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Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
In this anthology, contributors discuss the policy challenges associated with an emerging phenomenon, but disabuse readers of any notion that jihadist governance and statecraft should be equated with political moderation.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Devorah Margolin
Aaron Y. Zelin
◆
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
Brief Analysis
Talking Nicely with Pezeshkian While Postponing Major Steps
Iran’s new reformist president will need time to generate consensus at home before making any significant foreign policy moves; Washington should do the same.
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How the EU’s Plan to Replace Russian Gas Exposes Challenges in Algeria’s Energy Sector
A promising cross-Mediterranean initiative has run into political challenges, burdensome investment laws, methane leaks, and other hurdles.
۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Are the Houthis Attacking Ships in the Mediterranean?
Direct strikes from the Yemeni group are unlikely at the moment, but a more aggressive Hezbollah could alter the threat picture.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
◆
Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Europe Can Still Make a Difference in the Middle East
The challenge is to find a common line that accounts for different national positions on regional issues while still promoting a coherent foreign policy.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ehud Yaari
Video
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Israel Escalation: Prospects for War
A former Israeli military planner joins three experts to discuss each side’s current calculus and the U.S. policy implications if they opt for war or a truce.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Hanin Ghaddar
David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba and AAH Argue Over Whether Asaib Is Still a Resistance Player
Asaib Ahl al-Haq cannot seem to decide whether it has detached from anti-U.S. militancy or not, causing other militias to tie themselves in rhetorical knots over the group's public credentials.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
What If Gaza’s “Day After” Converges with the Day After Abbas?
If the PA leadership collapses under the weight of Israeli pressure and West Bank deterioration, the result could be a destabilizing reset in the Palestinian arena and a postwar void in Gaza.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Four U.S.-Designated Terrorist Groups Rush to Support Judge Faeq Zaidan
Iran-backed militias were quick to defend the judge after he was accused of being a tool for Iranian influence.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Amir al-Kaabi
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Addressing the Inequality and Despair Driving Kurdish Migration to Europe
Only by working to address internal issues can the KRI hope to stem the tide of both irregular migration and the loss of its most valuable human capital.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ruwayda Mustafah
Brief Analysis
Israel Plans to Hike Gas Output Despite Hezbollah Threats
The deal could eventually boost supplies to Egypt, though Hezbollah’s robust missile arsenal and public threats against East Mediterranean energy targets may dampen broader regional investment in the sector.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Dueling Summits Show the Need to Enlist Arab Support on Ukraine
Key Middle East actors tend to distrust the U.S. narrative about the war and conclude they can reap better economic benefits from Russia, so Washington should do more to get them off the sidelines.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Carrier Gap Increases the Red Sea’s Vulnerability to Houthi Attacks
To fill the capabilities gap between carrier groups and prepare for potential Houthi escalation in the next few weeks, the United States and its partners need to implement stopgap measures and, ideally, surge more military assets into the region temporarily.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Elizabeth Dent
In-Depth Reports
Evaluating UNRWA After the Colonna Report
The obvious nature of multiple recommendations points to scandalous mismanagement at the UN aid agency over decades.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
James G. Lindsay
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Second-Round Dilemmas
Allowing a runoff in the presidential election is a somewhat risky move for the Supreme Leader, but engineering a one-round outcome would raise domestic problems of its own.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saraya Awliya al-Dam Finds New Mission in Israel Attacks
The brand appears to have been reactivated by its parent organization, Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, to claim certain attacks on Israel during the Gaza war.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Houthi Ship Attacks Pose a Longer-Term Challenge to Regional Security and Trade Plans
The immediate effects of the Houthi antishipping campaign are measurably serious, but the United States, Saudi Arabia, and other partners also need to prepare for the emboldened group to exert its newfound leverage in other ways beyond the Gaza war.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
Behind the US Plan to Prevent an All-Out Israel-Hezbollah War
An American-led diplomatic initiative to separate their forces at the border appears to be falling short, and time is running out.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The NATO Summit Is Another Chance to Counter Russia in the “South”
The alliance has already been shifting toward greater engagement with the Middle East and Africa, but various maritime and infrastructure threats require more urgent attention, as does the broader problem of countering Moscow’s narrative.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sadr’s Rebranded Political Movement: The Old, the New, and a Reality Check
Given the complicated baggage that Sadr brings into Iraq’s political game, his re-entry into formal politics after a years-long hiatus will likely destabilize the internal Shia political landscape.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Mohammed Salih
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