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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Investment in Syria Continues to Pay Dividends
Even prior to the announced withdrawal from Syria, the longstanding unwillingness of the United States and the West to become seriously involved in the war has encouraged Russia to entrench itself militarily there. Russia now has a number of secure military bases throughout the country, in addition to airport access
May 16, 2019
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John Saleh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
During Conflict Between the United States and Iran, Iraq’s Shiite Forces Will Prioritize Iraq
“We will not allow Iraq to become a battlefield for other countries to clear their debts”—this statement would be unremarkable coming from many Iraqi politicians, as it is in sync with the current view of most Iraqi political parties and the three Presidencies of Iraq: the President, Prime Minister and
May 14, 2019
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Farhad Alaaldin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How the U.S. Government Should Think About Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces
A spirited policy debate is underway within the corridors of power in Washington D.C. over the manner in which the United States should view and treat the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), Iraq’s web of paramilitary organizations. It takes a great deal of concern to elevate such a niche issue to
May 9, 2019
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Trump Has–Inadvertently–Provided a Fix to America’s Kurdish Problem with Turkey
Since 2014, Washington has relied on the Syrian Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) to defeat ISIS in Syria. Yet Washington’s policy of working with the YPG in Syria, where U.S. support has helped the group soar, has concurrently undermined American policy regarding the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) in Turkey, the
Apr 18, 2019
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Trump’s Rhetoric and the Crisis of Iraqi Political Moderates
Iraqi Prime Minister Adil Abdul-Mahdi is expected to face questioning in parliament over the U.S. presence in Iraq in the coming months, an unprecedented situation made possible by the increasing power and influence of Iran-backed parties opposing the American presence in Iraq. Moderate politicians, who form the base of the
Mar 14, 2019
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Shukur Khilkhal
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Economic Ties Deepen the Saudi-Pakistani Strategic Partnership
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia share a long history of close bilateral ties, with bonds of religion and mutual interest dating back to the Saudi support for the independence struggle by the Muslims of the subcontinent during the 1940s. Over the years, this bilateral relationship has matured into a strategic partnership
Feb 28, 2019
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Umer Karim
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference
“Takeaways” is the classic Washington term used to encapsulate the outcomes of high-profile diplomatic gatherings. Last week, I was invited to moderate a panel at the “Ministerial to Promote a Future of Peace and Security in the Middle East,” cohosted in Warsaw by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Polish
Feb 22, 2019
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Local Partnerships are Key to Confronting Iran in Iraq
With its historical, cultural, and civilizational depth, combined with a deft wielding of soft and hard power, Iran currently feels that it has the upper hand in Iraq. Moreover, Iranian strategy has experienced an important development: it has moved from calling for popular revolutions against political regimes to intervening in
Feb 19, 2019
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S. Withdrawal, Arab NATO, and How America Can be a “Force for Good”
As many anticipated, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s January 10 speech in Cairo focused on three main themes: the Trump administration’s unconditional support for Israel, an emphasis on decisively confronting Iran, and the continued intention to combat the Islamic State (IS) and radical Islamism. Pompeo presented these themes in
Feb 11, 2019
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Muhammad Mansour
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Security Threats on the Tunisia-Libya Border
The French military’s Maginot line—built during the 1930s in order to prevent the inevitable German invasion—is a classic example of how a false sense of security led to failed strategic planning. Lesser known is the Mareth Line of the same period, built in Tunisia to defend the French protectorate against
Jan 24, 2019
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Dhia Otay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Russia Challenges the United States’ Investment in Egypt
To outside observers, it sometimes appears that decision makers in Washington take the close relationship between Egypt and the United States for granted. On the one hand, this makes sense: The United States has invested a great deal of money and political capital in its relationship with Cairo. Egypt is
Dec 11, 2018
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Mohamed Maher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syria’s War is Not Over
Conversations on the future of Syria have increasingly shifted to reconstruction and ‘the day after,’ with international calls for an end to the Syrian regime, significantly weakened as a result of years of war and suffering. During an October 2 seminar on conflict mediation in Sweden, UN Special Envoy for
Oct 16, 2018
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Mohamad Kamal al-Labwani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Remembering Gaza Disengagement 13 Years Later: Personal Reflections on a Missed Opportunity
Introduction It is sometimes hard to imagine in 2018 that a different vision existed for Gaza than the one that currently exists in the news, and that Gazans live daily. Yet, I was a member of a hopeful group of technocrats who developed a clear roadmap for Gaza after Israel
Oct 1, 2018
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Mohammed Samhouri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Military Propaganda: Failures and Successes
While propaganda plays a major role in forming local and international public opinion, it may also be deployed as a tool of “soft deterrence,” designed to tilt the calculations and military strategies of other countries in another country’s favor. Iran’s financial investment in its media presence, with dozens of satellite
Sep 9, 2018
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ayatollah Khamenei: Shifting from Velayat-e Faqih to Military Control
Almost forty years after its inception, the project of the Islamic Republic has failed. Ayatollah Khamenei has in essence admitted that an Islamic state is not complete in Iran. Nor is Iranian society unequivocally Islamic in the manner that the revolution intended: rather the Iranian government merely follows and applies
Sep 7, 2018
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Frzand Sherko
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Former Saudi and Iranian Diplomats Agree: The Region is Stuck
Saudi Arabia and Iran are not often presented as being ‘in dialogue.’ Yet on January 29, 2018, two former Saudi and Iranian diplomats discussed a host of key issues at the Joint Special Operations University in Tampa, Florida. Prince Turki al-Faisal Al-Saud of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Ambassador
Aug 27, 2018
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Andrew Ledford
Banafsheh Keynoush
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
“Trump Triumphant”: The Middle East between Two Nuclear Deals
The June 12 image of U.S. President Donald Trump and North Korean Leader Kim Jong-Un signing an “agreement on denuclearization” in Singapore has provided Arab political discourse’s two competing narratives new tools to push their diametrically opposed characterizations of the future awaiting the Middle East. One view hails the meeting
Jun 25, 2018
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Jordan Dismantle the “Deep State” Moguls?
Today, Jordan’s government is facing backlash after a long period of corruption labeled a “deep state” system. Citizens are organizing demonstrations rejecting federal decisions to increase taxes and impose further strict rules on the people that would negatively affect their livelihoods. Recently, some political figures have used the term "deep
Jun 7, 2018
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Shehab Al-Makahleh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran, Israel, Syria, and the U.S.: Views From China
Next week, President Rouhani of Iran will visit China for a summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, on the margins of a meeting of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Two weeks ago, coincidentally, I spoke in Shanghai at a mid-sized meeting billed as “the first conference on Syria ever held in
Jun 6, 2018
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Iraqi and Syrian Crises: A Strategic Definition
Political conflict in the Islamic world began between two schools headed by the Imam Ali ibn Abi Talib and Muawiyah ibn Abi Sufyan. A bloody fight for power led to a conflict that still persists today in the form of the Sunni-Shia divide and the Turkish-Arab-Iranian conflict. Defining the current
Jun 6, 2018
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Haitham Numan
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