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Brief Analysis
Netanyahu's Victory:
Implications for U.S. Peace Process Policy
In Israel's election, President Clinton bet heavily on Shimon Peres and lost. Now, as the Administration assesses the implications of Peres' defeat, it is weighing options of holding fast to current policy or "adapting" to a new situation, as Secretary of State Christopher has hinted. Given Benjamin Netanyahu's stunning victory
۱۰ ژوئن ۱۹۹۶
◆
Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Prospects for the Palestinian Authority:
Politics, Economics, and the Impact of the PNC Meeting
Although the enemies of peace threaten to return to the bloodshed of the past, the peace process has defined a new Palestinian-Israeli dynamic, a relationship of peace. The persistence of the process in the face of so many threats is a testament to the commitment of both the Palestinians and
۳ ژوئن ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Israeli Elections:
Domestic Politics and the Peace Process
Israel's elections are a watershed event: by a margin of less than 1 percentage point Benjamin Netanyahu will become the first directly elected prime minister in Israel's history (a full list of prime ministerial and parliamentary election results appears at the end of this article). Among Jewish Israelis, the differential
۳۱ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
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Samuel Lewos
Robert Satloff
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
To Vote or Not to Vote:
The Electoral Calculus of Israeli Arabs
With just days to go before Israel's national elections, key Israeli Arab political leaders this week endorsed Shimon Peres for prime minister, lessening the worry within the Labor Party that had emerged in the wake of Operation Grapes of Wrath that parts of a core constituency might abstain in the
۲۴ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Labor/Peres vs. Likud/Netanyahu:
A Comparative View
Following are excerpts from the Labor and Likud Party platforms and direct quotations from the two parties' prime ministerial candidates on key issues in Israel's May 29 national elections. LABOR PARTY LIKUD PARTY Oslo Accords: "On the basis of the breakthrough in the peace process over the past few years
۲۳ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Iran's Fragile Economy:
Problems and Prospects
When he came into office, Iranian President Hashemi Rafsanjani promised a "new Iran" that would be prosperous and powerful; he continued to blame the West -- America, in particular -- rather than recognizing Iran's economic failings. Today, none of this vision has been fulfilled. Instead, the regime faces a deepening
۲۲ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
In-Depth Reports
Fighting Terrorism, Waging Peace:
Twin Challenges for Democracies and Peacemakers
Keynote addresses by Warren Christopher and Andrew McCarthy. With Ehmet Eymur, Carmi Gillon, Klaus Grunewald, and others.
۲۰ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
In-Depth Reports
Fighting Terrorism: Challenges for the Peacemakers
The following is a transcript of Secretary of State Warren Christopher's keynote address to The Washington Institute's 2006 Soref Symposium. It is a real pleasure to speak again to the Washington Institute. Under the leadership of Mike Stein, Barbi Weinberg, and Rob Satloff, the Institute has continued to excel as
۲۰ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
◆
Warren Christopher
Brief Analysis
The Stakes in the Iraq Oil Sales Dispute
Iraq and the United Nations are in the fourth round of negotiations about terms for implementing UN Security Council Resolution 986 -- an arrangement to permit limited and controlled oil sales to provide Baghdad with funds to purchase humanitarian goods. The talks hit a snag in late April, when the
۱۴ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
◆
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Oman's Foreign Policy:
From Gulf Security to the Peace Process
To celebrate twenty-five years of Sultan Qaboos' reign, Oman has begun a strategic effort to develop social and economic programs for the coming twenty-five years. According to this project -- "Oman Visions for 2020" -- the sultanate will emphasize a balanced budget, private sector development, and heavy investment in human
۱۰ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Politics and Religion in Post-Election Turkey
Over the past fifty years, in which center-right parties usually have been in power, a moderate state-sanctioned Islam has been gradually on the rise. Increased religious consciousness in Turkey has been fostered through state policies that encourage religious observance and Islamic education. Sufism has also contributed to the revitalization of
۹ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Hizballah Operations:
Past Patterns, Future Prospects
An attack by Hizballah on an outpost of the South Lebanon Army last week underscores both the positive and negative outcomes of the written "understanding" negotiated by Secretary of State Warren Christopher -- namely, while northern Israel and Lebanese civilian targets should be spared further attacks, armed conflict between Israel
۷ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Beyond the Headlines:
Long-Term Trends in Mideast Stability
Day-by-day events of the Middle East -- from conflict in South Lebanon, to terrorism in Cairo, to elections in Israel -- obscure already well-established, longer-running economic trends that are having a profound impact on the shape of the region for years to come. Increasing populations, declining oil revenues and the
۳ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The Future of U.S.-Israel Strategic Cooperation
On April 24, 1996, Shai Feldman, senior research fellow at the John F. Kennedy School of Government's Center for Science and International Affairs, presented the findings of his Washington Institute study The Future of U.S.-Israel Strategic Cooperation at the Institute's Special Policy Forum. Zalmay Khalilzad, director of the Strategy and
۲ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
In-Depth Reports
The Future of U.S.-Israel Strategic Cooperation
Executive Summary In the 1970s, the establishment of U.S.-Israel strategic ties was driven less by America's perceived strategic imperatives than by political motivations: the values shared by the United States and Israel, the cultural proximity between the two societies, the unique role and influence of the American Jewish community, and
۱ مهٔ ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
A Race for the Future of the Middle East:
An Address by the Israeli Prime Minister
On April 29, 1996, Israeli prime minister Shimon Peres addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. The following are edited excerpts from his comments, as transcribed by Federal News Service. Peace, Prosperity, and Problems on the Road Ahead For the next four years, before the end of this century, there
۳۰ آوریل ۱۹۹۶
◆
Shimon Peres
Brief Analysis
Turkish-Israeli Cooperation, the Peace Process, and the Region
As a Lebanese cease-fire returns a measure of stability to Syrian-Israeli relations, a military cooperation agreement between Israel and Syria's northern neighbor -- Turkey -- is emerging as a potentially key factor in regional politics, provoking strong reactions from Damascus, Tehran, and Cairo. Just as it signals the deepening of
۲۶ آوریل ۱۹۹۶
Brief Analysis
Changing Assad's Incentive Structure:
Christopher in the 'Lion's Den'
As foreign ministers of seven countries descended upon Damascus and Operation Grapes of Wrath shifted into low gear, katyushas continued to fall on northern Israel over the weekend, bringing the count to nearly 500 over the past twelve days. Apparently, none of the seven -- American, French, Russian, Italian, Spanish
۲۲ آوریل ۱۹۹۶
◆
Robert Satloff
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
An Address by the President of Turkey
What is Turkey's role in the new world? Whichever way you look at it, the Turkish geography is a unique one. Turkey is a European country and at the same time a part of the Balkans, the Caucasus and the Middle East. The Balkans are our access to Western Europe
۳ آوریل ۱۹۹۶
◆
Suleyman Demirel
In-Depth Reports
Partner or Pariah?
Attitudes toward Israel in Syria, Lebanon, and Jordan
The Arab-Israeli conflict is generally considered a political and military confrontation between Israeli and neighboring Arab countries. Negotiations and agreements between the two sides therefore tend to concentrate on official matters such as diplomatic recognition, security measures, and other formal aspects of interstate relations. Unlike their Israeli counterparts, Arab citizens
۱ آوریل ۱۹۹۶
◆
Hilal Khashan
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