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Brief Analysis
Iran’s Six Potential Nuclear Steps
Hoping to pressure Europe into providing more concessions, Tehran may threaten to reduce its commitments under the nuclear deal, but can it avoid escalation with Washington while doing so?
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Why Erdogan Will Win in Istanbul, and What This Means for Turkish Democracy
Despite the opposition’s resilience, the president can use any number of legal, political, or foreign policy tools to ensure his candidate wins this time around, no matter the reputational costs.
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Co-Opting Politics in Morocco
Morocco was one of the few countries in the Arab World partially spared by the upheaval of the Arab Spring. However, recent regime changes in Algeria and Sudan, along with continued domestic discontent, suggest that Morocco should reexamine its prior response to its domestic version of the Arab Spring—the 20
۷ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Mohamed Chtatou
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Iran, Israel-Gaza Turn Mideast into a Danger Zone Again
American ships and bombers are arriving in the Gulf at a time when nerves are raw and various players are making risky escalation wagers.
۶ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
A Real Plan to End the War in Yemen
If the battle lines stay where they are now, with the capital and largest port still out of government control, then the Iranian-backed Houthis will effectively have won the war.
۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Michael Knights
Kenneth Pollack
Barbara Walter
تحلیل کوتاه
شکستن مقاومت خامنهای: چگونه میتوان ایران را به میز مذاکره برگرداند
احتمال دستیابی به توافقی بنیادی با رژیم کنونی چندان بالا نیست، ولی اگر واشنگتن از دادن تضمینهای امنیتی به ایران سر باز زند یا در انتظار آشوب گریزناپذیر دوران انتقال قدرت در این کشور بماند، احتمال چنین امری کاملا از میان میرود.
۲ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
مهدی خلجی
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. and Saudi Arabia Can’t Get a Divorce
Even amid growing exasperation over Riyadh’s behavior, realities on the ground and in the global economy show why the relationship is still crucial.
۱ مهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Dennis Ross
Audio
گزارشهای تفصیلی
عزم دولت ترامپ برای برقراری صلح در خاور میانه، درگفتگو با جرد کوشنر
پخش زنده گفتگوی رابرت ستلوف و جرد کوشنر، مشاور ارشد کاخ سفید را از اینجا تماشا کنید
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Jared Kushner
رابرت ستلوف
Articles & Testimony
The Soviets’ Unbreakable Code
Rather than acknowledge history and face the future, the Russian government keeps celebrating a past in which the people were suppressed, secrecy was championed, and fear nurtured.
۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Making Sense of Iraq's PMF Arrests
By highlighting the hypocrisy of recent ‘housecleaning’ campaigns, Washington can show the Iraqi public that Iran’s Shia militia networks offer no genuine solution to rampant corruption.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Phillip Smyth
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ahead of Ramadan, Yemen’s Economy is Increasingly Dire
For Muslims, the month of Ramadan marks one of the most expensive periods of the year. Many families will spend up to twice their normal expenditures during the month of Ramadan. The end of the holiday requires further spending in order to purchase clothes and other holiday items for Eid
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Muneer Bin Wabar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Congress Can Still Help Shape the Endgame in Syria
Advisers advised, Congress criticized, and ground partners pleaded with President Donald Trump when he decided to rapidly withdraw the roughly 2,000 U.S. troops stationed in Syria. This policy ticked off a box, fulfilling yet another campaign promise to “get out of Syria” and bring U.S. service members home, even if
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Erica Hanichak
Jameson Cunningham
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Armistice with Hamas, Growing Tensions with Abbas
Releasing the U.S. peace plan could accelerate recent Palestinian political dynamics, with Hamas consolidating its position via ceasefire and reconstruction aid while the PA continues isolating itself.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Proceeding with Caution in Western Sahara
Given growing uncertainties in other North African states, Washington should avoid any sudden moves on the Sahara file even as it builds on the momentum of recent talks.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
More Money at the Gas Pump May Be the Price of Pressuring Iran
President Trump may be counting on the fact that U.S. voters oppose both higher gas prices and another war, but in the end he may have to pick one or the other.
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
In-Depth Reports
A Fifty-Year Reign? MbS and the Future of Saudi Arabia
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Whether the young Saudi crown prince ultimately ascends to the throne will entail plenty of plot twists, but it also holds serious implications for the kingdom, the region, and U.S. interests.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Renewing the Iran Sanctions Waivers (Part 2): Energy and Afghan Trade
Washington should phase out the oil waivers carefully and prevent Chabahar port from becoming an escape valve for Iran.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Patrick Clawson
تحلیل کوتاه
تجدید معافیت تحریمهای ایران (بخش ۱): فعالیتهای هستهای
نه حذف کامل تحریمها و نه تمدید همه آنها، هیچکدام بهترین روش کار نیست، بلکه برخی از معافیتهای درحالانقضا، اگر بهدرستی –و بهطور علنی– مورد بازبینی قرار گیرند، میتوانند به منافع آمریکا کمک کنند.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
پاتریک کلاوسون
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Trump’s Decision on the Golan Helps Assad, Iran, and Russia
Former U.S. President George Bush Sr. acted prudently when he convinced Israel’s leaders not to respond when Saddam Hussein’s missiles rained down on Tel Aviv in January of 1991 following the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. At the time, Saddam was trying to draw the region into an Arab-Israeli confrontation. An
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Mohamed Maher
Brief Analysis
After the Palestinians Reject Trump’s Peace Plan, Then What?
Rather than trying to punish the PA by supporting West Bank annexations or other draconian measures, Washington should simply press forward with other willing partners until Ramallah comes around.
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Pollock
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