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Articles & Testimony
How the Death of Hezbollah’s Nasrallah Brings a Renewed Opportunity for Mideast Peace
Netanyahu must translate Israel’s military achievements in Lebanon into political outcomes while also preventing far-right nationalists in his coalition from defining what is possible with the Palestinians.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Jeffrey Sonnenfeld
Dennis Ross
Steven Tian
Brief Analysis
What Nasrallah’s Death Could Mean for the Hezbollah Network
Iran’s proxy faces steep challenges on the leadership and military fronts, and the international community can now act vigorously to free Lebanon from its grip.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
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Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Israel Dead Set on Beating Hezbollah Back
With prospects low for a near-term diplomatic breakthrough, the Lebanese group can decide how far this conflict escalates.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia Signals Oil Policy Shift
The kingdom anticipates and accepts lower oil prices, according to a news report, but the impact on other producers could be comparatively damaging.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Is Holding an Election—But Will Voters Show Up?
To counter President Saied’s electoral manipulation and increased repression, Washington should work more closely with its contacts in Tunisia’s military, civil society, and European partner governments.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
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Sabina Henneberg
Sarah Yerkes
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Policy in the Middle East Amid Great Power Competition
The true U.S. strategy debate in the Middle East is not about whether we should stay or go; it’s about how to continue advancing the interests pursued by successive administrations even as hostile competitors and unresolved threats combine to throw U.S. regional policy off balance.
September 2024
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Countering Terrorism in a Period of Great Power Competition
To rebalance limited resources, meet great power challenges, and continue forecasting diverse terrorist threats, the U.S. government will need to invest more in capabilities such as machine learning and AI.
September 2024
◆
Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
New Exposé on Sudani PMO Eavesdropping Is Suppressed, But Archived Online
A second major report on the political surveillance scandal was quickly muted, in part because it was highly critical of Iranian Qods Force commander Esmail Qaani.
۲۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Boosting Military Support to Ukraine Can Help Deter Iran
From facilitating a no-fly zone over Ukraine to interdicting Iranian missile transfers, Washington and its allies have various means of answering the latest strategic shift in the war.
۲۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Middle East Space Offensive
Moscow’s space cooperation with Tunisia could complicate U.S. attempts to develop norms for space travel, communication, and exploration.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Sabina Henneberg
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah in the Caucasus: One to Watch
Unconfirmed but detailed reporting on potential Iraqi terrorist cells in Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan should be a wake-up call to monitor Kataib Hezbollah's external operations more closely.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Reminder: The Hostages (or: Why an ‘All for All’ Deal Doesn’t Help Them)
The impasse in negotiations boils down to a choice between getting the hostages out or staying in Gaza—and Netanyahu has seemingly picked the latter.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Improving Egypt-Israel Relations in the Shadow of Gaza
In addition to addressing each country’s concerns about border sovereignty, smuggling, and other irritants, Washington should emphasize the longer-term need to return to the peace treaty’s military limitations after the Gaza war.
۲۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
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David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Israel and Hezbollah Are Escalating Toward Catastrophe
Both sides have major incentives to avoid a wider conflict, but they’ll need help escaping the traps they laid for themselves.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
A New Religious Strategy for Effective Peacebuilding in the Middle East
A leading Muslim thinker explains how religious figures can play a truly effective role in regional peacebuilding by questioning the embedded norms that fuel intercommunal violence, including in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Yahya Cholil Staquf
Brief Analysis
The Death of (Another) Hezbollah Lifer
Like his recently killed predecessor, Ibrahim Aqil had a long history of murdering Americans, Europeans, Israelis, Lebanese, and others perceived as obstacles to Hezbollah’s ambitions, and his experience as a military and terrorist commander will be difficult to replace.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Will Hezbollah Choose to Keep Its Word—or Its Arsenal?
The group must decide between walking back its threat to northern Israel or risking the loss of its advanced missile capabilities, which Iran regards as a crucial insurance policy.
۲۳ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
How Exploding Pagers Can Lead to Calm Along Israel-Lebanon Border
Washington should push to negotiate limited border understandings now—it makes little sense to open a larger, more catastrophically destructive conflict if the outcome is likely to end up at the same place.
۲۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Israel Sends Hezbollah Twin Messages
Israel’s cloak-and-dagger pager ploy was extraordinary, but will it change the group’s calculus?
۲۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
UAE President’s White House Visit Is About Much More Than Mere Formalities
Besides strengthening both countries’ economies, the visit represents a new model of international partnership where traditional alliances intersect with cutting-edge innovation.
۲۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Nickolay Mladenov
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