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Brief Analysis
What Could Diplomacy with Iran Produce?
There can be little doubt that the United States, France, Britain, Germany, Russia, and China would all prefer a diplomatic outcome to the impasse over Iran's nuclear ambitions. Collectively, they make up the P5+1 mechanism that will soon resume negotiations with Iranian representatives. Talks were discontinued last year because Tehran's
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Syria and Turkey: The PKK Dimension
Among Syrian opposition groups, the belief is widespread that Damascus has been allowing the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) -- a group on the State Department's Foreign Terrorist Organizations list -- to operate once again in Syria. Back in 1998, the Syrian regime curbed PKK activity on its soil and cut
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood Pursues a Political Monopoly
On Saturday, the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood (MB) announced the nomination of Deputy Supreme Guide Khairat al-Shater for president, cementing a critical shift in its political strategy. Although the group initially tried to manage Egypt's post-Mubarak transition by cooperating with the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) and secularist parties
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Future of the Marjayia
The current form of religious leadership over the Shi'ite community, marjayia, was founded in the 1830s when Mohammed Hassan Najafi became the first transnational Shi'ite religious authority (marja) in Najaf, Iraq. Najafi created a universal patronage network through which he received religious taxes and endowment incomes, and appointed religious representatives
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Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Death of a Pope: The Worsening Position of Egypt's Copts
The death of Pope Shenouda III on March 18 leaves Egypt's Coptic Christian community in a politically uncertain position at a seminal moment. His passing, though long anticipated, could scarcely have come at a worse moment. As Egypt's largely Islamist constitutional assembly meets to draft the state's post-Mubarak charter, the
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Articles & Testimony
The Free Syrian Army vs. the Syrian National Council -- Which Should We Support?
A year into the Syrian uprising against Bashar Al-Assad, the dysfunctional nature of Syrian opposition politics isn't exactly news. But the resignation last month of Syrian dissident Kamal Labwani from the Syrian National Council (SNC) -- which he accused not only of being "undemocratic" and incompetent, but intent on undermining
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Can Meet Israel Halfway on Iran
There is no daylight between the United States and Israel on the objective and the preferred means for dealing with Iranian nuclear ambitions. Much has been written about possible differences, but the recent meeting between President Obama and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu highlighted key points of convergence: Both agree that
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Ottomania All the Rage in Turkey
"Fetih 1453" ( The Conquest 1453), a Turkish spring blockbuster that glorifies the Ottomans and their conquest of Istanbul, is breaking viewership records in Turkey these days. Over 5 million Turks have already seen the movie, making it the country's most popular film of all time. The film's popularity sheds
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Soner Cagaptay
Suna Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s Security Concerns over Syria
Since the uprising against Syrian president Bashar al-Assad began a year ago, Lebanon has lived in fear that the worsening violence will spill across the border. In recent days, that fear has come close to being realized with reports that Syrian troops fired into Lebanon during clashes with rebels. The
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Articles & Testimony
The Tragedy in Toulouse: When Kinetic Counterterrorism Tactics Aren't Enough
"In light of recent events, is France sufficiently prepared to deal with the challenge of homegrown violent Islamist extremism? The question could have been posed to French officials in the days since Mohammed Merah murdered seven people in Toulouse, including French soldiers of Muslim descent, a Rabbi, and several Jewish
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Dateline Middle East: Trip Reports from around the Region
On March 27, 2012, Robert Satloff, Andrew J. Tabler, and Simon Henderson addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff, the Institute's executive director and Howard P. Berkowitz chair in U.S. Middle East policy, had just returned from Israel and Jordan. Mr. Tabler, the Institute's Next Generation fellow
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Robert Satloff
Andrew J. Tabler
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Is the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood Nominating a Presidential Candidate?
Shortly after mass protests toppled Hosni Mubarak last February, Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood sought to assuage fears of an "Islamist takeover" by making two promises to both the international community and to Egyptian secularist parties: that it would run candidates in fewer than 50 percent of the parliamentary races, and that
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
The Human Rights Crisis in Syria
Testimony prepared for the Tom Lantos Human Rights Commission, U.S. House of Representatives Mr. Chairman, thank you for the opportunity to testify on the Assad regime's brutal year-long crackdown on Syria's pro-democracy protestors. Throughout years as a journalist and analyst based in Damascus, I followed Tom Lantos's often-critical words on
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Kofi Annan's Plan Is Destined to Fail
President Bashar al-Assad has agreed to U.N. envoy and former Secretary-General Kofi Annan's six-point plan to end the bloodshed in Syria. Al-Assad was wise to do so. The U.N. initiative, which endorses al-Assad's oversight of a "political process to address the legitimate aspirations" of the Syrian people, is a boon
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Danger Zone
Reporting from the USS Abraham Lincoln in waters near Iran, Simon Henderson describes why the carrier strike groups in the Persian Gulf are an awesome reminder of U.S. military might. View a slideshow of photos from his time aboard the supercarrier. U.S. President Barack Obama recently said that "all elements
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Not Supporting the Opposition "within Syria" Is Supporting Assad
During their March 25 meeting, President Obama and Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan agreed that part of the agenda of the April 1 "Friends of Syria" summit in Istanbul will concern "nonlethal assistance" to the opposition "within Syria." This indicates that the administration is beginning to accept a "tragic
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Andrew J. Tabler
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Don't Expect Turkey to Invade Syria
A Turkish intervention in Syria could boomerang, ratcheting up PKK attacks and eroding the soft power Turkey has painstakingly built in the Middle East over the past decade.
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Iran, Hizballah, and the Threat to the U.S. Homeland
Should Hizballah decide to carry out attacks on U.S. soil in the event of a military confrontation with Iran, it has the capacity to do so.
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Tides of Battle in Syria
The Free Syria Army remains in the fight and should be sustained and armed to maintain military pressure on the regime.
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Party of Fraud: Hizballah's Criminal Enterprises
On March 19, 2012, Michael Braun, David Asher, and Matthew Levitt addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Mr. Braun, a managing partner with Spectre Group International, is former assistant administrator and chief of operations at the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration. Dr. Asher, a senior fellow at Center for
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Michael Braun
David Asher
Matthew Levitt
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