning, especially on internal matters. Nevertheless, the challenges to Abdullah remain acute. Once this honeymoon period ends, Abdullah
۱ آوریل ۱۹۹۹
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Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Legal Implications of May 4, 1999
Pages: 30
۱ آوریل ۱۹۹۹
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Nicholas Rostow
Brief Analysis
Disarming Iraq:
Lessons from the UNSCOM Experience
Last December's Operation Desert Fox resulted in the death of the UN Special Commission on Iraq (UNSCOM). This leads to the question of how to deal with the issue of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction (WMD) capabilities. Status of Iraqi WMD Between 1991 and 1998, UNSCOM achieved considerable results in
۳۱ مارس ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Israeli Elections and the Peace Process
Election Background. Over the last thirty years, Israeli elections have primarily focused on the Arab-Israeli conflict. Although this issue remains important not only vis-a-vis the Palestinians but also Lebanon, this election has so far focused more on Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu's leadership. The Wye accords de-ideologized Israeli politics. The
۲۵ مارس ۱۹۹۹
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Israeli Government:
Accomplishments and Prospects
Accomplishments of the Current Israeli Government The current Israeli government has presided over three important historical achievements: Oslo and the Peace Process. Prior to the current government's ascension to power in 1996, the Oslo process belonged to the Israeli left. Over the last three years, however, the Binyamin Netanyahu government
۲۴ مارس ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
Legal Aspects of the 'May 4 Issue'
The issue of what will happen on May 4, 1999, likely will be central to President Bill Clinton's meeting with Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat tomorrow. There is a widespread view that the Oslo accords between Israel and the Palestinians will terminate on May 4, and Palestinian Liberation Organization
۲۲ مارس ۱۹۹۹
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Nicholas Rostow
Brief Analysis
Oil Prices and the Future of the Middle East
Oil ministers from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) are due to meet in Vienna, Austria on 23 March to agree formally on production cuts that will bolster the flagging price of oil. The current weak oil prices have benefited the industrialized economies of the world but have created
۱۸ مارس ۱۹۹۹
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Les Aspin Memorial Lecture:
Economic Security and the Middle East
On March 8, 1999, Undersecretary of State Stuart Eizenstat delivered The Washington Institute's Third Les Aspin Memorial Lecture honoring the late chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, secretary of defense, and member of the Institute's Board of Advisors. The following is a rapporteur's summary of the forum's question-and-answer session
۱۷ مارس ۱۹۹۹
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Stuart Eizenstat
Brief Analysis
Turkish Defense Policy
On March 3, 1999, Hikmet Sami Turk, Turkish minister of defense, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of the forum's question-and-answer session. Read his opening remarks. Relations with Iraq The Iraqi question can only be resolved peacefully, but Iraq must comply with all
۱۵ مارس ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
The Judiciary and Executions in the Palestinian Authority
On March 10, the Palestinian judicial system sentenced yet another security official to death -- the fourth such sentence in the past six months. That was an ironic way to end a week of festivities celebrating Palestinian democratic achievements, which had been kicked off by the Palestinian Authority's (PA) first
۱۲ مارس ۱۹۹۹
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Defending against the Middle Eastern Ballistic Missile Threat
The Ballistic Missile Defense Organization (BMDO) has its roots in the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) program introduced in 1983 by then-President Ronald Reagan. Ever since, the proliferation of missiles and their use during conflicts (such as the Gulf War) or for political purposes (as in China and Taiwan) have created
۱۱ مارس ۱۹۹۹
Brief Analysis
U.S. Policy and the Iraqi Opposition:
A Cautious Start
A leading Iraqi opposition group, the Iraqi National Congress (INC), recently announced that its political convention will meet in Washington in late April. Despite the U.S. administration's new policy calling for an end to the Iraqi regime, its approach to the Iraqi opposition has thus far been cautious and limited
۸ مارس ۱۹۹۹
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Les Aspin Memorial Lecture:
Economic Security and the Middle East (full transcript)
On March 8, 1999, Undersecretary of State Stuart Eizenstat delivered The Washington Institute's Third Les Aspin Memorial Lecture honoring the late chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, secretary of defense, and member of the Institute's Board of Advisors. Following is the full text of his remarks as prepared for
۸ مارس ۱۹۹۹
◆
Stuart Eizenstat
Brief Analysis
The Rise of Bashar al-Asad
March 8, 1999, marks the thirty-sixth anniversary of the Syrian "revolution" -- the coup d'etat that installed the Ba'th Party as the preeminent force in Syrian politics. This anniversary comes just one month after Syrian president Hafiz al-Asad was re-elected to his fifth seven-year term of office, which will end
۵ مارس ۱۹۹۹
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Israel's Impending 'Revolution in Security Affairs'?
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) is considering a number of organizational changes that together could constitute the most far-reaching restructuring of the IDF since the establishment of the state. Although some of the proposed changes -- such as the creation of a strategic forces command -- are likely to enhance
۴ مارس ۱۹۹۹
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