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Brief Analysis
Iraq's Biological Warfare Program:
Past, Present, and Future Challenges
1974: Iraqi BW program begun at Salman Pak as the al-Hazan Ibn al-Hathem Institute under the Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research. Funded by Iraqi Intelligence Ministry, first employees are Ministry of Defense personnel (subsequent employees recruited from universities). Initially a joint effort to produce weapons for both clandestine
۶ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Algeria:
Between Democracy and Terrorism
Contrary to most media reportage, the constitutional crisis in Algeria in 1991-1992 was not the engine that ignited terrorism. Acts of terrorism by groups and individuals claiming to speak in the name of Islam began in the mid-1980s, when the Algerian government began exploring ways to implement economic reforms and
۵ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۸
In-Depth Reports
Decision Making in Asad's Syria
Pages: 45
۱ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۸
PeaceWatch/PolicyWatch Anthology 1997
۱ فوریهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Current Iraqi Military Capabilities:
An Assessment
With the Clinton administration warning that its patience with Iraq is wearing thin and that military strikes could be just around the corner, it is useful to revisit the question of Iraq's current ability to respond militarily to a new round of conflict. Barely a Paper Tiger. The Iraqi armed
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Kenneth Pollack
Brief Analysis
Iranian Links to International Terrorism:
The Khatemi Era
On January 7, 1998, Iran's President Khatemi told America-via CNN-that terrorism "should be condemned . . . and we condemn every form of it in the world." Khatemi also "denied categorically" reports that Iranian officials abroad regularly engage in acts of surveillance against Americans. These are encouraging words. However, a
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Weapons of Mass Destruction:
Current and Future Challenges
UNSCOM has been able to establish that in the second half of 1986, Iraq began work on at least fifteen different missile systems, in hopes of finding a weapon that would allow them to put pressure on Iran to end the war. Iraq has admitted to all fifteen of these
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
The Crisis with Iraq:
Reviving the Military Option
Saddam Husayn's speech last Saturday marking the anniversary of Operation Desert Storm confirmed that the current impasse is no ordinary Iraq crisis. Saddam gave the Security Council until May 20 to lift sanctions on Iraq or he would cease cooperation with the United Nations Special Commission (UNSCOM). Saddam's speech also
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Kenneth Pollack
Brief Analysis
Messrs. Netanyahu and Arafat Come to Town:
Peace Process Prospects, 1998
The Oslo accord is designed to divide the Israeli-Palestinian peace process into as many sub-phases as possible. Based on former Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin's concept of incrementalism, this cautious approach includes a review of the other side's compliance with past obligations before moving to the next sub-phase. Consequently, Israeli Prime
۲۱ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Arab Anti-Terror Efforts:
Assessing an Arab League Initiative
Culminating five years of formal discussions designed to find an effective way to combat terrorism, the Council of Arab Interior Ministers (CAIM) decided January 5 to adopt an all-Arab antiterrorism accord, pending approval of the Arab justice ministers next April. Coming in the wake of recent massacres in Algeria and
۱۳ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
Brief Analysis
Khatemi's Dialogue with America, Not with Washington
Iranian President Mohammad Khatemi's January 7 interview on CNN was long on history but short on policy indicatives. The most striking aspect of was that he gave it, not what he said. Khatemi is staking his prestige on foreign policy, which is surprising from a man whose entire career and
۸ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Israeli-Turkish Cooperation:
Full Steam Ahead
The Israeli-Turkish-U.S. trilateral search-and-rescue exercise taking place this week near Israel's Mediterranean coast highlights the thickening network of ties between Washington's two major non-Arab, Middle Eastern allies. A plus for U.S. interests in the region, Israeli-Turkish relations are watched with growing unease in Damascus, Baghdad, and Tehran, on the one
۶ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Alan Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Jerusalem's Holy Places and the Peace Process
As a city filled with "sacred space," Jerusalem poses several problems for policymakers seeking a political solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Any solution to the challenge of finding an agreed upon settlement must promise to protect the holy places--the "sacred space" of Judaism, Christianity, and Islam. In this Policy Paper
۱ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Thomas A. Idinopulos
In-Depth Reports
'Knives, Tanks, and Missiles':
Israel's Security Revolution
Born a small, beleaguered state, outnumbered and surrounded by enemies committed to its destruction, Israel early in its history formulated a distinctive set of principles for its basic defense policy. To outside observers, Israel's approach became emblematic of, indeed, in some respects indistinguishable from its national character. Throughout the quarter-century
۱ ژانویهٔ ۱۹۹۸
◆
Eliot Cohen
Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
The Clinton Doctrine
Bill Clinton, the first post Cold War president, may be joining a select Cold War club. Since World War II, several presidents have had foreign policy axioms associated with their names: the Truman Doctrine, which launched containment; the Carter Doctrine, declaring the Persian Gulf a vital interest: the Reagan Doctrine
۲۸ دسامبر ۱۹۹۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Peace Process:
View from a Likud Observer
Redeployments and Final Status: In recent weeks, the main focus of the peace process has been on the question of "further redeployments" of Israeli troops in the West Bank, as called for under the Oslo Accords. However, the redeployments—or "strokes," as they are known in Hebrew—are in reality a side
۲۴ دسامبر ۱۹۹۷
Brief Analysis
A Euro-Battered Mr. Yilmaz Comes to Washington
On the heels of the European Union's dismissal of Turkey's membership bid, Turkish Prime Minister Mesut Yilmaz meets President Clinton at the White House tomorrow at a potentially fateful time for Turkey's relations with the West. Ultimately, Euro-Turkish relations need to be strengthened if Turkey is to be fully integrated
۱۸ دسامبر ۱۹۹۷
◆
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Dual Containment:
Revive It or Replace It?
Washington must face the problem that both the large powers in the Persian Gulf-Iran and Iraq-have regimes unwilling to live in peace with their neighbors or the United States. Several approaches to these vexatious regimes tried by the West have been unsuccessful. Both the reliance on a regional power to
۱۸ دسامبر ۱۹۹۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Prospects for Dialogue with Iran:
Implications for U.S. Policy
When Mohammed Khatemi was unexpectedly elected president in May 1997, he was called in Iran "Ayatollah Gorbachev," in the expectation the system could fall apart if it opened up. While it is too early too ascertain whether Khatemi's welcome rhetoric is matched by substantive changes in Iranian behavior, his recent
۱۶ دسامبر ۱۹۹۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Fading European Dream
For the past three decades, Turkey's political establishment has equated success in its quest for full acceptance as a Western state with admission to the European Union (EU)-a goal likely to be dealt a severe, if not crippling, blow at an historic EU summit that starts tomorrow. The EU's implicit
۱۱ دسامبر ۱۹۹۷
◆
Alan Makovsky
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