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Articles & Testimony
The So-Called 'Diplomatic Option'
Richard Murphy's Aug. 25 op-ed piece in support of the administration's "new diplomatic approach" toward Iraq is a recipe for disaster. Ambassador Murphy asserts that this "new approach . . . may prove more effective" than the policy abandoned by the administration after the last confrontation with Iraq that ended
۸ سپتامبر ۱۹۹۸
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Will U.S. Keep Pressing Terrorists?
The August 20 bombing of Osama bin Laden's terrorist bases in Afghanistan and the alleged bin Laden-funded chemical weapons production facility in Khartoum, was a decisive and appropriate U.S. response to the atrocities in Nairobi and Dar es Salaam, and President Bill Clinton should be commended. Although Washington has, in
۲۵ اوت ۱۹۹۸
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
What Do the Sudan/Afghanistan Strikes Harbinger?
The U.S. cruise missile attacks on the Sudanese chemical weapons precursor plant and the Afghanistan terrorist camps raises questions about the future direction of U.S. policy on several fronts: the emphasis on state linkages to terrorism, the means used to counter proliferation, the role of law enforcement and military force
۲۱ اوت ۱۹۹۸
◆
Patrick Clawson
Michael Eisenstadt
Alan Makovsky
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Middle Eastern Views on the Embassy Bombings:
On the Record
U.S. military attacks on terrorist facilities in Sudan and Afghanistan highlight the continuing threat to U.S. interests from terrorists -- and their state sponsors -- around the globe. Since the Nairobi and Dar es Salaam bombings, various Middle Eastern actors have speculated on the culprits of the attack and their
۲۰ اوت ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
What Can Be Done about Bin Laden?
Saudi terrorist financier Osama bin Laden has posed a significant problem for the United States for some time. The extradition from Pakistan to Kenya this past weekend of Mohammad Saddiq Odeh, a reported Bin Laden associate, heightened speculation Bin Laden was involved in funding and planning the attacks on the
۱۹ اوت ۱۹۹۸
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Israel's Search for Peace and Security:
View from the Opposition
Two Visions of Peacemaking: The fundamental difference between Labor and Likud lies in their willingness to take risks for peace. Likud believes that the first step toward peace is a change in the basic attitude of the Arab people toward the State of Israel, an evolution that will take a
۱۸ اوت ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Peace Process Initiatives:
A New Form of Middle East Proliferation
With Yasir Arafat in South Africa and Benjamin Netanyahu poised to take his summer vacation, Israeli spokesman David Bar Illan recently predicted "not much progress [in the peace process] the next couple of weeks." Recent days have, in fact, witnessed significant, though not yet successful, backroom maneuvering inside the fractious
۱۴ اوت ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
America, Iraq, and UNSCOM:
On the Record
Saddam Husayn's refusal to cooperate with United Nations Special Commission (UNSCOM) has re-opened a confrontation with the U.N. and the United States that was temporarily resolved through Kofi Annan's diplomatic efforts in February 1998. Over the course of that earlier crisis, U.S. officials made strong statements about the threat posed
۱۳ اوت ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Political Tangle
Early Turkish elections, recently set for April 18, 1999, hold little prospect for change in a longstanding political impasse, yet they raise potential problems for Turkey's domestic and foreign policies -- not least its approach to Greek Cypriot plans to deploy Russian S-300 surface-to-air missiles. Meanwhile, the departure of the
۱۲ اوت ۱۹۹۸
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Who Bombed the Embassies, And Why?
In the aftermath of the August 8, 1998, bombing of the American embassies in Kenya and Tanzania, the United States has initiated investigation into who was responsible for the attacks, which wounded nearly 5,000 persons and killed 200, including 12 Americans. These bombings required extensive in-country infrastructure, logistical support and
۱۱ اوت ۱۹۹۸
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Building toward Crisis:
Saddam Husayn's Strategy for Survival
On July 29, 1998, Amatzia Baram, an associate professor in the Department of Modern History of the Middle East at Haifa University and the recipient of The Washington Institute's 1998 Ira Weiner Fellowship, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum to discuss the findings of his new book, Building toward Crisis
۷ اوت ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Israel:
Peace Process Strategy and U.S.-Israel Relations
On July 27, 1998, Zalman Shoval, the new Israeli ambassador to the United States, addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following is a rapporteur's summary of his remarks. Read a full transcript. The Oslo Agreement: Oslo has been a big disappointment for both sides; in retrospective it was
۶ اوت ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Iran's Recent Missile Test:
Assessment and Implications
Iran gave a new twist to President Khatami's call for a "civilizational dialogue" on July 22 when it test-launched a medium-range missile with the potential to reach India in the east, Russia in the north, Egypt and Turkey in the west and Israel, Jordan and all Gulf Cooperation Council states
۵ اوت ۱۹۹۸
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Turkey and Europe:
Integration or Alienation?
The December 1997 European Union (EU) summit in Luxembourg accepted the membership candidacies of ten Eastern and Central European countries and Cyprus. Contrary to Turkish expectations, however, Turkey was not accepted as a "candidate." This disappointing result -- known in Turkey as ''the Luxembourg shock'' -- was the result of
۴ اوت ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Low Oil Prices:
Implications for the Gulf Monarchies
The oil price downturn began in late 1996, but the very sharp fall started in mid-1997 and has persisted to the present. The average price of oil in 1997 was approximately $1.50 less per barrel than in 1996, and the average for 1998 may be as much as $3.00 to
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu's Dilemma:
Coalition Tug-of-War
With the first high-level, direct talks between Israel and the Palestinian Authority in 16 months reaching an impasse just hours after they opened, pressures facing Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu are heating up. From Gaza come statements that Palestinians will talk only with Washington, which has already declared that the "ball
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Saddam Husayn Prepares for an October Confrontation
On July 21, Iraq's ruling Revolutionary Command Council "strongly warned that it will not allow any party . . [including] the United States or UNSCOM [to] prolong the embargo." This developed a theme introduced in Saddam Husayn's speech on the July 17th anniversary of the 1968 Ba'th revolution. The July
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Articles & Testimony
New Nuances
Though it has escaped the attention of the media, the Clinton Administration seems to have decided on a Middle East policy that does not rule out U.S. recognition of a unilateral declaration of Palestinian statehood. The articulation of this policy has come subtly, emerging not from the direct comments of
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Iraq Strategy Review:
Options for U.S. Policy
On July 7, 1998, Patrick Clawson, research director at The Washington Institute; Andrew Parasiliti, director of programs at the Middle East Institute; and Kenneth Pollack, research fellow at The Washington Institute addressed a Special Policy Forum marking the release of Iraq Strategy Review, an Institute study outlining the different possible
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Patrick Clawson
Kenneth Pollack
Brief Analysis
U.S. Military Aid to Egypt:
Assessment and Recommendations
This is the second in a two-part series on the topic "U.S. Aid to Egypt: Building a Partnership for the 21st Century." Read Part I. The question of U.S. military aid to Egypt poses an unusual policy dilemma: should it go up or down? On one hand, Egypt's strategic location
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Robert Satloff
Patrick Clawson
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