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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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تحلیل کوتاه
تقویت دولت کاظمی (بخش ۲): مقابله با رسانههای شبهنظامیان
دولت عراق در حال باختن جنگ رسانهای به گروههایی است که با حاکمیت آن مبارزه میکنند و از بیثباتی مداوم سود میبرند. برای همین، بغداد و واشنگتن باید مقابله با پیام آنها را تشدید کنند.
۱۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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بلال وهاب
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Praxis before Faith in Tackling Radicalism—A Response to Shoresh Khani
Shoresh Khani presents a coherent argument for greater attention to the situation at al-Hawl. Satisfied with the defeat of ISIS, world decision makers seem not much engaged in the residual question of al-Hawl. Some international court involvement is suggested, and de-radicalization efforts are anticipated. If the goal is that ISIS
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Hassan Mneimneh
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia and the Gulf States Under Stress
As Riyadh aims to revamp the kingdom’s place in the international community, its near-term approach to Iran and Israel will have much to say about the Gulf neighborhood’s future trajectory.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Popular Opinion of Kadhimi Is Weakly Supportive, but Could Tip Either Way
While much ink has been spilled over whether Iran and the United States have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of new Iraqi Prime Minster Mustafa al-Kadhimi, the most important opinion is that of Iraqis. It is particularly important what Iraq’s Shia population thinks of their new prime minister, as they
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Munqith Dagher
Karl Kaltenthaler
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Give Up on the Two-State Solution
Unilateral Israeli annexation would be a mistake, but a one-state solution or an unconditional declaration of Palestinian statehood would just compound the error.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Dennis Ross
David Makovsky
تحلیل کوتاه
تقویت دولت کاظمی (بخش ۱): مسائل حفاظتی و امنیتی
واشنگتن انتظار دارد رهبران عراقی در صف مقدم دفاع از استقلال کشور قرار گیرند و مقر دولت را ایمن سازند، ولی آنها بدون دستکم کمکی اندک از سوی آمریکا، قادر به چنین کاری نخواهند بود.
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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مایکل نایتز
الکس آلمیدا
Articles & Testimony
Iraqi Kurdistan: Priority Issues for International Mediation
Baghdad, Erbil, and their foreign partners should focus on mending harmful intra-Kurdish rifts, forging a multiyear budget deal, and reactivating elite counterterrorism coordination, among other initiatives.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Sudan on Edge: An Inevitable Fall or a Better Way Ahead?
Washington needs to go fast on Sudan, not slow, frontloading relief to bolster the civilian government while warning regional leaders not to use the country as another geopolitical football.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Alberto Fernandez
تحلیل کوتاه
آیا تبدیل مجدد ایاصوفیه به مسجد به اردوغان کمکی خواهد کرد؟
رئیسجمهور ترکیه ظاهرا بر تثبیت میراث خود و افزایش محبوبیتش نزد رایدهندگان همت گماشته است، ولی این حرکت به احتمال زیاد به شهرت بینالمللی ترکیه صدمه خواهد زد.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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سونر چغاپتای
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Tunisia’s COVID Response Demonstrates Governmental Dysfunction
With a fragile democratic transition process and a continuous low-intensity yet bloody conflict against terrorist groups, Tunisia is still taking stock of the effects and repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on the country. The pandemic hit at a time of political struggle and economic uncertainty. As such, the government’s response
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Dhia Otay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Clarifying the Meaning and Case for Islamic Religious Reform
In my most recent Fikra Forum piece, In Defense of Islamic Religious Reform, I address the need for religious reform in the modern age. In Hassan Mneimneh’s response to my piece, Islamic Religious Reform Is an Institutional Need First, he raises several thoughtful questions regarding Islamic religious reform’s feasibility, and
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Hasan Ismaik
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
On the Murder of Husham al-Hashemi
On July 6, 2020, Iraq’s most prolific security commentator Husham al-Hashemi was assassinated in Zayouna, a social melting pot neighborhood of east Baghdad. At 8:19 pm, he arrived outside his home, driving his own unarmored white SUV. Seconds before, two motorbikes pulled up, each carrying two young men. They knew
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s Short-Lived ‘Victory’ Over Coronavirus
Political, social, and epidemiological missteps have left the country with limited options short of an onerous national lockdown.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Will Iran ‘Go Nuclear’ Over Its Latest Nuke Site Setback?
Even if the regime’s prospects of obtaining enough high-enriched uranium for a weapon have been greatly delayed, the potential repercussions do not end there.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
How the Contest to Succeed Abbas Is Shaping Palestinian Options
Israeli and Palestinian experts and former negotiators explore the lack of clarity surrounding the next PA leader, including the potential effects succession might have on internal politics, annexation responses, U.S. policy, and more.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Ehud Yaari
Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
Israelis and Palestinians Must Realize That Each Needs to Give, Not Just Take
Netanyahu is treating the Trump plan like a buffet where he can choose only the parts he likes.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Makovsky
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Role of the Military in Russian Politics and Foreign Policy Over the Past 20 Years
The Kremlin’s interventions in Syria and elsewhere are just one part of its society-wide efforts to bolster Putin’s domestic standing via the security sphere.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Fragile Status Quo in Northeast Syria
The mixed Kurdish-Arab zone could buckle under any number of security, health, and economic threats, especially if the United States surrenders to Russian and Turkish interests by withdrawing its remaining forces.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How GCC Conflict Impacts the Gulf Response to Israeli Annexation
With the potential of Israel moving forward with annexation looming, the question of its likely impact on recent steps of normalization with Gulf countries is becoming increasingly relevant. Yet the situation is ambiguous; while the scope of any annexation and the intensity of opposition to it throughout the Arab world
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Yoel Guzansky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Two-Thirds in Jordan Fear U.S.-Israeli Plans, But Domestic Issues Rank First
The Jordanian “street” is now relatively content with its government’s posture, in spite—or indeed precisely because—of all the turbulence surrounding it.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Pollock
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