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Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Secret Power Brokers
Conspiracy theories have been popular in the former Ottoman Empire ever since the 19th century, when Turkey became a pawn in Great Power games. But even by that standard, the current stories swirling around Istanbul and Ankara take the cake. Tales of a sinister "Deep State" (Derin Devlet) have surfaced
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Articles & Testimony
Why the Race Is On to Rebuild Gaza
The reconstruction period that followed the 2006 Israel-Lebanon War can be instructive for those seeking to curtail Hamas's political influence as Gaza enters a period of restoration. This article assesses the stakes for the Middle East and the international community in this early phase of rebuilding Gaza. © IHS (Global)
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Obama Administration Reaches Out to Syria:
Implications for Israel
In early March, two senior U.S. officials traveled to Damascus for the highest-level bilateral meeting in years, part of the new administration's policy of "engagement." Washington seeks to test Damascus' intentions to distance itself from Iran. While a "strategic realignment" of Damascus is unlikely, in the short term, the diplomatic
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Hizballah and Iran in the Age of Engagement
In early March, the British government reestablished contact with Hizballah, reversing a ban that had been in effect since 2005. The move comes less than a year after Britain decided to actually tighten the ban on Hizballah and outlaw its military wing. The decision not only highlights the lack of
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Magnus Norell
Brief Analysis
The Washington-Beirut-Damascus Triangle (Part II)
On March 13, 2009, Andrew Tabler, Magnus Norell, and John Hannah addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the Washington-Beirut-Damascus triangle. Mr. Tabler, the cofounder and former editor-in-chief of Syria Today, is a Soref fellow at The Washington Institute. Dr. Norell is a Fulbright scholar
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Andrew J. Tabler
Magnus Norell
Brief Analysis
The Washington-Beirut-Damascus Triangle (Part I)
On March 13, 2009, Andrew Tabler, Magnus Norell, and John Hannah addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the Washington-Beirut-Damascus triangle. Mr. Hannah, senior fellow at The Washington Institute and national security advisor to former vice president Dick Cheney, focused his remarks on U.S. policy
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John Hannah
Articles & Testimony
A Futile Quest for Power
The decision of former Iranian president Mohammad Khatami not to seek the presidency again has revealed how muddled Iranian presidential politics now is. In trying to sort out this muddle, the most important thing to keep in mind is not so much who will be elected, but what that choice
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Articles & Testimony
Demography in the Middle East:
Population Growth Slowing, Women's Situation Unresolved
Fifty years of rapid population growth in the Middle East is coming to an end. The Middle East is experiencing the same "demographic transition" to slow population growth that other areas have gone through. The immediate reason for the slower population growth is a fall in the number of children
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Iran's Ongoing Proxy War in Iraq
In December 2008, shortly before assuming office, President Barack Obama called for "tough but direct diplomacy with Iran." As the new administration moves forward, it must realize that U.S.-Iranian negotiations will take place while Iran is killing Americans in Iraq and increasing its support for armed Iraqi factions. Like its
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Rewriting the Narrative: An Integrated Strategy for Counterradicalization
On March 10, 2009, The Washington Institute's Presidential Task Force on Confronting the Ideology of Radical Extremism released its final report at a special Policy Forum at the Institute. The release also included a discussion led by three task force members: Tim Roemer, president of the Center for National Policy
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
The Price of a Palestinian Unity Government
Fatah and Hamas are considering the reestablishment of a Palestinian unity government. Although many scenarios are possible -- ranging from a full division of ministries to a government filled with anonymous technocrats -- each option raises serious issues. Most likely, though, Hamas would emerge as the big winner, with Fatah's
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Buying Time with Iran:
The F-22 Fighter
On February 19, the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) released its most recent report on Iran's nuclear activities, indicating that the Islamic Republic may have produced enough low-enriched uranium for its first nuclear weapon (if further enriched). Meanwhile, Israeli prime minister-designate Binyamin Netanyahu is putting together a right-leaning government that
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Thomas Crimmins
Brief Analysis
High Stakes, High Anxiety:
Campaigning in Lebanon
This Saturday, Lebanon's pro-West March 14 coalition officially kicks off its election campaign in Beirut. Two weeks ago, the Hizballah-led opposition -- backed by Syria and Iran -- started campaigning in its stronghold in the Beqa Valley. With less than three months until Lebanon's parliamentary election, the contest, which pits
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Terror Finance:
The Imperative of Interagency Synergy
On March 11, 2009, Matthew Levitt, director of the Institute's Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence, testified before the House Committee on Armed Services Subcommittee on Terrorism and Unconvential Threats and Capabilities. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. Chairman Smith, Ranking member Miller, committee members, thank you
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Palestinian Perspectives on a Unity Government
On March 10, Fatah and Hamas began a new round of talks in Cairo that center on creating a Palestinian national unity government, reorganizing security forces, reforming the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO), and holding elections. Despite both sides having incentives to reconcile, fundamental disagreements make a comprehensive political agreement unlikely
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Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
'The Siege of Mecca':
Honoring Winner of Washington Institute Book Prize
On March 10, 2009, Yaroslav Trofimov, author of The Siege of Mecca, accepted the 2008 Gold Award in The Washington Institute's inaugural Book Prize competition. The ceremony took place at the New York Historical Society in New York City. The Book Prize, established to highlight new nonfiction books on the
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Articles & Testimony
Opposition in Syria Dying with a Dissident
Reports from Damascus say Syria's leading dissident is on his deathbed. Riad Seif, 62 and suffering from prostate cancer, has spent the last year in Adra prison as punishment for attending a meeting of pro-democracy groups in Damascus. Syrian President Bashar Assad has prohibited him from seeking treatment abroad, a
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Economic Crisis:
Al-Qaeda's Response
The deepening global financial crisis has focused international attention on failing companies, rising unemployment, and diving stock markets. Little attention, however, has been given to the downturn's significant effect on terrorist groups such as al-Qaeda, which has altered its central message and is facing dwindling financial resources. Although the economic
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Brief Analysis
Preventing a Cascade of Instability:
U.S. Engagement to Check Iranian Nuclear Progress
On March 4, 2009, the Presidential Task Force on Iranian Proliferation, Regional Security, and U.S. Policy released its final report at a special Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. The release also included a discussion led by three task force members, Gen. (Ret.) Eugene Habiger, Dr. William Schneider, and Ambassador
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Articles & Testimony
Talking to Syria: An Important Test for Damascus
The New York Times convened an online panel of five Middle East experts to discuss the Obama adminstration's recent decision to send two diplomats to begin "preliminary conversations" with the Syrian government. The following is a contribution by Washington Institute Soref fellow Andrew J. Tabler, the cofounder and former editor
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Andrew J. Tabler
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